BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 1 Overall: (28-2) Overall Strength = 59.13
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (16-1) | District: 1-01 Record: (21-2)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Neutral W * 58.17 75 60 1 28 (18-11) Texas 0.36 14.64
2 11-08-2025 Home W 58.75 95 54 1 237 (14-15) W Carolina 0.94 * 40.06
3 11-11-2025 Away W 69.59 114 59 1 332 (11-21) Army 11.78 * 43.22
4 11-14-2025 Home W 59.16 100 62 1 193 (11-20) Indiana St 1.34 * 36.66
5 11-18-2025 Neutral W * 58.48 78 66 1 19 (21- 9) Kansas 0.67 11.33
6 11-21-2025 Home W 66.89 100 42 1 336 ( 8-22) Niagara 9.07 * 48.93
7 11-23-2025 Home W 58.11 93 56 1 201 (20-10) Howard 0.30 * 36.70
8 11-27-2025 Neutral W * 56.31 80 71 1 16 (21- 8) Arkansas -1.50 10.50
9 12-02-2025 Home W * 52.16 67 66 1 4 (24- 6) Florida -5.65 6.65
10 12-06-2025 Away W * 57.79 66 60 1 7 (24- 5) Michigan St -0.03 6.03
11 12-16-2025 Home W 46.22 97 73 1 188 (19-12) Lipscomb -11.59 * 35.59
12 12-20-2025 Neutral L * 46.62 81 82 1 15 (22- 8) Texas Tech -11.19 10.19
13 12-31-2025 Home W * * 31.15 85 79 1 154 (11-18) Georgia Tech -26.67 * 32.67
14 01-03-2026 Away W * * 42.26 91 87 1 77 (15-14) Florida St -15.56 19.56
15 01-06-2026 Away W * * 62.61 84 73 1 18 (21- 9) Louisville 4.80 6.20
16 01-10-2026 Home W * 47.04 82 75 1 31 (19-10) SMU -10.77 17.77
17 01-14-2026 Away W * * 54.06 71 56 1 71 (20- 9) California -3.75 18.75
18 01-17-2026 Away W * * 69.77 80 50 1 60 (18-11) Stanford 11.96 18.04
19 01-24-2026 Home W * * 55.54 90 69 1 59 (15-15) Wake Forest -2.27 23.27
20 01-26-2026 Home W * * 77.18 83 52 1 18 (21- 9) Louisville 19.37 11.63
21 01-31-2026 Away W * * 54.90 72 58 1 51 (19-11) Virginia Tech -2.91 16.91
22 02-03-2026 Home W * * 43.66 67 49 1 139 (10-20) Boston College -14.16 * 32.16
23 02-07-2026 Away L * * 44.10 68 71 1 24 (24- 6) North Carolina -13.72 10.72
24 02-10-2026 Away W * * 51.96 70 54 1 96 (11-18) Pittsburgh -5.86 21.86
25 02-14-2026 Home W * * 52.47 67 54 1 38 (21- 9) Clemson -5.34 18.34
26 02-16-2026 Home W * * 69.88 101 64 1 78 (15-15) Syracuse 12.06 24.94
27 02-21-2026 Neutral W * 63.92 68 63 1 2 (27- 2) Michigan 6.11 -1.11
28 02-24-2026 Away W * * 81.29 100 56 1 82 (13-16) Notre Dame 23.48 20.52
29 02-28-2026 Home W * * 69.33 77 51 1 20 (26- 4) Virginia 11.52 14.48
30 03-02-2026 Away W * * 75.01 93 64 1 32 (19-11) NC State 17.20 11.80
31 03/07/2026 Home * * 1 24 (24- 6) North Carolina 17.70
Averages 57.81 83.2 62.5
Best game: 81.29 = 44 point win over Notre Dame
Worst game: 31.15 = 6 point win over Georgia Tech
Team stdev: 11.40