BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 2 Overall: (35-3) Overall Strength = 57.12
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (20-1) | District: 1-01 Record: (26-2)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Neutral W * 57.85 75 60 1 32 (21-15) Texas 2.00 13.00
2 11-08-2025 Home W 59.22 95 54 1 234 (15-16) W Carolina 3.38 * 37.62
3 11-11-2025 Away W 69.71 114 59 1 331 (11-21) Army 13.87 * 41.13
4 11-14-2025 Home W 59.31 100 62 1 193 (11-21) Indiana St 3.47 * 34.53
5 11-18-2025 Neutral W * 57.89 78 66 1 21 (24-11) Kansas 2.05 9.95
6 11-21-2025 Home W 67.27 100 42 1 333 ( 8-22) Niagara 11.43 * 46.57
7 11-23-2025 Home W 58.65 93 56 1 201 (24-11) Howard 2.80 * 34.20
8 11-27-2025 Neutral W * 56.10 80 71 1 16 (28- 9) Arkansas 0.26 8.74
9 12-02-2025 Home W * 51.84 67 66 1 4 (27- 8) Florida -4.00 5.00
10 12-06-2025 Away W * 57.51 66 60 1 9 (27- 8) Michigan St 1.67 4.33
11 12-16-2025 Home W 45.40 97 73 1 195 (19-13) Lipscomb -10.45 * 34.45
12 12-20-2025 Neutral L * 45.60 81 82 1 19 (23-11) Texas Tech -10.24 9.24
13 12-31-2025 Home W * * 31.45 85 79 1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech -24.39 * 30.39
14 01-03-2026 Away W * * 43.49 91 87 1 65 (18-15) Florida St -12.36 16.36
15 01-06-2026 Away W * * 61.68 84 73 1 18 (24-11) Louisville 5.84 5.16
16 01-10-2026 Home W * 45.94 82 75 1 42 (20-14) SMU -9.90 16.90
17 01-14-2026 Away W * * 53.90 71 56 1 71 (22-12) California -1.94 16.94
18 01-17-2026 Away W * * 69.93 80 50 1 60 (20-13) Stanford 14.09 15.91
19 01-24-2026 Home W * * 55.29 90 69 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest -0.55 21.55
20 01-26-2026 Home W * * 76.28 83 52 1 18 (24-11) Louisville 20.44 10.56
21 01-31-2026 Away W * * 54.87 72 58 1 54 (19-13) Virginia Tech -0.97 14.97
22 02-03-2026 Home W * * 44.04 67 49 1 136 (11-20) Boston College -11.81 * 29.81
23 02-07-2026 Away L * * 43.60 68 71 1 27 (24- 9) North Carolina -12.24 9.24
24 02-10-2026 Away W * * 52.19 70 54 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh -3.65 19.65
25 02-14-2026 Home W * * 52.19 67 54 1 38 (24-11) Clemson -3.65 16.65
26 02-16-2026 Home W * * 69.51 101 64 1 82 (15-17) Syracuse 13.67 23.33
27 02-21-2026 Neutral W * 63.24 68 63 1 1 (35- 3) Michigan 7.40 -2.40
28 02-24-2026 Away W * * 80.79 100 56 1 86 (13-18) Notre Dame 24.95 19.05
29 02-28-2026 Home W * * 69.59 77 51 1 20 (30- 6) Virginia 13.75 12.25
30 03-02-2026 Away W * * 74.49 93 64 1 35 (20-14) NC State 18.65 10.35
31 03-07-2026 Home W * * 56.21 76 61 1 27 (24- 9) North Carolina 0.36 14.64
32 03-12-2026 Neutral W * * 37.79 80 79 1 65 (18-15) Florida St -18.05 19.05
33 03-13-2026 Neutral W * * 53.89 73 61 1 38 (24-11) Clemson -1.95 13.95
34 03-14-2026 Neutral W * * 50.29 74 70 1 20 (30- 6) Virginia -5.56 9.56
35 03-19-2026 Neutral W 30.54 71 65 1 206 (23-12) Siena -25.30 * 31.30
36 03-21-2026 Neutral W * 63.68 81 58 1 46 (23-12) TCU 7.84 15.16
37 03-27-2026 Neutral W 53.10 80 75 1 14 (30- 7) St John's -2.74 7.74
38 03-29-2026 Neutral L 47.67 72 73 1 10 (33- 5) Connecticut -8.18 7.18
Averages 55.84 81.6 63.6
Best game: 80.79 = 44 point win over Notre Dame
Worst game: 30.54 = 6 point win over Siena
Team stdev: 11.57