BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 2 Overall: (35-3) Overall Strength = 57.13
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (20-1) | District: 1-01 Record: (26-2)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Neutral W * 57.84 75 60 1 32 (21-15) Texas 1.99 13.01
2 11-08-2025 Home W 59.21 95 54 1 233 (15-16) W Carolina 3.36 * 37.64
3 11-11-2025 Away W 69.72 114 59 1 331 (11-21) Army 13.87 * 41.13
4 11-14-2025 Home W 59.31 100 62 1 193 (11-21) Indiana St 3.46 * 34.54
5 11-18-2025 Neutral W * 57.86 78 66 1 21 (24-11) Kansas 2.01 9.99
6 11-21-2025 Home W 67.27 100 42 1 333 ( 8-22) Niagara 11.42 * 46.58
7 11-23-2025 Home W 58.64 93 56 1 201 (24-11) Howard 2.79 * 34.21
8 11-27-2025 Neutral W * 56.08 80 71 1 16 (28- 9) Arkansas 0.23 8.77
9 12-02-2025 Home W * 51.83 67 66 1 4 (27- 8) Florida -4.02 5.02
10 12-06-2025 Away W * 57.51 66 60 1 9 (27- 8) Michigan St 1.66 4.34
11 12-16-2025 Home W 45.38 97 73 1 195 (19-13) Lipscomb -10.47 * 34.47
12 12-20-2025 Neutral L * 45.56 81 82 1 20 (23-11) Texas Tech -10.29 9.29
13 12-31-2025 Home W * * 31.44 85 79 1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech -24.41 * 30.41
14 01-03-2026 Away W * * 43.48 91 87 1 65 (18-15) Florida St -12.37 16.37
15 01-06-2026 Away W * * 61.66 84 73 1 18 (24-11) Louisville 5.81 5.19
16 01-10-2026 Home W * 45.92 82 75 1 42 (20-14) SMU -9.93 16.93
17 01-14-2026 Away W * * 53.89 71 56 1 71 (22-12) California -1.96 16.96
18 01-17-2026 Away W * * 69.94 80 50 1 60 (20-13) Stanford 14.09 15.91
19 01-24-2026 Home W * * 55.32 90 69 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest -0.53 21.53
20 01-26-2026 Home W * * 76.26 83 52 1 18 (24-11) Louisville 20.41 10.59
21 01-31-2026 Away W * * 54.87 72 58 1 55 (19-13) Virginia Tech -0.98 14.98
22 02-03-2026 Home W * * 44.02 67 49 1 136 (11-20) Boston College -11.83 * 29.83
23 02-07-2026 Away L * * 43.60 68 71 1 27 (24- 9) North Carolina -12.25 9.25
24 02-10-2026 Away W * * 52.21 70 54 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh -3.64 19.64
25 02-14-2026 Home W * * 52.20 67 54 1 37 (24-11) Clemson -3.65 16.65
26 02-16-2026 Home W * * 69.50 101 64 1 81 (15-17) Syracuse 13.65 23.35
27 02-21-2026 Neutral W * 63.51 68 63 1 1 (37- 3) Michigan 7.66 -2.66
28 02-24-2026 Away W * * 80.78 100 56 1 86 (13-18) Notre Dame 24.93 19.07
29 02-28-2026 Home W * * 69.58 77 51 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia 13.73 12.27
30 03-02-2026 Away W * * 74.48 93 64 1 35 (20-14) NC State 18.63 10.37
31 03-07-2026 Home W * * 56.20 76 61 1 27 (24- 9) North Carolina 0.35 14.65
32 03-12-2026 Neutral W * * 37.78 80 79 1 65 (18-15) Florida St -18.07 19.07
33 03-13-2026 Neutral W * * 53.90 73 61 1 37 (24-11) Clemson -1.95 13.95
34 03-14-2026 Neutral W * * 50.28 74 70 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -5.57 9.57
35 03-19-2026 Neutral W 30.54 71 65 1 206 (23-12) Siena -25.31 * 31.31
36 03-21-2026 Neutral W * 63.65 81 58 1 46 (23-12) TCU 7.80 15.20
37 03-27-2026 Neutral W 53.08 80 75 1 14 (30- 7) St John's -2.77 7.77
38 03-29-2026 Neutral L 48.03 72 73 1 10 (34- 6) Connecticut -7.82 6.82
Averages 55.85 81.6 63.6
Best game: 80.78 = 44 point win over Notre Dame
Worst game: 30.54 = 6 point win over Siena
Team stdev: 11.56