BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Virginia
Class: 1 Class Rank: 20 Overall: (30-6) Overall Strength = 46.73
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (17-4) | District: 1-01 Record: (20-5)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 40.17 87 53 1 350 ( 4-25) Rider -6.11 * 40.11
2 11-07-2025 Home W 27.53 81 62 1 346 (14-18) NC Central -18.76 * 37.76
3 11-11-2025 Home W 55.15 91 53 1 271 (13-19) Hampton 8.87 * 29.13
4 11-15-2025 Home W 48.05 104 78 1 188 (20-13) Marshall 1.76 24.24
5 11-21-2025 Neutral W * 42.98 83 78 1 58 (15-19) Northwestern -3.31 8.31
6 11-23-2025 Neutral L 28.90 73 80 1 81 (16-16) Butler -17.39 10.39
7 11-28-2025 Home W 46.60 94 69 1 191 (21-14) Queens NC 0.32 24.68
8 12-03-2025 Away W * 64.54 88 69 1 32 (21-15) Texas 18.26 0.74
9 12-06-2025 Neutral W 48.14 86 73 1 80 (25-12) Dayton 1.85 11.15
10 12-09-2025 Home W 32.95 84 60 1 342 ( 9-23) MD E Shore -13.34 * 37.34
11 12-20-2025 Home W * 35.70 80 72 1 112 (12-21) Maryland -10.59 18.59
12 12-22-2025 Home W 61.98 95 51 1 245 (16-16) American Univ 15.70 * 28.30
13 12-31-2025 Away L * * 30.87 85 95 3 1 54 (19-13) Virginia Tech -15.41 5.41
14 01-03-2026 Away W * * 60.49 76 61 1 35 (20-14) NC State 14.20 0.80
15 01-07-2026 Home W * * 57.50 84 60 1 71 (22-12) California 11.22 12.78
16 01-10-2026 Home W * * 49.53 70 55 1 60 (20-13) Stanford 3.25 11.75
17 01-13-2026 Away W * * 59.68 79 70 1 18 (24-11) Louisville 13.39 -4.39
18 01-17-2026 Away W * 48.33 72 68 1 42 (20-14) SMU 2.05 1.95
19 01-24-2026 Home L * * 36.21 80 85 1 27 (24- 9) North Carolina -10.08 5.08
20 01-27-2026 Away W * * 39.79 100 97 2 1 86 (13-18) Notre Dame -6.50 9.50
21 01-31-2026 Away W * * 38.43 73 66 1 136 (11-20) Boston College -7.85 14.85
22 02-03-2026 Home W * * 50.80 67 47 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh 4.51 15.49
23 02-07-2026 Home W * * 45.51 72 59 1 82 (15-17) Syracuse -0.78 13.78
24 02-10-2026 Away W * * 42.49 61 58 1 65 (18-15) Florida St -3.80 6.80
25 02-14-2026 Neutral W * 48.22 70 66 1 26 (21-13) Ohio St 1.94 2.06
26 02-18-2026 Away W * * 56.84 94 68 1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech 10.56 15.44
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 43.60 86 83 1 34 (26- 9) Miami FL -2.68 5.68
28 02-24-2026 Home W * * 69.09 90 61 1 35 (20-14) NC State 22.80 6.20
29 02-28-2026 Away L * * 32.54 51 77 1 2 (35- 3) Duke -13.75 -12.25
30 03-03-2026 Home W * * 39.29 75 70 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest -6.99 11.99
31 03-07-2026 Home W * * 39.48 76 72 1 54 (19-13) Virginia Tech -6.81 10.81
32 03-12-2026 Neutral W * * 49.79 81 74 1 35 (20-14) NC State 3.50 3.50
33 03-13-2026 Neutral W * * 65.30 84 62 1 34 (26- 9) Miami FL 19.01 2.99
34 03-14-2026 Neutral L * * 51.84 70 74 1 2 (35- 3) Duke 5.56 -9.56
35 03-20-2026 Neutral W 37.35 82 73 1 141 (23-12) Wright St -8.93 17.93
36 03-22-2026 Neutral L * 40.63 72 79 1 15 (25-12) Tennessee -5.66 -1.34
Averages 46.29 80.4 68.8
Best game: 69.09 = 29 point win over NC State
Worst game: 27.53 = 19 point win over NC Central
Team stdev: 10.82