BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Virginia
Class: 1 Class Rank: 19 Overall: (30-6) Overall Strength = 46.72
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (17-4) | District: 1-01 Record: (20-5)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 40.17 87 53 1 350 ( 4-25) Rider -6.11 * 40.11
2 11-07-2025 Home W 27.51 81 62 1 346 (14-18) NC Central -18.77 * 37.77
3 11-11-2025 Home W 55.14 91 53 1 271 (13-19) Hampton 8.86 * 29.14
4 11-15-2025 Home W 48.03 104 78 1 187 (20-13) Marshall 1.76 24.24
5 11-21-2025 Neutral W * 42.94 83 78 1 58 (15-19) Northwestern -3.33 8.33
6 11-23-2025 Neutral L 28.88 73 80 1 80 (16-16) Butler -17.39 10.39
7 11-28-2025 Home W 46.59 94 69 1 192 (21-14) Queens NC 0.31 24.69
8 12-03-2025 Away W * 64.54 88 69 1 32 (21-15) Texas 18.27 0.73
9 12-06-2025 Neutral W 48.13 86 73 1 79 (25-12) Dayton 1.85 11.15
10 12-09-2025 Home W 32.92 84 60 1 342 ( 9-23) MD E Shore -13.36 * 37.36
11 12-20-2025 Home W * 35.66 80 72 1 112 (12-21) Maryland -10.61 18.61
12 12-22-2025 Home W 61.98 95 51 1 244 (16-16) American Univ 15.70 * 28.30
13 12-31-2025 Away L * * 30.87 85 95 3 1 55 (19-13) Virginia Tech -15.41 5.41
14 01-03-2026 Away W * * 60.48 76 61 1 35 (20-14) NC State 14.20 0.80
15 01-07-2026 Home W * * 57.49 84 60 1 71 (22-12) California 11.21 12.79
16 01-10-2026 Home W * * 49.54 70 55 1 60 (20-13) Stanford 3.26 11.74
17 01-13-2026 Away W * * 59.66 79 70 1 18 (24-11) Louisville 13.38 -4.38
18 01-17-2026 Away W * 48.32 72 68 1 42 (20-14) SMU 2.05 1.95
19 01-24-2026 Home L * * 36.20 80 85 1 27 (24- 9) North Carolina -10.08 5.08
20 01-27-2026 Away W * * 39.78 100 97 2 1 86 (13-18) Notre Dame -6.50 9.50
21 01-31-2026 Away W * * 38.43 73 66 1 136 (11-20) Boston College -7.85 14.85
22 02-03-2026 Home W * * 50.81 67 47 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh 4.53 15.47
23 02-07-2026 Home W * * 45.50 72 59 1 81 (15-17) Syracuse -0.78 13.78
24 02-10-2026 Away W * * 42.48 61 58 1 65 (18-15) Florida St -3.80 6.80
25 02-14-2026 Neutral W * 48.24 70 66 1 25 (21-13) Ohio St 1.96 2.04
26 02-18-2026 Away W * * 56.84 94 68 1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech 10.56 15.44
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 43.59 86 83 1 34 (26- 9) Miami FL -2.69 5.69
28 02-24-2026 Home W * * 69.08 90 61 1 35 (20-14) NC State 22.80 6.20
29 02-28-2026 Away L * * 32.55 51 77 1 2 (35- 3) Duke -13.73 -12.27
30 03-03-2026 Home W * * 39.32 75 70 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest -6.96 11.96
31 03-07-2026 Home W * * 39.46 76 72 1 55 (19-13) Virginia Tech -6.81 10.81
32 03-12-2026 Neutral W * * 49.78 81 74 1 35 (20-14) NC State 3.50 3.50
33 03-13-2026 Neutral W * * 65.29 84 62 1 34 (26- 9) Miami FL 19.01 2.99
34 03-14-2026 Neutral L * * 51.85 70 74 1 2 (35- 3) Duke 5.57 -9.57
35 03-20-2026 Neutral W 37.34 82 73 1 141 (23-12) Wright St -8.94 17.94
36 03-22-2026 Neutral L * 40.61 72 79 1 15 (25-12) Tennessee -5.67 -1.33
Averages 46.28 80.4 68.8
Best game: 69.08 = 29 point win over NC State
Worst game: 27.51 = 19 point win over NC Central
Team stdev: 10.83