BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Virginia
Class: 1 Class Rank: 20 Overall: (26-4) Overall Strength = 46.55
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (14-3) | District: 1-01 Record: (17-3)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 39.76 87 53 1 351 ( 4-25) Rider -6.29 * 40.29
2 11-07-2025 Home W 27.78 81 62 1 346 (12-16) NC Central -18.27 * 37.27
3 11-11-2025 Home W 55.09 91 53 1 268 (13-18) Hampton 9.04 * 28.96
4 11-15-2025 Home W 48.10 104 78 1 182 (20-12) Marshall 2.05 23.95
5 11-21-2025 Neutral W * 41.94 83 78 1 66 (13-16) Northwestern -4.11 9.11
6 11-23-2025 Neutral L 29.09 73 80 1 79 (15-14) Butler -16.96 9.96
7 11-28-2025 Home W 46.06 94 69 1 197 (18-13) Queens NC 0.01 24.99
8 12-03-2025 Away W * 64.89 88 69 1 28 (18-11) Texas 18.84 0.16
9 12-06-2025 Neutral W 47.25 86 73 1 87 (21- 9) Dayton 1.20 11.80
10 12-09-2025 Home W 33.30 84 60 1 338 ( 9-21) MD E Shore -12.75 * 36.75
11 12-20-2025 Home W * 34.66 80 72 1 126 (12-18) Maryland -11.39 19.39
12 12-22-2025 Home W 61.71 95 51 1 249 (16-15) American Univ 15.66 * 28.34
13 12-31-2025 Away L * * 30.90 85 95 3 1 51 (19-11) Virginia Tech -15.14 5.14
14 01-03-2026 Away W * * 61.01 76 61 1 32 (19-11) NC State 14.97 0.03
15 01-07-2026 Home W * * 57.63 84 60 1 71 (20- 9) California 11.58 12.42
16 01-10-2026 Home W * * 49.34 70 55 1 60 (18-11) Stanford 3.30 11.70
17 01-13-2026 Away W * * 60.61 79 70 1 18 (21- 9) Louisville 14.56 -5.56
18 01-17-2026 Away W * 49.47 72 68 1 31 (19-10) SMU 3.42 0.58
19 01-24-2026 Home L * * 36.67 80 85 1 24 (24- 6) North Carolina -9.38 4.38
20 01-27-2026 Away W * * 40.29 100 97 2 1 82 (13-16) Notre Dame -5.75 8.75
21 01-31-2026 Away W * * 38.08 73 66 1 139 (10-20) Boston College -7.96 14.96
22 02-03-2026 Home W * * 50.53 67 47 1 96 (11-18) Pittsburgh 4.48 15.52
23 02-07-2026 Home W * * 45.88 72 59 1 78 (15-15) Syracuse -0.17 13.17
24 02-10-2026 Away W * * 41.26 61 58 1 77 (15-14) Florida St -4.79 7.79
25 02-14-2026 Neutral W * 46.73 70 66 1 33 (18-11) Ohio St 0.68 3.32
26 02-18-2026 Away W * * 56.57 94 68 1 154 (11-18) Georgia Tech 10.53 15.47
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 43.13 86 83 1 40 (23- 6) Miami FL -2.92 5.92
28 02-24-2026 Home W * * 69.59 90 61 1 32 (19-11) NC State 23.54 5.46
29 02-28-2026 Away L * * 34.53 51 77 1 1 (28- 2) Duke -11.52 -14.48
30 03-03-2026 Home W * * 39.54 75 70 1 59 (15-15) Wake Forest -6.50 11.50
31 03/07/2026 Home * * 1 51 (19-11) Virginia Tech 10.60
Averages 46.05 81.0 68.1
Best game: 69.59 = 29 point win over NC State
Worst game: 27.78 = 19 point win over NC Central
Team stdev: 11.07