BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1 Class Rank: 80 Overall: (25-12) Overall Strength = 35.01
Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (14-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (24-9)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W * 48.38 88 48 1 336 (10-21) Canisius 13.22 * 26.78
2 11-08-2025 Home W * 27.09 77 71 1 211 (24- 9) UMBC -8.08 14.08
3 11-11-2025 Away L 31.32 62 74 1 43 (18-15) Cincinnati -3.85 -8.15
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 25.44 91 82 1 255 (17-15) Bethune-Cookman -9.72 18.72
5 11-19-2025 Away W * 43.37 77 71 1 1 83 (12-20) Marquette 8.20 -2.20
6 11-22-2025 Home W * 27.53 74 55 1 346 (14-18) NC Central -7.63 * 26.63
7 11-27-2025 Neutral W * 39.75 84 79 1 1 75 (16-18) Georgetown 4.59 0.41
8 11-28-2025 Neutral L 41.83 79 83 1 22 (23-12) BYU 6.66 -10.66
9 12-02-2025 Home W * 41.10 88 71 1 158 (23-11) ETSU 5.94 11.06
10 12-06-2025 Neutral L 33.30 73 86 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -1.87 -11.13
11 12-13-2025 Home W * 33.23 84 61 1 330 ( 7-25) North Florida -1.94 24.94
12 12-16-2025 Home W 62.09 97 69 1 65 (18-15) Florida St 26.93 1.07
13 12-20-2025 Home L * 23.09 61 64 1 131 (26- 8) Liberty -12.07 9.07
14 12-31-2025 Home W * * 30.77 63 56 1 165 (17-15) Fordham -4.40 11.40
15 01-03-2026 Away W * * 24.51 70 68 1 275 ( 9-24) Loyola-Chicago -10.66 12.66
16 01-06-2026 Home W * * 38.85 79 72 1 84 (19-16) G Washington 3.69 3.31
17 01-13-2026 Away W * * 37.96 71 65 1 126 (18-15) Duquesne 2.80 3.20
18 01-16-2026 Home W * * 44.10 78 51 1 275 ( 9-24) Loyola-Chicago 8.93 18.07
19 01-21-2026 Away L * * 22.29 64 67 1 215 ( 9-23) La Salle -12.88 9.88
20 01-24-2026 Away L * * 25.32 74 81 1 116 (24-12) St Joseph's PA -9.85 2.85
21 01-27-2026 Home L * * 20.94 76 81 1 1 134 (16-16) Rhode Island -14.23 9.23
22 01-30-2026 Away L * * 15.33 71 102 1 31 (29- 6) Saint Louis -19.83 -11.17
23 02-03-2026 Home W * * 27.81 72 70 1 135 (17-17) St Bonaventure -7.36 9.36
24 02-06-2026 Away L * * 15.82 73 99 1 49 (28- 8) VCU -19.35 -6.65
25 02-15-2026 Home W * * 38.72 70 59 1 115 (20-14) Davidson 3.55 7.45
26 02-18-2026 Away W * * 49.67 82 67 1 102 (23-10) George Mason 14.51 0.49
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 38.55 78 66 1 126 (18-15) Duquesne 3.39 8.61
28 02-24-2026 Home W * * 55.93 77 62 1 31 (29- 6) Saint Louis 20.76 -5.76
29 02-27-2026 Away W * * 39.26 68 66 1 84 (19-16) G Washington 4.09 -2.09
30 03-03-2026 Away W * * 35.29 65 60 1 138 (15-17) Richmond 0.12 4.88
31 03-06-2026 Home L * * 30.41 62 68 1 49 (28- 8) VCU -4.75 -1.25
32 03-13-2026 Neutral W * * 33.51 68 63 1 135 (17-17) St Bonaventure -1.65 6.65
33 03-14-2026 Neutral W * * 44.63 70 69 1 31 (29- 6) Saint Louis 9.46 -8.46
34 03-15-2026 Neutral L * * 31.12 62 70 1 49 (28- 8) VCU -4.05 -3.95
35 03-18-2026 Away W * 46.56 80 66 1 122 (21-13) Bradley 11.39 2.61
36 03-21-2026 Away W * 51.10 80 61 1 125 (27- 7) UNC Wilmington 15.94 3.06
37 03-25-2026 Home L * 25.15 55 61 1 89 (23-12) Illinois St -10.01 4.01
Averages 35.17 74.1 69.3
Best game: 62.09 = 28 point win over Florida St
Worst game: 15.33 = 31 point loss to Saint Louis
Team stdev: 10.89