BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1 Class Rank: 87 Overall: (21-9) Overall Strength = 33.77
Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (12-5) | District: 1-02 Record: (20-6)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W * 47.94 88 48 1 337 (10-21) Canisius 13.70 * 26.30
2 11-08-2025 Home W * 26.15 77 71 1 216 (21- 8) UMBC -8.10 14.10
3 11-11-2025 Away L 31.73 62 74 1 39 (17-13) Cincinnati -2.52 -9.48
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 25.72 91 82 1 242 (17-13) Bethune-Cookman -8.53 17.53
5 11-19-2025 Away W * 41.56 77 71 1 1 95 (10-19) Marquette 7.31 -1.31
6 11-22-2025 Home W * 27.78 74 55 1 346 (12-16) NC Central -6.47 25.47
7 11-27-2025 Neutral W * 38.57 84 79 1 1 81 (13-17) Georgetown 4.32 0.68
8 11-28-2025 Neutral L 41.47 79 83 1 22 (20-10) BYU 7.22 -11.22
9 12-02-2025 Home W * 41.84 88 71 1 143 (21-10) ETSU 7.59 9.41
10 12-06-2025 Neutral L 33.05 73 86 1 20 (26- 4) Virginia -1.20 -11.80
11 12-13-2025 Home W * 33.11 84 61 1 330 ( 7-24) North Florida -1.13 24.13
12 12-16-2025 Home W 60.83 97 69 1 77 (15-14) Florida St 26.58 1.42
13 12-20-2025 Home L * 23.18 61 64 1 130 (24- 5) Liberty -11.07 8.07
14 12-31-2025 Home W * * 29.92 63 56 1 170 (16-13) Fordham -4.33 11.33
15 01-03-2026 Away W * * 22.24 70 68 1 288 ( 8-22) Loyola-Chicago -12.00 14.00
16 01-06-2026 Home W * * 39.69 79 72 1 73 (16-13) G Washington 5.44 1.56
17 01-13-2026 Away W * * 37.66 71 65 1 127 (16-13) Duquesne 3.41 2.59
18 01-16-2026 Home W * * 41.81 78 51 1 288 ( 8-22) Loyola-Chicago 7.57 19.43
19 01-21-2026 Away L * * 22.35 64 67 1 209 ( 8-21) La Salle -11.90 8.90
20 01-24-2026 Away L * * 23.36 74 81 1 141 (19-10) St Joseph's PA -10.89 3.89
21 01-27-2026 Home L * * 20.72 76 81 1 1 134 (15-14) Rhode Island -13.52 8.52
22 01-30-2026 Away L * * 16.57 71 102 1 26 (26- 3) Saint Louis -17.67 -13.33
23 02-03-2026 Home W * * 26.67 72 70 1 146 (15-14) St Bonaventure -7.57 9.57
24 02-06-2026 Away L * * 15.12 73 99 1 52 (23- 7) VCU -19.12 -6.88
25 02-15-2026 Home W * * 38.81 70 59 1 112 (18-11) Davidson 4.56 6.44
26 02-18-2026 Away W * * 48.66 82 67 1 106 (22- 8) George Mason 14.41 0.59
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 38.23 78 66 1 127 (16-13) Duquesne 3.98 8.02
28 02-24-2026 Home W * * 57.14 77 62 1 26 (26- 3) Saint Louis 22.90 -7.90
29 02-27-2026 Away W * * 40.12 68 66 1 73 (16-13) G Washington 5.87 -3.87
30 03-03-2026 Away W * * 35.41 65 60 1 138 (15-15) Richmond 1.16 3.84
31 03/06/2026 Home * * 1 52 (23- 7) VCU -2.16
Averages 34.25 75.5 70.2
Best game: 60.83 = 28 point win over Florida St
Worst game: 15.12 = 26 point loss to VCU
Team stdev: 11.19