BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Dayton
Class: 1 Class Rank: 79 Overall: (25-12) Overall Strength = 34.97
Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (14-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (24-9)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W * 48.37 88 48 1 336 (10-21) Canisius 13.24 * 26.76
2 11-08-2025 Home W * 27.07 77 71 1 210 (24- 9) UMBC -8.05 14.05
3 11-11-2025 Away L 31.33 62 74 1 43 (18-15) Cincinnati -3.80 -8.20
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 25.42 91 82 1 269 (17-15) Bethune-Cookman -9.71 18.71
5 11-19-2025 Away W * 43.38 77 71 1 1 82 (12-20) Marquette 8.25 -2.25
6 11-22-2025 Home W * 27.51 74 55 1 346 (14-18) NC Central -7.62 * 26.62
7 11-27-2025 Neutral W * 39.78 84 79 1 1 75 (16-18) Georgetown 4.65 0.35
8 11-28-2025 Neutral L 41.83 79 83 1 22 (23-12) BYU 6.71 -10.71
9 12-02-2025 Home W * 41.08 88 71 1 158 (23-11) ETSU 5.95 11.05
10 12-06-2025 Neutral L 33.28 73 86 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -1.85 -11.15
11 12-13-2025 Home W * 33.21 84 61 1 330 ( 7-25) North Florida -1.92 24.92
12 12-16-2025 Home W 62.08 97 69 1 65 (18-15) Florida St 26.95 1.05
13 12-20-2025 Home L * 23.06 61 64 1 131 (26- 8) Liberty -12.07 9.07
14 12-31-2025 Home W * * 30.74 63 56 1 165 (17-15) Fordham -4.38 11.38
15 01-03-2026 Away W * * 24.47 70 68 1 275 ( 9-24) Loyola-Chicago -10.66 12.66
16 01-06-2026 Home W * * 38.82 79 72 1 83 (19-16) G Washington 3.69 3.31
17 01-13-2026 Away W * * 37.93 71 65 1 126 (18-15) Duquesne 2.80 3.20
18 01-16-2026 Home W * * 44.07 78 51 1 275 ( 9-24) Loyola-Chicago 8.94 18.06
19 01-21-2026 Away L * * 22.27 64 67 1 215 ( 9-23) La Salle -12.86 9.86
20 01-24-2026 Away L * * 25.28 74 81 1 116 (24-12) St Joseph's PA -9.85 2.85
21 01-27-2026 Home L * * 20.92 76 81 1 1 134 (16-16) Rhode Island -14.21 9.21
22 01-30-2026 Away L * * 15.31 71 102 1 31 (29- 6) Saint Louis -19.82 -11.18
23 02-03-2026 Home W * * 27.78 72 70 1 135 (17-17) St Bonaventure -7.35 9.35
24 02-06-2026 Away L * * 15.78 73 99 1 49 (28- 8) VCU -19.35 -6.65
25 02-15-2026 Home W * * 38.69 70 59 1 114 (20-14) Davidson 3.56 7.44
26 02-18-2026 Away W * * 49.64 82 67 1 102 (23-10) George Mason 14.51 0.49
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 38.53 78 66 1 126 (18-15) Duquesne 3.40 8.60
28 02-24-2026 Home W * * 55.90 77 62 1 31 (29- 6) Saint Louis 20.77 -5.77
29 02-27-2026 Away W * * 39.22 68 66 1 83 (19-16) G Washington 4.09 -2.09
30 03-03-2026 Away W * * 35.25 65 60 1 138 (15-17) Richmond 0.13 4.87
31 03-06-2026 Home L * * 30.37 62 68 1 49 (28- 8) VCU -4.76 -1.24
32 03-13-2026 Neutral W * * 33.48 68 63 1 135 (17-17) St Bonaventure -1.65 6.65
33 03-14-2026 Neutral W * * 44.60 70 69 1 31 (29- 6) Saint Louis 9.48 -8.48
34 03-15-2026 Neutral L * * 31.07 62 70 1 49 (28- 8) VCU -4.05 -3.95
35 03-18-2026 Away W * 46.45 80 66 1 123 (21-13) Bradley 11.33 2.67
36 03-21-2026 Away W * 51.08 80 61 1 125 (27- 7) UNC Wilmington 15.95 3.05
37 03-25-2026 Home L * 24.69 55 61 1 91 (23-13) Illinois St -10.44 4.44
Averages 35.13 74.1 69.3
Best game: 62.08 = 28 point win over Florida St
Worst game: 15.31 = 31 point loss to Saint Louis
Team stdev: 10.91