BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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California

Class: 1 Class Rank: 71 Overall: (22-12) Overall Strength =   35.93
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (9-10) | District: 1-01 Record: (11-11)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W      38.13  87  60    1 325 ( 8-24) CS Bakersfield          1.94     25.06                      
 2 11-06-2025 Home    W      35.64  77  67    1 141 (23-12) Wright St              -0.55     10.55                      
 3 11-10-2025 Home    W      50.20  93  65    1 182 (18-16) CS Fullerton           14.01     13.99                      
 4 11-13-2025 Away    L   *  33.31  96  99    1  90 (12-20) Kansas St              -2.88     -0.12                      
 5 11-18-2025 Home    W      26.82  67  57    1 267 (15-18) Presbyterian           -9.37     19.37                      
 6 11-21-2025 Home    W      41.81  91  67    1 258 (10-21) CS Sacramento           5.62     18.38                      
 7 11-25-2025 Neutral W   *  51.03  80  72    1  29 (24-12) UCLA                   14.84     -6.84                      
 8 12-02-2025 Home    W   *  35.57  79  72    1 106 (10-22) Utah                   -0.62      7.62                      
 9 12-06-2025 Home    W      34.08  67  61    1 108 (18-15) Pacific                -2.11      8.11                      
10 12-09-2025 Home    W      27.35  93  71   ZZ  50 ( 0- 2) Dominican CA           -8.84 *   30.84                      
11 12-13-2025 Home    W      23.91  79  70    1 281 (10-22) Northwestern LA       -12.28     21.28                      
12 12-19-2025 Home    W      53.37  97  50    1 348 (14-16) Morgan St              17.18 *   29.82                      
13 12-21-2025 Home    W   *  40.73  74  56    1 180 (16-12) Columbia                4.54     13.46                      
14 12-30-2025 Home    L * *  25.26  70  90    1  18 (24-11) Louisville            -10.93     -9.07                      
15 01-02-2026 Home    W * *  32.37  72  71    1  86 (13-18) Notre Dame             -3.82      4.82                      
16 01-07-2026 Away    L * *  24.98  60  84    1  19 (30- 6) Virginia              -11.21    -12.79                      
17 01-10-2026 Away    L * *  37.87  75  78    1  55 (19-13) Virginia Tech           1.68     -4.68                      
18 01-14-2026 Home    L * *  38.15  56  71    1   2 (35- 3) Duke                    1.96    -16.96                      
19 01-17-2026 Home    W * *  47.20  84  78    1  27 (24- 9) North Carolina         11.01     -5.01                      
20 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  51.94  78  66    1  60 (20-13) Stanford               15.75     -3.75                      
21 01-28-2026 Away    L * *  37.48  61  63    1  65 (18-15) Florida St              1.29     -3.29                      
22 01-31-2026 Away    W * *  46.99  86  85    1  34 (26- 9) Miami FL               10.80     -9.80                      
23 02-04-2026 Home    W * *  30.44  90  85    1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech           -5.75     10.75                      
24 02-07-2026 Home    L * *  17.20  55  77    1  37 (24-11) Clemson               -18.99     -3.01                      
25 02-11-2026 Away    L * *  30.90 100 107 2  1  81 (15-17) Syracuse               -5.29     -1.71                      
26 02-14-2026 Away    W * *  42.43  86  75    1 136 (11-20) Boston College          6.24      4.76                      
27 02-21-2026 Home    W * *  40.54  72  66    1  60 (20-13) Stanford                4.35      1.65                      
28 02-25-2026 Home    W *    42.92  73  69    1  42 (20-14) SMU                     6.73     -2.73                      
29 02-28-2026 Home    L * *  14.81  56  72    1  95 (13-20) Pittsburgh            -21.38      5.38                      
30 03-04-2026 Away    W * *  41.84  76  65    1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech            5.65      5.35                      
31 03-07-2026 Away    L * *  32.72  73  80    1  61 (18-17) Wake Forest            -3.47     -3.53                      
32 03-11-2026 Neutral L * *  30.78  89  95    1  65 (18-15) Florida St             -5.41     -0.59                      
33 03-18-2026 Home    W      45.84  91  73    1 111 (19-16) IL Chicago              9.65      8.35                      
34 03-22-2026 Home    L      25.87  75  76    1 116 (24-12) St Joseph's PA        -10.32      9.32                      
      Averages              36.19  78.2 73.3

Best game:   53.37 = 47 point win over Morgan St
Worst game:  14.81 = 16 point loss to Pittsburgh
Team stdev:   9.70