BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Louisville
Class: 1 Class Rank: 18 Overall: (24-11) Overall Strength = 46.74
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (12-8) | District: 1-01 Record: (14-10)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 62.70 104 45 1 352 (10-22) S Carolina St 14.75 * 44.25
2 11-06-2025 Home W 42.20 106 70 1 344 (12-21) Jackson St -5.76 * 41.76
3 11-11-2025 Home W * 50.04 96 88 1 26 (22-14) Kentucky 2.09 5.91
4 11-15-2025 Home W 44.37 106 81 1 226 (15-17) Ohio -3.58 * 28.58
5 11-21-2025 Neutral W * 50.62 74 64 1 43 (18-15) Cincinnati 2.67 7.33
6 11-24-2025 Home W 60.06 87 46 1 225 (10-21) Eastern Michigan 12.11 * 28.89
7 11-26-2025 Home W 66.89 104 47 1 326 (16-17) NJIT 18.93 * 38.07
8 12-03-2025 Away L * 40.78 80 89 1 16 (28- 9) Arkansas -7.18 -1.82
9 12-06-2025 Neutral W * 50.97 87 78 1 36 (18-14) Indiana 3.01 5.99
10 12-13-2025 Home W 53.07 99 73 1 122 (13-19) Memphis 5.11 20.89
11 12-16-2025 Away L * 29.31 62 83 1 15 (25-12) Tennessee -18.65 -2.35
12 12-20-2025 Home W 62.45 94 54 1 184 (17-16) Montana 14.49 25.51
13 12-30-2025 Away W * * 58.89 90 70 1 71 (22-12) California 10.93 9.07
14 01-02-2026 Away L * * 35.94 76 80 1 60 (20-13) Stanford -12.02 8.02
15 01-06-2026 Home L * * 42.15 73 84 1 2 (35- 3) Duke -5.81 -5.19
16 01-10-2026 Home W * * 39.02 75 62 1 136 (11-20) Boston College -8.93 21.93
17 01-13-2026 Home L * * 34.58 70 79 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -13.38 4.38
18 01-17-2026 Away W * * 77.21 100 59 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh 29.25 11.75
19 01-24-2026 Home W * * 49.46 85 71 1 55 (19-13) Virginia Tech 1.51 12.49
20 01-26-2026 Away L * * 27.55 52 83 1 2 (35- 3) Duke -20.41 -10.59
21 01-31-2026 Home W * 52.92 88 74 1 42 (20-14) SMU 4.96 9.04
22 02-04-2026 Home W * * 42.37 76 65 1 86 (13-18) Notre Dame -5.58 16.58
23 02-07-2026 Away W * * 47.72 88 80 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest -0.24 8.24
24 02-09-2026 Home W * * 81.08 118 77 1 35 (20-14) NC State 33.12 7.88
25 02-14-2026 Neutral W * 51.35 82 71 1 47 (17-17) Baylor 3.39 7.61
26 02-17-2026 Away L * 34.32 85 95 1 42 (20-14) SMU -13.63 3.63
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 42.44 87 70 1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech -5.52 22.52
28 02-23-2026 Away L * * 43.60 74 77 1 27 (24- 9) North Carolina -4.36 1.36
29 02-28-2026 Away L * * 39.60 75 80 1 37 (24-11) Clemson -8.36 3.36
30 03-03-2026 Home W * * 47.50 77 62 1 81 (15-17) Syracuse -0.46 15.46
31 03-07-2026 Away W * * 48.99 92 89 1 34 (26- 9) Miami FL 1.03 1.97
32 03-11-2026 Neutral W * 45.62 62 58 1 42 (20-14) SMU -2.33 6.33
33 03-12-2026 Neutral L * * 38.29 73 78 1 34 (26- 9) Miami FL -9.67 4.67
34 03-19-2026 Neutral W 43.64 83 79 1 50 (25- 9) South Florida -4.32 8.32
35 03-21-2026 Neutral L * 40.81 69 77 1 9 (27- 8) Michigan St -7.15 -0.85
Averages 47.96 84.3 72.5
Best game: 81.08 = 41 point win over NC State
Worst game: 27.55 = 31 point loss to Duke
Team stdev: 12.00