BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Louisville
Class: 1 Class Rank: 18 Overall: (24-11) Overall Strength = 46.78
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (12-8) | District: 1-01 Record: (14-10)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 62.72 104 45 1 352 (10-22) S Carolina St 14.74 * 44.26
2 11-06-2025 Home W 42.22 106 70 1 344 (12-21) Jackson St -5.77 * 41.77
3 11-11-2025 Home W * 50.03 96 88 1 26 (22-14) Kentucky 2.04 5.96
4 11-15-2025 Home W 44.42 106 81 1 226 (15-17) Ohio -3.57 * 28.57
5 11-21-2025 Neutral W * 50.61 74 64 1 43 (18-15) Cincinnati 2.62 7.38
6 11-24-2025 Home W 60.09 87 46 1 225 (10-21) Eastern Michigan 12.10 * 28.90
7 11-26-2025 Home W 66.91 104 47 1 326 (16-17) NJIT 18.92 * 38.08
8 12-03-2025 Away L * 40.77 80 89 1 16 (28- 9) Arkansas -7.22 -1.78
9 12-06-2025 Neutral W * 51.02 87 78 1 35 (18-14) Indiana 3.03 5.97
10 12-13-2025 Home W 53.09 99 73 1 123 (13-19) Memphis 5.10 20.90
11 12-16-2025 Away L * 29.30 62 83 1 15 (25-12) Tennessee -18.69 -2.31
12 12-20-2025 Home W 62.51 94 54 1 184 (17-16) Montana 14.52 25.48
13 12-30-2025 Away W * * 58.93 90 70 1 71 (22-12) California 10.94 9.06
14 01-02-2026 Away L * * 36.09 76 80 1 59 (20-12) Stanford -11.90 7.90
15 01-06-2026 Home L * * 42.15 73 84 1 2 (35- 3) Duke -5.84 -5.16
16 01-10-2026 Home W * * 39.04 75 62 1 136 (11-20) Boston College -8.95 21.95
17 01-13-2026 Home L * * 34.59 70 79 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -13.40 4.40
18 01-17-2026 Away W * * 77.21 100 59 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh 29.22 11.78
19 01-24-2026 Home W * * 49.48 85 71 1 54 (19-13) Virginia Tech 1.49 12.51
20 01-26-2026 Away L * * 27.55 52 83 1 2 (35- 3) Duke -20.44 -10.56
21 01-31-2026 Home W * 52.94 88 74 1 42 (20-14) SMU 4.95 9.05
22 02-04-2026 Home W * * 42.41 76 65 1 86 (13-18) Notre Dame -5.58 16.58
23 02-07-2026 Away W * * 47.72 88 80 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest -0.27 8.27
24 02-09-2026 Home W * * 81.08 118 77 1 34 (20-14) NC State 33.09 7.91
25 02-14-2026 Neutral W * 51.76 82 71 1 47 (17-16) Baylor 3.77 7.23
26 02-17-2026 Away L * 34.35 85 95 1 42 (20-14) SMU -13.64 3.64
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 42.46 87 70 1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech -5.53 22.53
28 02-23-2026 Away L * * 43.62 74 77 1 27 (24- 9) North Carolina -4.37 1.37
29 02-28-2026 Away L * * 39.59 75 80 1 36 (24-11) Clemson -8.40 3.40
30 03-03-2026 Home W * * 47.51 77 62 1 82 (15-17) Syracuse -0.48 15.48
31 03-07-2026 Away W * * 49.01 92 89 1 33 (26- 9) Miami FL 1.02 1.98
32 03-11-2026 Neutral W * 45.65 62 58 1 42 (20-14) SMU -2.34 6.34
33 03-12-2026 Neutral L * * 38.31 73 78 1 33 (26- 9) Miami FL -9.68 4.68
34 03-19-2026 Neutral W 43.65 83 79 1 50 (25- 9) South Florida -4.34 8.34
35 03-21-2026 Neutral L * 40.84 69 77 1 9 (27- 8) Michigan St -7.15 -0.85
Averages 47.99 84.3 72.5
Best game: 81.08 = 41 point win over NC State
Worst game: 27.55 = 31 point loss to Duke
Team stdev: 12.00