BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Louisville
Class: 1 Class Rank: 18 Overall: (21-9) Overall Strength = 47.11
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (10-7) | District: 1-01 Record: (13-8)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 61.28 104 45 1 354 ( 8-21) S Carolina St 12.39 * 46.61
2 11-06-2025 Home W 41.83 106 70 1 344 (10-20) Jackson St -7.07 * 43.07
3 11-11-2025 Home W * 50.39 96 88 1 23 (19-11) Kentucky 1.50 6.50
4 11-15-2025 Home W 44.22 106 81 1 227 (15-15) Ohio -4.67 * 29.67
5 11-21-2025 Neutral W * 51.01 74 64 1 39 (17-13) Cincinnati 2.12 7.88
6 11-24-2025 Home W 60.06 87 46 1 222 (10-20) Eastern Michigan 11.16 * 29.84
7 11-26-2025 Home W 66.66 104 47 1 322 (15-16) NJIT 17.76 * 39.24
8 12-03-2025 Away L * 41.02 80 89 1 16 (21- 8) Arkansas -7.87 -1.13
9 12-06-2025 Neutral W * 50.87 87 78 1 36 (17-12) Indiana 1.98 7.02
10 12-13-2025 Home W 53.43 99 73 1 115 (12-17) Memphis 4.54 21.46
11 12-16-2025 Away L * 29.09 62 83 1 17 (21- 9) Tennessee -19.81 -1.19
12 12-20-2025 Home W 62.25 94 54 1 178 (15-15) Montana 13.36 * 26.64
13 12-30-2025 Away W * * 59.06 90 70 1 71 (20- 9) California 10.16 9.84
14 01-02-2026 Away L * * 35.77 76 80 1 60 (18-11) Stanford -13.13 9.13
15 01-06-2026 Home L * * 44.10 73 84 1 1 (28- 2) Duke -4.80 -6.20
16 01-10-2026 Home W * * 38.66 75 62 1 139 (10-20) Boston College -10.24 23.24
17 01-13-2026 Home L * * 34.33 70 79 1 20 (26- 4) Virginia -14.56 5.56
18 01-17-2026 Away W * * 76.96 100 59 1 96 (11-18) Pittsburgh 28.06 12.94
19 01-24-2026 Home W * * 49.47 85 71 1 51 (19-11) Virginia Tech 0.58 13.42
20 01-26-2026 Away L * * 29.53 52 83 1 1 (28- 2) Duke -19.37 -11.63
21 01-31-2026 Home W * 54.04 88 74 1 31 (19-10) SMU 5.15 8.85
22 02-04-2026 Home W * * 42.87 76 65 1 82 (13-16) Notre Dame -6.03 17.03
23 02-07-2026 Away W * * 47.97 88 80 1 59 (15-15) Wake Forest -0.93 8.93
24 02-09-2026 Home W * * 81.59 118 77 1 32 (19-11) NC State 32.69 8.31
25 02-14-2026 Neutral W * 50.91 82 71 1 49 (15-14) Baylor 2.02 8.98
26 02-17-2026 Away L * 35.47 85 95 1 31 (19-10) SMU -13.43 3.43
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 42.15 87 70 1 154 (11-18) Georgia Tech -6.75 23.75
28 02-23-2026 Away L * * 44.10 74 77 1 24 (24- 6) North Carolina -4.80 1.80
29 02-28-2026 Away L * * 39.90 75 80 1 38 (21- 9) Clemson -9.00 4.00
30 03-03-2026 Home W * * 47.88 77 62 1 78 (15-15) Syracuse -1.02 16.02
31 03/07/2026 Away * * 1 40 (23- 6) Miami FL 2.50
Averages 48.89 85.7 71.9
Best game: 81.59 = 41 point win over NC State
Worst game: 29.09 = 21 point loss to Tennessee
Team stdev: 12.56