BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Virginia
Class: 1 Class Rank: 39 Overall: (22-12) Overall Strength = 54.06
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (11-8) | District: 1-01 Record: (13-11)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Home W 60.93 86 36 1 342 ( 5-26) Morgan St 5.44 * 44.56
2 11-09-2025 Home W 64.15 80 35 1 290 (11-19) Bucknell 8.66 * 36.34
3 11-13-2025 Home L 24.43 56 61 1 187 (17-15) UMBC -31.06 26.06
4 11-16-2025 Home W 57.88 77 46 1 219 (23-13) Radford 2.39 * 28.61
5 11-20-2025 Home W 73.86 94 47 1 207 (21-10) Longwood 18.37 * 28.63
6 11-24-2025 Neutral W 50.05 69 48 1 220 (18-14) Northwestern LA -5.44 26.44
7 11-25-2025 Neutral L * 51.46 82 91 1 30 (19-13) Nebraska -4.03 -4.97
8 11-30-2025 Home W 57.29 92 59 1 246 (20-15) MD E Shore 1.80 * 31.20
9 12-03-2025 Away L * 57.82 68 81 1 7 (29- 5) Vanderbilt 2.33 -15.33
10 12-07-2025 Away W * * 59.35 81 55 1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College 3.86 22.14
11 12-10-2025 Home W 58.13 76 50 1 149 (26- 8) Howard 2.64 23.36
12 12-20-2025 Home W 52.46 88 53 1 306 (15-17) Winthrop -3.03 * 38.03
13 12-29-2025 Home W * 52.10 76 52 1 191 ( 9-21) SMU -3.39 * 27.39
14 01-01-2026 Home W * * 60.68 73 63 1 41 (21-12) Clemson 5.19 4.81
15 01-04-2026 Away W * * 49.02 91 87 2 1 107 (10-21) Florida St -6.47 10.47
16 01-08-2026 Away W * * 51.20 61 59 1 66 (14-19) Georgia Tech -4.29 6.29
17 01-11-2026 Home L * * 32.23 60 79 1 40 (24- 9) Syracuse -23.26 4.26
18 01-15-2026 Away L * * 64.25 58 65 1 9 (27- 9) Duke 8.76 -15.76
19 01-22-2026 Home W * * 62.36 84 46 1 241 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh 6.87 * 31.13
20 01-24-2026 Home L * * 55.56 76 78 1 1 29 (21-11) NC State 0.07 -2.07
21 01-29-2026 Away W * * 47.06 109 103 3 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest -8.43 14.43
22 02-01-2026 Away L * * 44.78 64 76 1 35 (23-10) Virginia Tech -10.71 -1.29
23 02-05-2026 Home W * * 58.72 67 56 1 52 (18-15) Miami FL 3.23 7.77
24 02-08-2026 Home W * * 70.81 81 70 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame 15.32 -4.32
25 02-12-2026 Away L * * 48.20 58 64 1 50 (21-15) California -7.29 1.29
26 02-15-2026 Away W * * 61.17 75 69 1 45 (21-14) Stanford 5.68 0.32
27 02-22-2026 Away W * * 70.84 74 72 1 8 (29- 8) Louisville 15.35 -13.35
28 02-26-2026 Home L * * 49.01 70 82 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina -6.48 -5.52
29 03-01-2026 Home L * * 50.41 82 83 1 35 (23-10) Virginia Tech -5.09 4.09
30 03-05-2026 Neutral L * * 40.37 50 63 1 41 (21-12) Clemson -15.12 2.12
31 03-19-2026 Neutral W * 52.77 57 55 1 47 (24-11) Arizona St -2.72 4.72
32 03-21-2026 Neutral W * 66.50 82 73 1 1 26 (22-10) Georgia 11.01 -2.01
33 03-23-2026 Away W * 75.49 83 75 2 1 14 (27- 7) Iowa 20.00 -12.00
34 03-28-2026 Neutral L * 55.34 69 79 1 17 (32- 6) TCU -0.15 -9.85
Averages 55.49 75.0 65.0
Best game: 75.49 = 8 point win over Iowa
Worst game: 24.43 = 5 point loss to UMBC
Team stdev: 10.79