BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Virginia
Class: 1 Class Rank: 43 Overall: (12-3) Overall Strength = 54.78
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (4-0) | District: 1-01 Record: (3-2)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Home W 62.94 86 36 1 338 ( 1-16) Morgan St 4.71 * 45.29
2 11-09-2025 Home W 68.44 80 35 1 263 ( 4- 9) Bucknell 10.21 * 34.79
3 11-13-2025 Home L 22.56 56 61 1 240 ( 5- 8) UMBC -35.67 30.67
4 11-16-2025 Home W 56.64 77 46 1 244 ( 9- 8) Radford -1.59 * 32.59
5 11-20-2025 Home W 79.17 94 47 1 137 (10- 4) Longwood 20.94 * 26.06
6 11-24-2025 Neutral W 55.40 69 48 1 171 ( 7- 6) Northwestern LA -2.83 23.83
7 11-25-2025 Neutral L * 59.42 82 91 1 20 (13- 2) Nebraska 1.19 -10.19
8 11-30-2025 Home W 59.63 92 59 1 247 ( 8-10) MD E Shore 1.40 * 31.60
9 12-03-2025 Away L * 57.56 68 81 1 13 (15- 0) Vanderbilt -0.68 -12.32
10 12-07-2025 Away W * * 59.43 81 55 1 211 ( 4-13) Boston College 1.19 24.81
11 12-10-2025 Home W 61.86 76 50 1 158 (11- 6) Howard 3.63 22.37
12 12-20-2025 Home W 53.69 88 53 1 308 ( 8- 8) Winthrop -4.54 * 39.54
13 12-29-2025 Home W * 62.59 76 52 1 119 ( 7- 9) SMU 4.36 19.64
14 01-01-2026 Home W * * 61.78 73 63 1 44 (11- 5) Clemson 3.54 6.46
15 01-04-2026 Away W * * 52.39 91 87 2 1 135 ( 5-11) Florida St -5.85 9.85
16 01/08/2026 Away * * 1 98 ( 7- 9) Georgia Tech 8.16
17 01/11/2026 Home * * 1 46 (13- 2) Syracuse 3.20
18 01/15/2026 Away * * 1 16 ( 9- 6) Duke -14.71
19 01/22/2026 Home * * 1 237 ( 8- 9) Pittsburgh 27.37
20 01/25/2026 Home * * 1 19 (11- 4) NC State -8.91
21 01/29/2026 Away * * 1 115 (12- 4) Wake Forest 10.44
22 02/01/2026 Away * * 1 41 (11- 5) Virginia Tech -3.34
23 02/05/2026 Home * * 1 48 (10- 5) Miami FL 4.44
24 02/08/2026 Home * * 1 30 (10- 4) Notre Dame -3.67
25 02/12/2026 Away * * 1 59 ( 9- 7) California 1.18
26 02/15/2026 Away * * 1 37 (13- 3) Stanford -6.03
27 02/22/2026 Away * * 1 9 (14- 3) Louisville -20.41
28 02/26/2026 Home * * 1 17 (13- 4) North Carolina -9.21
29 03/01/2026 Home * * 1 41 (11- 5) Virginia Tech 1.62
Averages 58.23 79.3 57.6
Best game: 79.17 = 47 point win over Longwood
Worst game: 22.56 = 5 point loss to UMBC
Team stdev: 11.81