BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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California

Class: 1 Class Rank: 49 Overall: (19-14) Overall Strength =   50.84
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (10-10) | District: 1-01 Record: (10-14)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Neutral L   *  58.76  65  74    1   7 (27- 4) Vanderbilt              7.33    -16.33                      
 2 11-09-2025 Home    W      45.21  69  52    1 201 (15-17) CS Sacramento          -6.22     23.22                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    W      36.43  60  52    1 202 (11-19) Pacific               -14.99     22.99                      
 4 11-15-2025 Home    W      57.33  69  44    1 150 (14-17) Charlotte               5.91     19.09                      
 5 11-16-2025 Home    W   *  54.35  76  65    1  68 (17-10) Harvard                 2.92      8.08                      
 6 11-20-2025 Home    W      39.17  70  62    1 163 (15-17) St Mary's CA          -12.26     20.26                      
 7 11-24-2025 Neutral W      43.20  68  63    1 120 (13-19) Grand Canyon           -8.23     13.23                      
 8 11-26-2025 Neutral L   *  36.74  50  58    1  69 (15-17) Auburn                -14.69      6.69                      
 9 12-04-2025 Away    L   *  46.41  67  68    1  74 (16-16) Missouri               -5.02      4.02                      
10 12-07-2025 Home    W      66.78  92  42    1 317 ( 4-28) San Jose St            15.35 *   34.65                      
11 12-10-2025 Home    W      46.01  68  61    1  94 (27- 5) Idaho                  -5.42     12.42                      
12 12-14-2025 Away    L * *  46.71  69  78    1  41 (19-13) Stanford               -4.71     -4.29                      
13 12-21-2025 Neutral L   *  57.22  57  61    1  24 (17-13) Southern Cal            5.80     -9.80                      
14 12-28-2025 Home    W      54.24  91  50    1 320 ( 4-26) Cal Poly                2.81 *   38.19                      
15 01-01-2026 Away    L * *  49.54  55  71    1  18 (26- 7) North Carolina         -1.88    -14.12                      
16 01-04-2026 Away    L * *  51.59  60  71    1  29 (20-10) NC State                0.17    -11.17                      
17 01-08-2026 Home    L * *  61.07  74  78    1  12 (24- 8) Duke                    9.64    -13.64                      
18 01-11-2026 Home    W * *  45.26  61  52    1 109 (14-17) Wake Forest            -6.17     15.17                      
19 01-15-2026 Away    L * *  53.51  87  90 3  1  39 (23- 8) Syracuse                2.09     -5.09                      
20 01-18-2026 Away    W * *  47.93  73  58    1 203 ( 5-26) Boston College         -3.49     18.49                      
21 01-25-2026 Home    W * *  57.42  78  71 1  1  41 (19-13) Stanford                5.99      1.01                      
22 01-29-2026 Home    W * *  69.66  80  69    1  25 (22-10) Notre Dame             18.24     -7.24                      
23 02-01-2026 Home    L * *  52.07  59  71    1   8 (27- 7) Louisville              0.65    -12.65                      
24 02-05-2026 Away    W * *  55.87  63  56    1  67 (14-18) Georgia Tech            4.45      2.55                      
25 02-08-2026 Away    W * *  44.37  95  80    1 240 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh             -7.06     22.06                      
26 02-12-2026 Home    W * *  57.59  64  58    1  44 (19-11) Virginia                6.16     -0.16                      
27 02-15-2026 Home    L * *  41.26  58  68    1  35 (23- 9) Virginia Tech         -10.17      0.17                      
28 02-19-2026 Away    W * *  57.70  75  62    1 107 (10-21) Florida St              6.28      6.72                      
29 02-22-2026 Away    L * *  43.74  60  69    1  53 (17-14) Miami FL               -7.69     -1.31                      
30 02-26-2026 Home    L * *  43.26  63  70    1  40 (21-11) Clemson                -8.16      1.16                      
31 03-01-2026 Home    W *    71.91  78  34    1 190 ( 9-21) SMU                    20.48     23.52                      
32 03-04-2026 Neutral W * *  61.90  75  52    1 109 (14-17) Wake Forest            10.48     12.52                      
33 03-05-2026 Neutral L * *  42.87  59  70    1  39 (23- 8) Syracuse               -8.56     -2.44                      
      Averages              51.43  69.3 63.0

Best game:   71.91 = 44 point win over SMU
Worst game:  36.43 = 8 point win over Pacific
Team stdev:   9.09