BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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California

Class: 1 Class Rank: 50 Overall: (21-15) Overall Strength =   50.98
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (10-10) | District: 1-01 Record: (11-15)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Neutral L   *  59.16  65  74    1   7 (29- 5) Vanderbilt              7.65    -16.65                      
 2 11-09-2025 Home    W      45.20  69  52    1 203 (15-18) CS Sacramento          -6.31     23.31                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    W      36.51  60  52    1 201 (11-19) Pacific               -15.00     23.00                      
 4 11-15-2025 Home    W      57.25  69  44    1 158 (14-18) Charlotte               5.74     19.26                      
 5 11-16-2025 Home    W   *  55.99  76  65    1  62 (20-12) Harvard                 4.48      6.52                      
 6 11-20-2025 Home    W      39.21  70  62    1 168 (15-17) St Mary's CA          -12.30     20.30                      
 7 11-24-2025 Neutral W      43.52  68  63    1 120 (13-19) Grand Canyon           -7.99     12.99                      
 8 11-26-2025 Neutral L   *  37.07  50  58    1  71 (15-17) Auburn                -14.45      6.45                      
 9 12-04-2025 Away    L   *  46.84  67  68    1  72 (17-17) Missouri               -4.67      3.67                      
10 12-07-2025 Home    W      66.92  92  42    1 318 ( 4-28) San Jose St            15.41 *   34.59                      
11 12-10-2025 Home    W      45.96  68  61    1  96 (29- 6) Idaho                  -5.56     12.56                      
12 12-14-2025 Away    L * *  46.16  69  78    1  45 (21-14) Stanford               -5.35     -3.65                      
13 12-21-2025 Neutral L   *  56.55  57  61    1  26 (18-14) Southern Cal            5.04     -9.04                      
14 12-28-2025 Home    W      54.11  91  50    1 320 ( 4-26) Cal Poly                2.60 *   38.40                      
15 01-01-2026 Away    L * *  50.37  55  71    1  16 (28- 8) North Carolina         -1.14    -14.86                      
16 01-04-2026 Away    L * *  51.93  60  71    1  29 (21-11) NC State                0.42    -11.42                      
17 01-08-2026 Home    L * *  61.85  74  78    1   9 (27- 9) Duke                   10.34    -14.34                      
18 01-11-2026 Home    W * *  44.71  61  52    1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest            -6.80     15.80                      
19 01-15-2026 Away    L * *  53.62  87  90 3  1  40 (24- 9) Syracuse                2.10     -5.10                      
20 01-18-2026 Away    W * *  48.36  73  58    1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College         -3.16     18.16                      
21 01-25-2026 Home    W * *  56.79  78  71 1  1  45 (21-14) Stanford                5.28      1.72                      
22 01-29-2026 Home    W * *  70.84  80  69    1  20 (25-11) Notre Dame             19.33     -8.33                      
23 02-01-2026 Home    L * *  51.50  59  71    1   8 (29- 8) Louisville             -0.02    -11.98                      
24 02-05-2026 Away    W * *  56.21  63  56    1  66 (14-19) Georgia Tech            4.69      2.31                      
25 02-08-2026 Away    W * *  44.74  95  80    1 239 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh             -6.77     21.77                      
26 02-12-2026 Home    W * *  58.81  64  58    1  39 (22-12) Virginia                7.30     -1.30                      
27 02-15-2026 Home    L * *  41.41  58  68    1  35 (23-10) Virginia Tech         -10.11      0.11                      
28 02-19-2026 Away    W * *  58.03  75  62    1 107 (10-21) Florida St              6.52      6.48                      
29 02-22-2026 Away    L * *  44.09  60  69    1  52 (18-15) Miami FL               -7.42     -1.58                      
30 02-26-2026 Home    L * *  43.69  63  70    1  41 (21-12) Clemson                -7.82      0.82                      
31 03-01-2026 Home    W *    72.11  78  34    1 191 ( 9-21) SMU                    20.60     23.40                      
32 03-04-2026 Neutral W * *  61.40  75  52    1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest             9.89     13.11                      
33 03-05-2026 Neutral L * *  42.93  59  70    1  40 (24- 9) Syracuse               -8.58     -2.42                      
34 03-19-2026 Home    W      45.60  72  68    1  77 (24-10) Santa Clara            -5.91      9.91                      
35 03-22-2026 Away    W   *  61.34  83  75    1  54 (19-18) Kansas St               9.83     -1.83                      
36 03-26-2026 Home    L   *  43.68  68  74    1  51 (25- 8) Columbia               -7.83      1.83                      
      Averages              51.51  69.8 63.8

Best game:   72.11 = 44 point win over SMU
Worst game:  36.51 = 8 point win over Pacific
Team stdev:   9.09