BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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California

Class: 1 Class Rank: 50 Overall: (21-15) Overall Strength =   50.98
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (10-10) | District: 1-01 Record: (11-15)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Neutral L   *  59.13  65  74    1   7 (29- 5) Vanderbilt              7.62    -16.62                      
 2 11-09-2025 Home    W      45.21  69  52    1 203 (15-18) CS Sacramento          -6.30     23.30                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    W      36.53  60  52    1 201 (11-19) Pacific               -14.98     22.98                      
 4 11-15-2025 Home    W      57.24  69  44    1 158 (14-18) Charlotte               5.73     19.27                      
 5 11-16-2025 Home    W   *  55.98  76  65    1  62 (20-12) Harvard                 4.47      6.53                      
 6 11-20-2025 Home    W      39.23  70  62    1 166 (15-17) St Mary's CA          -12.28     20.28                      
 7 11-24-2025 Neutral W      43.53  68  63    1 120 (13-19) Grand Canyon           -7.98     12.98                      
 8 11-26-2025 Neutral L   *  37.04  50  58    1  71 (15-17) Auburn                -14.47      6.47                      
 9 12-04-2025 Away    L   *  46.82  67  68    1  72 (17-17) Missouri               -4.70      3.70                      
10 12-07-2025 Home    W      66.94  92  42    1 318 ( 4-28) San Jose St            15.43 *   34.57                      
11 12-10-2025 Home    W      45.97  68  61    1  96 (29- 6) Idaho                  -5.55     12.55                      
12 12-14-2025 Away    L * *  46.17  69  78    1  45 (21-14) Stanford               -5.34     -3.66                      
13 12-21-2025 Neutral L   *  56.62  57  61    1  25 (18-14) Southern Cal            5.10     -9.10                      
14 12-28-2025 Home    W      54.18  91  50    1 320 ( 4-26) Cal Poly                2.67 *   38.33                      
15 01-01-2026 Away    L * *  50.39  55  71    1  16 (28- 8) North Carolina         -1.13    -14.87                      
16 01-04-2026 Away    L * *  51.93  60  71    1  29 (21-11) NC State                0.42    -11.42                      
17 01-08-2026 Home    L * *  61.88  74  78    1   9 (27- 9) Duke                   10.37    -14.37                      
18 01-11-2026 Home    W * *  44.69  61  52    1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest            -6.82     15.82                      
19 01-15-2026 Away    L * *  53.60  87  90 3  1  40 (24- 9) Syracuse                2.09     -5.09                      
20 01-18-2026 Away    W * *  48.35  73  58    1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College         -3.16     18.16                      
21 01-25-2026 Home    W * *  56.80  78  71 1  1  45 (21-14) Stanford                5.28      1.72                      
22 01-29-2026 Home    W * *  70.81  80  69    1  20 (25-11) Notre Dame             19.30     -8.30                      
23 02-01-2026 Home    L * *  51.47  59  71    1   8 (29- 8) Louisville             -0.04    -11.96                      
24 02-05-2026 Away    W * *  56.20  63  56    1  66 (14-19) Georgia Tech            4.69      2.31                      
25 02-08-2026 Away    W * *  44.74  95  80    1 241 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh             -6.78     21.78                      
26 02-12-2026 Home    W * *  58.80  64  58    1  39 (22-12) Virginia                7.29     -1.29                      
27 02-15-2026 Home    L * *  41.41  58  68    1  35 (23-10) Virginia Tech         -10.11      0.11                      
28 02-19-2026 Away    W * *  58.02  75  62    1 107 (10-21) Florida St              6.51      6.49                      
29 02-22-2026 Away    L * *  44.10  60  69    1  52 (18-15) Miami FL               -7.42     -1.58                      
30 02-26-2026 Home    L * *  43.68  63  70    1  41 (21-12) Clemson                -7.83      0.83                      
31 03-01-2026 Home    W *    72.10  78  34    1 191 ( 9-21) SMU                    20.59     23.41                      
32 03-04-2026 Neutral W * *  61.38  75  52    1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest             9.86     13.14                      
33 03-05-2026 Neutral L * *  42.91  59  70    1  40 (24- 9) Syracuse               -8.60     -2.40                      
34 03-19-2026 Home    W      45.61  72  68    1  77 (24-10) Santa Clara            -5.90      9.90                      
35 03-22-2026 Away    W   *  61.35  83  75    1  54 (19-18) Kansas St               9.83     -1.83                      
36 03-26-2026 Home    L   *  43.67  68  74    1  51 (25- 8) Columbia               -7.85      1.85                      
      Averages              51.51  69.8 63.8

Best game:   72.10 = 44 point win over SMU
Worst game:  36.53 = 8 point win over Pacific
Team stdev:   9.09