BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 9 Overall: (27-9) Overall Strength = 67.35
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (19-2) | District: 1-01 Record: (20-8)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Neutral L * 51.58 52 58 1 33 (25- 9) Baylor -16.99 10.99
2 11-09-2025 Home W 74.77 91 48 1 167 (23-10) Holy Cross 6.20 * 36.80
3 11-12-2025 Home W 79.11 83 32 1 196 (18-15) Norfolk St 10.54 * 40.46
4 11-14-2025 Neutral L * 57.06 49 57 1 18 (28- 7) West Virginia -11.50 3.50
5 11-16-2025 Away W 52.36 71 57 1 143 (18-13) Liberty -16.21 * 30.21
6 11-20-2025 Away L 35.50 72 85 1 63 (20-12) South Florida -33.06 20.06
7 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 65.61 66 83 1 3 (36- 4) South Carolina -2.96 -14.04
8 11-27-2025 Neutral L * 53.17 59 89 1 1 (37- 1) UCLA -15.40 -14.60
9 12-04-2025 Home L * 62.91 77 93 1 5 (29- 6) LSU -5.66 -10.34
10 12-07-2025 Away W * * 72.78 70 54 1 35 (23-10) Virginia Tech 4.21 11.79
11 12-18-2025 Home W 92.03 97 54 1 55 (27- 7) S Dakota St 23.47 19.53
12 12-20-2025 Away W 73.06 76 46 1 105 (20-12) Belmont 4.50 25.50
13 12-28-2025 Away W * * 76.60 71 51 1 40 (24- 9) Syracuse 8.03 11.97
14 01-01-2026 Home W * * 78.98 100 49 1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College 10.41 * 40.59
15 01-04-2026 Home W * * 73.81 82 68 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame 5.25 8.75
16 01-08-2026 Away W * * 58.20 78 74 1 50 (21-15) California -10.37 14.37
17 01-11-2026 Away W * * 62.17 67 60 1 45 (21-14) Stanford -6.40 13.40
18 01-15-2026 Home W * * 59.80 65 58 1 39 (22-12) Virginia -8.76 15.76
19 01-18-2026 Home W * * 90.83 93 46 1 66 (14-19) Georgia Tech 22.26 24.74
20 01-24-2026 Away W * * 83.74 95 41 1 241 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh 15.17 * 38.83
21 01-29-2026 Away W * * 69.10 74 58 1 52 (18-15) Miami FL 0.53 15.47
22 02-01-2026 Home W * * 71.69 80 44 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest 3.12 * 32.88
23 02-05-2026 Away W * * 69.84 59 58 1 8 (29- 8) Louisville 1.28 -0.28
24 02-08-2026 Home W * 87.10 95 36 1 191 ( 9-21) SMU 18.53 * 40.47
25 02-15-2026 Home W * * 65.01 72 68 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina -3.56 7.56
26 02-19-2026 Home W * * 75.56 83 65 1 29 (21-11) NC State 6.99 11.01
27 02-22-2026 Away L * * 54.06 51 53 1 41 (21-12) Clemson -14.51 12.51
28 02-26-2026 Home W * * 67.64 80 52 1 107 (10-21) Florida St -0.92 * 28.92
29 03-01-2026 Away L * * 61.39 69 74 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina -7.18 2.18
30 03-06-2026 Neutral W * * 67.37 60 46 1 41 (21-12) Clemson -1.20 15.20
31 03-07-2026 Neutral W * * 64.50 65 63 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame -4.07 6.07
32 03-08-2026 Neutral W * * 71.16 70 65 1 1 8 (29- 8) Louisville 2.59 2.41
33 03-20-2026 Home W 54.59 81 64 1 104 (27- 6) Col Charleston -13.98 * 30.98
34 03-22-2026 Home W * 77.89 69 46 1 33 (25- 9) Baylor 9.32 13.68
35 03-27-2026 Away W * 86.29 87 85 1 5 (29- 6) LSU 17.72 -15.72
36 03-29-2026 Neutral L * 71.17 58 70 1 1 (37- 1) UCLA 2.60 -14.60
Averages 68.57 74.1 59.7
Best game: 92.03 = 43 point win over S Dakota St
Worst game: 35.50 = 13 point loss to South Florida
Team stdev: 12.25