BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 12 Overall: (24-8) Overall Strength = 65.62
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (19-2) | District: 1-01 Record: (18-7)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Neutral L * 51.40 52 58 1 32 (24- 8) Baylor -16.32 10.32
2 11-09-2025 Home W 73.93 91 48 1 170 (21- 9) Holy Cross 6.21 * 36.79
3 11-12-2025 Home W 78.46 83 32 1 199 (16-13) Norfolk St 10.74 * 40.26
4 11-14-2025 Neutral L * 57.05 49 57 1 17 (27- 6) West Virginia -10.66 2.66
5 11-16-2025 Away W 51.20 71 57 1 161 (17-12) Liberty -16.52 * 30.52
6 11-20-2025 Away L 35.58 72 85 1 63 (20-11) South Florida -32.13 19.13
7 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 64.19 66 83 1 3 (31- 3) South Carolina -3.53 -13.47
8 11-27-2025 Neutral L * 52.20 59 89 1 2 (31- 1) UCLA -15.52 -14.48
9 12-04-2025 Home L * 61.99 77 93 1 5 (27- 5) LSU -5.72 -10.28
10 12-07-2025 Away W * * 72.55 70 54 1 35 (23- 9) Virginia Tech 4.84 11.16
11 12-18-2025 Home W 92.26 97 54 1 54 (27- 6) S Dakota St 24.55 18.45
12 12-20-2025 Away W 73.74 76 46 1 99 (20-11) Belmont 6.02 23.98
13 12-28-2025 Away W * * 76.51 71 51 1 39 (23- 8) Syracuse 8.80 11.20
14 01-01-2026 Home W * * 78.64 100 49 1 203 ( 5-26) Boston College 10.92 * 40.08
15 01-04-2026 Home W * * 72.66 82 68 1 25 (22-10) Notre Dame 4.95 9.05
16 01-08-2026 Away W * * 58.07 78 74 1 49 (19-14) California -9.64 13.64
17 01-11-2026 Away W * * 62.71 67 60 1 41 (19-13) Stanford -5.00 12.00
18 01-15-2026 Home W * * 58.59 65 58 1 44 (19-11) Virginia -9.13 16.13
19 01-18-2026 Home W * * 90.58 93 46 1 67 (14-18) Georgia Tech 22.86 24.14
20 01-24-2026 Away W * * 83.37 95 41 1 240 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh 15.65 * 38.35
21 01-29-2026 Away W * * 68.74 74 58 1 53 (17-14) Miami FL 1.02 14.98
22 02-01-2026 Home W * * 72.26 80 44 1 109 (14-17) Wake Forest 4.54 * 31.46
23 02-05-2026 Away W * * 70.37 59 58 1 8 (27- 7) Louisville 2.65 -1.65
24 02-08-2026 Home W * 86.91 95 36 1 190 ( 9-21) SMU 19.19 * 39.81
25 02-15-2026 Home W * * 64.25 72 68 1 18 (26- 7) North Carolina -3.47 7.47
26 02-19-2026 Home W * * 75.30 83 65 1 29 (20-10) NC State 7.58 10.42
27 02-22-2026 Away L * * 53.56 51 53 1 40 (21-11) Clemson -14.16 12.16
28 02-26-2026 Home W * * 67.41 80 52 1 107 (10-21) Florida St -0.31 * 28.31
29 03-01-2026 Away L * * 60.54 69 74 1 18 (26- 7) North Carolina -7.18 2.18
30 03-06-2026 Neutral W * * 66.91 60 46 1 40 (21-11) Clemson -0.81 14.81
31 03-07-2026 Neutral W * * 63.31 65 63 1 25 (22-10) Notre Dame -4.41 6.41
32 03-08-2026 Neutral W * * 71.72 70 65 1 1 8 (27- 7) Louisville 4.00 1.00
Averages 67.72 74.1 58.9
Best game: 92.26 = 43 point win over S Dakota St
Worst game: 35.58 = 13 point loss to South Florida
Team stdev: 12.36