BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 9 Overall: (27-9) Overall Strength = 67.30
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (19-2) | District: 1-01 Record: (20-8)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Neutral L * 51.58 52 58 1 33 (25- 9) Baylor -16.95 10.95
2 11-09-2025 Home W 74.77 91 48 1 167 (23-10) Holy Cross 6.24 * 36.76
3 11-12-2025 Home W 79.11 83 32 1 196 (18-15) Norfolk St 10.58 * 40.42
4 11-14-2025 Neutral L * 57.06 49 57 1 18 (28- 7) West Virginia -11.47 3.47
5 11-16-2025 Away W 52.35 71 57 1 143 (18-13) Liberty -16.18 * 30.18
6 11-20-2025 Away L 35.50 72 85 1 63 (20-12) South Florida -33.03 20.03
7 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 65.93 66 83 1 3 (35- 3) South Carolina -2.60 -14.40
8 11-27-2025 Neutral L * 52.21 59 89 1 2 (35- 1) UCLA -16.32 -13.68
9 12-04-2025 Home L * 62.95 77 93 1 5 (29- 6) LSU -5.58 -10.42
10 12-07-2025 Away W * * 72.77 70 54 1 35 (23-10) Virginia Tech 4.24 11.76
11 12-18-2025 Home W 92.05 97 54 1 55 (27- 7) S Dakota St 23.52 19.48
12 12-20-2025 Away W 73.15 76 46 1 103 (20-12) Belmont 4.62 25.38
13 12-28-2025 Away W * * 76.62 71 51 1 40 (24- 9) Syracuse 8.08 11.92
14 01-01-2026 Home W * * 78.99 100 49 1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College 10.46 * 40.54
15 01-04-2026 Home W * * 73.84 82 68 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame 5.31 8.69
16 01-08-2026 Away W * * 58.20 78 74 1 50 (21-15) California -10.34 14.34
17 01-11-2026 Away W * * 62.16 67 60 1 45 (21-14) Stanford -6.37 13.37
18 01-15-2026 Home W * * 59.81 65 58 1 39 (22-12) Virginia -8.72 15.72
19 01-18-2026 Home W * * 90.84 93 46 1 66 (14-19) Georgia Tech 22.31 24.69
20 01-24-2026 Away W * * 83.74 95 41 1 239 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh 15.21 * 38.79
21 01-29-2026 Away W * * 69.09 74 58 1 52 (18-15) Miami FL 0.56 15.44
22 02-01-2026 Home W * * 71.71 80 44 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest 3.18 * 32.82
23 02-05-2026 Away W * * 69.86 59 58 1 8 (29- 8) Louisville 1.33 -0.33
24 02-08-2026 Home W * 87.11 95 36 1 191 ( 9-21) SMU 18.58 * 40.42
25 02-15-2026 Home W * * 65.01 72 68 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina -3.52 7.52
26 02-19-2026 Home W * * 75.57 83 65 1 29 (21-11) NC State 7.03 10.97
27 02-22-2026 Away L * * 54.06 51 53 1 41 (21-12) Clemson -14.47 12.47
28 02-26-2026 Home W * * 67.66 80 52 1 107 (10-21) Florida St -0.87 * 28.87
29 03-01-2026 Away L * * 61.37 69 74 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina -7.16 2.16
30 03-06-2026 Neutral W * * 67.37 60 46 1 41 (21-12) Clemson -1.16 15.16
31 03-07-2026 Neutral W * * 64.52 65 63 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame -4.01 6.01
32 03-08-2026 Neutral W * * 71.18 70 65 1 1 8 (29- 8) Louisville 2.65 2.35
33 03-20-2026 Home W 54.59 81 64 1 105 (27- 6) Col Charleston -13.94 * 30.94
34 03-22-2026 Home W * 77.89 69 46 1 33 (25- 9) Baylor 9.36 13.64
35 03-27-2026 Away W * 86.32 87 85 1 5 (29- 6) LSU 17.78 -15.78
36 03-29-2026 Neutral L * 70.21 58 70 1 2 (35- 1) UCLA 1.68 -13.68
Averages 68.53 74.1 59.7
Best game: 92.05 = 43 point win over S Dakota St
Worst game: 35.50 = 13 point loss to South Florida
Team stdev: 12.28