BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Louisville
Class: 1 Class Rank: 8 Overall: (29-8) Overall Strength = 67.76
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (17-4) | District: 1-01 Record: (19-7)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Neutral L 71.83 66 79 1 2 (38- 1) Connecticut 5.67 -18.67
2 11-09-2025 Home W 57.88 89 61 1 189 (15-17) N Kentucky -8.27 * 36.27
3 11-12-2025 Home W * 56.82 74 68 1 38 (22-12) Colorado -9.33 15.33
4 11-16-2025 Away W * * 67.06 65 54 1 41 (21-12) Clemson 0.90 10.10
5 11-19-2025 Home W 73.78 96 49 1 223 (18-15) Morehead St 7.62 * 39.38
6 11-22-2025 Home L * 52.94 62 72 1 12 (25-11) Kentucky -13.21 3.21
7 11-28-2025 Home W 68.85 91 38 1 317 ( 4-27) E Illinois 2.70 * 50.30
8 11-29-2025 Neutral W 63.94 88 50 1 257 (18-13) ETSU -2.21 * 40.21
9 11-30-2025 Home W 60.31 100 37 1 359 ( 2-30) Bellarmine -5.84 * 68.84
10 12-04-2025 Home L * 77.92 77 79 1 3 (36- 4) South Carolina 11.77 -13.77
11 12-07-2025 Home W 72.40 94 43 1 274 (10-20) New Hampshire 6.24 * 44.76
12 12-10-2025 Home W 73.10 93 62 1 78 (26- 7) Ball St 6.95 24.05
13 12-14-2025 Away W * * 76.39 76 66 1 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina 10.23 -0.23
14 12-17-2025 Home W 60.64 76 51 1 129 (25- 9) Eastern Kentucky -5.52 * 30.52
15 12-20-2025 Neutral W * 85.56 89 65 1 24 (16-14) Tennessee 19.40 4.60
16 01-01-2026 Home W * 61.10 91 58 1 191 ( 9-21) SMU -5.05 * 38.05
17 01-04-2026 Home W * * 76.41 85 60 1 35 (23-10) Virginia Tech 10.25 14.75
18 01-08-2026 Away W * * 62.10 77 68 1 52 (18-15) Miami FL -4.06 13.06
19 01-11-2026 Home W * * 64.36 86 46 1 241 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh -1.79 * 41.79
20 01-15-2026 Away W * * 78.19 79 66 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame 12.03 0.97
21 01-18-2026 Away W * * 70.93 88 80 1 1 29 (21-11) NC State 4.78 3.22
22 01-24-2026 Home W * * 56.98 85 56 1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College -9.18 * 38.18
23 01-29-2026 Away W * * 73.17 84 66 1 45 (21-14) Stanford 7.01 10.99
24 02-01-2026 Away W * * 66.20 71 59 1 50 (21-15) California 0.04 11.96
25 02-05-2026 Home L * * 64.88 58 59 1 9 (27- 9) Duke -1.28 0.28
26 02-08-2026 Away W * * 75.60 84 65 1 40 (24- 9) Syracuse 9.44 9.56
27 02-12-2026 Home W * * 54.69 86 67 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest -11.47 * 30.47
28 02-15-2026 Home W * * 62.64 88 65 1 107 (10-21) Florida St -3.51 26.51
29 02-22-2026 Home L * * 50.80 72 74 1 39 (22-12) Virginia -15.35 13.35
30 02-26-2026 Away W * * 68.20 69 50 1 66 (14-19) Georgia Tech 2.05 16.95
31 03-01-2026 Home L * * 56.81 62 65 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame -9.34 6.34
32 03-06-2026 Neutral W * * 79.91 87 61 1 40 (24- 9) Syracuse 13.76 12.24
33 03-07-2026 Neutral W * * 71.70 65 57 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina 5.54 2.46
34 03-08-2026 Neutral L * * 63.57 65 70 1 1 9 (27- 9) Duke -2.59 -2.41
35 03-21-2026 Home W 58.87 72 52 1 101 (27- 8) Vermont -7.28 * 27.28
36 03-23-2026 Home W * 57.55 69 68 1 21 (24-11) Alabama -8.61 9.61
37 03-28-2026 Neutral L * 53.67 52 71 1 6 (28- 7) Michigan -12.48 -6.52
Averages 66.16 78.7 61.0
Best game: 85.56 = 24 point win over Tennessee
Worst game: 50.80 = 2 point loss to Virginia
Team stdev: 8.70