BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Louisville
Class: 1 Class Rank: 8 Overall: (29-8) Overall Strength = 67.79
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (17-4) | District: 1-01 Record: (19-7)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Neutral L 72.31 66 79 1 1 (38- 0) Connecticut 6.13 -19.13
2 11-09-2025 Home W 57.87 89 61 1 189 (15-17) N Kentucky -8.31 * 36.31
3 11-12-2025 Home W * 56.82 74 68 1 38 (22-12) Colorado -9.36 15.36
4 11-16-2025 Away W * * 67.06 65 54 1 41 (21-12) Clemson 0.88 10.12
5 11-19-2025 Home W 73.77 96 49 1 224 (18-15) Morehead St 7.59 * 39.41
6 11-22-2025 Home L * 52.97 62 72 1 12 (25-11) Kentucky -13.21 3.21
7 11-28-2025 Home W 68.88 91 38 1 317 ( 4-27) E Illinois 2.70 * 50.30
8 11-29-2025 Neutral W 63.94 88 50 1 257 (18-13) ETSU -2.24 * 40.24
9 11-30-2025 Home W 60.32 100 37 1 359 ( 2-30) Bellarmine -5.86 * 68.86
10 12-04-2025 Home L * 78.25 77 79 1 3 (35- 3) South Carolina 12.07 -14.07
11 12-07-2025 Home W 72.40 94 43 1 274 (10-20) New Hampshire 6.22 * 44.78
12 12-10-2025 Home W 73.09 93 62 1 78 (26- 7) Ball St 6.91 24.09
13 12-14-2025 Away W * * 76.37 76 66 1 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina 10.19 -0.19
14 12-17-2025 Home W 60.63 76 51 1 130 (25- 9) Eastern Kentucky -5.55 * 30.55
15 12-20-2025 Neutral W * 85.58 89 65 1 24 (16-14) Tennessee 19.40 4.60
16 01-01-2026 Home W * 61.11 91 58 1 191 ( 9-21) SMU -5.07 * 38.07
17 01-04-2026 Home W * * 76.41 85 60 1 35 (23-10) Virginia Tech 10.23 14.77
18 01-08-2026 Away W * * 62.09 77 68 1 52 (18-15) Miami FL -4.09 13.09
19 01-11-2026 Home W * * 64.37 86 46 1 239 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh -1.81 * 41.81
20 01-15-2026 Away W * * 78.21 79 66 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame 12.03 0.97
21 01-18-2026 Away W * * 70.93 88 80 1 1 29 (21-11) NC State 4.75 3.25
22 01-24-2026 Home W * * 56.99 85 56 1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College -9.19 * 38.19
23 01-29-2026 Away W * * 73.16 84 66 1 45 (21-14) Stanford 6.98 11.02
24 02-01-2026 Away W * * 66.20 71 59 1 50 (21-15) California 0.02 11.98
25 02-05-2026 Home L * * 64.85 58 59 1 9 (27- 9) Duke -1.33 0.33
26 02-08-2026 Away W * * 75.62 84 65 1 40 (24- 9) Syracuse 9.44 9.56
27 02-12-2026 Home W * * 54.71 86 67 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest -11.47 * 30.47
28 02-15-2026 Home W * * 62.66 88 65 1 107 (10-21) Florida St -3.52 26.52
29 02-22-2026 Home L * * 50.81 72 74 1 39 (22-12) Virginia -15.37 13.37
30 02-26-2026 Away W * * 68.21 69 50 1 66 (14-19) Georgia Tech 2.03 16.97
31 03-01-2026 Home L * * 56.84 62 65 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame -9.34 6.34
32 03-06-2026 Neutral W * * 79.93 87 61 1 40 (24- 9) Syracuse 13.75 12.25
33 03-07-2026 Neutral W * * 71.69 65 57 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina 5.51 2.49
34 03-08-2026 Neutral L * * 63.53 65 70 1 1 9 (27- 9) Duke -2.65 -2.35
35 03-21-2026 Home W 58.87 72 52 1 101 (27- 8) Vermont -7.31 * 27.31
36 03-23-2026 Home W * 57.58 69 68 1 21 (24-11) Alabama -8.60 9.60
37 03-28-2026 Neutral L * 53.63 52 71 1 6 (28- 7) Michigan -12.55 -6.45
Averages 66.18 78.7 61.0
Best game: 85.58 = 24 point win over Tennessee
Worst game: 50.81 = 2 point loss to Virginia
Team stdev: 8.73