BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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UMBC
Class: 1 Class Rank: 197 Overall: (16-14) Overall Strength = 31.39
Conference: America East Record: (11-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (13-12)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 31.19 90 49 ZZ 125 ( 0- 1) Stevenson 0.00 * 41.00
2 11-06-2025 Away L 35.23 54 87 1 15 (23- 8) Maryland 4.04 * -37.04
3 11-13-2025 Away W 61.88 61 56 1 44 (19-11) Virginia 30.70 -25.70
4 11-16-2025 Home L 31.55 54 56 1 139 (16-10) Brown 0.37 -2.37
5 11-19-2025 Away L * 14.79 54 68 1 255 (18-13) MD E Shore -16.40 2.40
6 11-23-2025 Home L * 19.24 64 71 1 237 (17-13) Towson -11.94 4.94
7 11-28-2025 Away L * 25.64 76 86 1 180 (19-10) Florida Intl -5.54 -4.46
8 11-30-2025 Neutral W * 21.91 68 48 1 358 ( 3-27) Presbyterian -9.28 * 29.28
9 12-06-2025 Away W * 34.01 66 48 1 342 ( 5-25) Morgan St 2.82 15.18
10 12-09-2025 Home L * 18.41 57 60 1 275 (12-18) Loyola MD -12.78 9.78
11 12-21-2025 Away L * 16.33 61 65 1 318 ( 7-23) American Univ -14.85 10.85
12 12-30-2025 Home W 31.19 104 22 ZZ 283 ( 0- 1) Notre Dame MD 0.00 * 82.00
13 01-01-2026 Home L * * 23.72 75 80 1 193 (18-12) NJIT -7.46 2.46
14 01-08-2026 Away L * * 22.11 43 58 1 164 (19-12) Maine -9.07 -5.93
15 01-10-2026 Away W * * 37.10 58 47 1 278 (10-20) New Hampshire 5.91 5.09
16 01-15-2026 Home W * * 38.89 55 47 1 174 (18-12) Bryant 7.71 0.29
17 01-17-2026 Home W * * 36.24 64 58 1 175 (19-12) Binghamton 5.05 0.95
18 01-22-2026 Away W * * 35.01 52 51 1 193 (18-12) NJIT 3.83 -2.83
19 01-24-2026 Away W * * 38.61 75 52 1 340 ( 8-21) MA Lowell 7.42 15.58
20 01-29-2026 Home L * * 15.82 47 69 1 104 (26- 7) Vermont -15.36 -6.64
21 01-31-2026 Home W * * 37.89 55 46 1 1 198 (14-16) SUNY Albany 6.70 2.30
22 02-05-2026 Away L * * 21.53 59 73 1 175 (19-12) Binghamton -9.65 -4.35
23 02-12-2026 Home L * * 30.82 55 56 1 164 (19-12) Maine -0.37 -0.63
24 02-14-2026 Home W * * 37.80 61 44 1 278 (10-20) New Hampshire 6.62 10.38
25 02-19-2026 Away W * * 45.12 46 44 1 104 (26- 7) Vermont 13.93 -11.93
26 02-21-2026 Away L * * 28.18 63 69 2 1 198 (14-16) SUNY Albany -3.00 -3.00
27 02-26-2026 Away W * * 42.19 65 59 2 1 174 (18-12) Bryant 11.00 -5.00
28 02-28-2026 Home W * * 33.31 66 43 1 340 ( 8-21) MA Lowell 2.13 20.87
29 03-05-2026 Home W * * 29.72 66 65 1 193 (18-12) NJIT -1.46 2.46
30 03-09-2026 Away L * * 40.12 65 68 2 1 104 (26- 7) Vermont 8.93 -11.93
Averages 31.19 62.6 58.2
Best game: 61.88 = 5 point win over Virginia
Worst game: 14.79 = 14 point loss to MD E Shore
Team stdev: 10.23