BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

UMBC

Class: 1 Class Rank: 187 Overall: (17-15) Overall Strength =   32.34
Conference: America East Record: (11-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-13)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W      32.10  90  49   ZZ 119 ( 0- 1) Stevenson              -0.00 *   41.00                      
 2 11-06-2025 Away    L      35.31  54  87    1  13 (24- 9) Maryland                3.21 *  -36.21                      
 3 11-13-2025 Away    W      63.18  61  56    1  39 (22-12) Virginia               31.08    -26.08                      
 4 11-16-2025 Home    L      32.64  54  56    1 131 (16-11) Brown                   0.54     -2.54                      
 5 11-19-2025 Away    L   *  15.66  54  68    1 247 (20-15) MD E Shore            -16.44      2.44                      
 6 11-23-2025 Home    L   *  19.56  64  71    1 235 (17-14) Towson                -12.54      5.54                      
 7 11-28-2025 Away    L   *  25.96  76  86    1 178 (21-12) Florida Intl           -6.14     -3.86                      
 8 11-30-2025 Neutral W   *  22.15  68  48    1 358 ( 3-27) Presbyterian           -9.95 *   29.95                      
 9 12-06-2025 Away    W   *  34.30  66  48    1 342 ( 5-26) Morgan St               2.20     15.80                      
10 12-09-2025 Home    L   *  18.82  57  60    1 275 (12-18) Loyola MD             -13.28     10.28                      
11 12-21-2025 Away    L   *  16.87  61  65    1 316 ( 7-23) American Univ         -15.23     11.23                      
12 12-30-2025 Home    W      32.10 104  22   ZZ 282 ( 0- 1) Notre Dame MD          -0.00 *   82.00                      
13 01-01-2026 Home    L * *  24.36  75  80    1 186 (19-13) NJIT                   -7.74      2.74                      
14 01-08-2026 Away    L * *  22.55  43  58    1 164 (19-13) Maine                  -9.55     -5.45                      
15 01-10-2026 Away    W * *  37.77  58  47    1 274 (10-20) New Hampshire           5.67      5.33                      
16 01-15-2026 Home    W * *  39.53  55  47    1 171 (18-12) Bryant                  7.43      0.57                      
17 01-17-2026 Home    W * *  36.90  64  58    1 172 (20-13) Binghamton              4.80      1.20                      
18 01-22-2026 Away    W * *  35.72  52  51    1 186 (19-13) NJIT                    3.62     -2.62                      
19 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  39.26  75  52    1 339 ( 8-21) MA Lowell               7.16     15.84                      
20 01-29-2026 Home    L * *  16.87  47  69    1 101 (27- 8) Vermont               -15.23     -6.77                      
21 01-31-2026 Home    W * *  38.51  55  46 1  1 195 (14-16) SUNY Albany             6.41      2.59                      
22 02-05-2026 Away    L * *  22.27  59  73    1 172 (20-13) Binghamton             -9.83     -4.17                      
23 02-12-2026 Home    L * *  31.18  55  56    1 164 (19-13) Maine                  -0.92     -0.08                      
24 02-14-2026 Home    W * *  38.40  61  44    1 274 (10-20) New Hampshire           6.30     10.70                      
25 02-19-2026 Away    W * *  46.24  46  44    1 101 (27- 8) Vermont                14.14    -12.14                      
26 02-21-2026 Away    L * *  28.88  63  69 2  1 195 (14-16) SUNY Albany            -3.22     -2.78                      
27 02-26-2026 Away    W * *  42.89  65  59 2  1 171 (18-12) Bryant                 10.80     -4.80                      
28 02-28-2026 Home    W * *  33.90  66  43    1 339 ( 8-21) MA Lowell               1.80     21.20                      
29 03-05-2026 Home    W * *  30.36  66  65    1 186 (19-13) NJIT                   -1.74      2.74                      
30 03-09-2026 Away    L * *  41.24  65  68 2  1 101 (27- 8) Vermont                 9.14    -12.14                      
31 03-19-2026 Away    W   *  40.74  62  58 1  1 161 (18-14) Ohio                    8.64     -4.64                      
32 03-23-2026 Away    L   *  30.96  53  66    1  97 (27- 9) Marshall               -1.14    -11.86                      
      Averages              32.10  62.3 58.4

Best game:   63.18 = 5 point win over Virginia
Worst game:  15.66 = 14 point loss to MD E Shore
Team stdev:  10.13