BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Michigan

Class: 1 Class Rank: 22 Conference: Big 10 Record: (12-8) Overall: (22-9) Overall Strength =   63.08

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2022 Home    W    70.62  83  30    1 343 (  7- 18) Delaware St             7.78 *   45.22                      
  2 11-11-2022 Home    W    67.08  91  36    1 356 (  7- 21) St Francis PA           4.24 *   50.76                      
  3 11-16-2022 Home    W    62.28  99  67    1 233 ( 12- 17) Western Michigan       -0.56 *   32.56                      
  4 11-20-2022 Away    W    49.49  69  53    1 254 ( 15- 14) Fairfield             -13.35 *   29.35                      
  5 11-25-2022 Neutral W    58.39  68  48    1 169 ( 13- 18) Air Force              -4.46     24.46                      
  6 11-26-2022 Neutral W    63.87  63  58    1  34 ( 26-  5) South Florida           1.02      3.98                      
  7 11-27-2022 Neutral W    70.50  84  75    1  33 ( 19- 11) Baylor                  7.66      1.34                      
  8 12-01-2022 Away    W    72.33  76  64    1  41 ( 19- 12) Miami FL                9.49      2.51                      
  9 12-04-2022 Home    W *  52.81  77  66    1 108 (  9- 21) Northwestern          -10.03     21.03                      
 10 12-08-2022 Home    L    44.36  68  71    1  75 ( 25-  4) Toledo                -18.48     15.48                      
 11 12-17-2022 Home    W    58.54  77  49    1 239 ( 11- 20) Appalachian St         -4.31 *   32.31                      
 12 12-20-2022 Neutral W    71.09  76  68    1  19 ( 21- 10) North Carolina          8.25     -0.25                      
 13 12-28-2022 Away    W *  78.70  76  59    1  39 ( 16- 14) Nebraska               15.86      1.14                      
 14 12-31-2022 Away    L *  59.00  57  66    1  15 ( 25-  7) Ohio St                -3.84     -5.16                      
 15 01-03-2023 Home    W *  56.78  82  72    1  87 ( 14- 17) Penn St                -6.07     16.07                      
 16 01-07-2023 Home    L *  59.39  85  94    1   6 ( 26-  6) Iowa                   -3.45     -5.55                      
 17 01-10-2023 Away    W *  81.30  80  59    1  45 ( 19- 10) Purdue                 18.46      2.54                      
 18 01-14-2023 Home    W *  72.59  70  55    1  48 ( 16- 14) Michigan St             9.75      5.25                      
 19 01-19-2023 Away    W *  66.23  81  58    1 135 ( 12- 20) Rutgers                 3.38     19.62                      
 20 01-23-2023 Home    L *  60.94  83  92    1   3 ( 27-  3) Indiana                -1.91     -7.09                      
 21 01-26-2023 Away    L *  60.83  64  72    1  11 ( 25-  6) Maryland               -2.01     -5.99                      
 22 01-29-2023 Away    W *  85.24  77  41    1 101 ( 11- 19) Minnesota              22.40     13.60                      
 23 02-02-2023 Home    W *  73.08  74  57    1  44 ( 22-  9) Illinois               10.24      6.76                      
 24 02-05-2023 Away    W *  72.71  77  67    1  48 ( 16- 14) Michigan St             9.87      0.13                      
 25 02-12-2023 Home    W *  61.58  80  75    1  39 ( 16- 14) Nebraska               -1.26      6.26                      
 26 02-16-2023 Away    L *  59.06  52  68    1   3 ( 27-  3) Indiana                -3.79    -12.21                      
 27 02-20-2023 Home    L *  49.88  61  74    1  15 ( 25-  7) Ohio St               -12.96     -0.04                      
 28 02-23-2023 Home    W *  56.11  71  53    1 135 ( 12- 20) Rutgers                -6.74     24.74                      
 29 02-26-2023 Away    L *  41.17  70  78    1  94 ( 11- 20) Wisconsin             -21.68     13.68                      
 30 03-02-2023 Home    W *  48.78  63  61    1  87 ( 14- 17) Penn St               -14.07     16.07                      
 31 03-03-2023 Neutral L *  63.44  79  81    1  15 ( 25-  7) Ohio St                 0.60     -2.60                      
      Averages              62.84  74.6 63.5

Best game:   85.24 = 36 point win over Minnesota
Worst game:  41.17 = 8 point loss to Wisconsin
Team stdev:  10.53