BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fairfield

Class: 1 Class Rank: 254 Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (11-9) Overall: (15-14) Overall Strength =   30.45

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    W    44.10  62  52    1 243 ( 11- 15) Brown                  13.17     -3.17                      
  2 11-11-2022 Away    L    23.90  49  77    1  87 ( 14- 17) Penn St                -7.03    -20.97                      
  3 11-14-2022 Away    L    31.05  61  68    1 205 ( 13- 14) Yale                    0.12     -7.12                      
  4 11-18-2022 Home    W    41.53  77  53    1 342 (  9- 20) Stonehill              10.60     13.40                      
  5 11-20-2022 Home    L    44.28  53  69    1  22 ( 22-  9) Michigan               13.35 *  -29.35                      
  6 11-30-2022 Away    W    55.81  82  75 1  1  99 ( 18- 12) Fordham                24.87    -17.87                      
  7 12-03-2022 Away    L    23.91  72  77    1 294 ( 13- 17) Binghamton             -7.02      2.02                      
  8 12-07-2022 Away    W    44.60  90  83    1 214 (  7- 21) Dayton                 13.67     -6.67                      
  9 12-11-2022 Home    L    14.03  58  69    1 290 ( 15- 13) Sacred Heart          -16.90      5.90                      
 10 12-17-2022 Away    W *  41.59  76  49    1 359 (  0- 29) St Peter's             10.66     16.34                      
 11 12-19-2022 Home    W *  41.52  49  43    1 166 ( 23-  6) Ioan                   10.58     -4.58                      
 12 12-29-2022 Away    W *  32.37  62  56    1 307 ( 11- 18) Mt St Mary's            1.44      4.56                      
 13 01-05-2023 Away    L *  19.53  46  61    1 241 ( 18- 12) Siena                 -11.40     -3.60                      
 14 01-07-2023 Home    W *  29.05  52  50    1 262 ( 13- 16) Manhattan              -1.88      3.88                      
 15 01-12-2023 Home    L *  21.17  62  70 1  1 244 ( 17- 11) Niagara                -9.76      1.76                      
 16 01-14-2023 Away    W *  39.06  43  34    1 284 ( 12- 17) Marist                  8.12      0.88                      
 17 01-19-2023 Home    L *  25.41  51  55 1  1 241 ( 18- 12) Siena                  -5.52      1.52                      
 18 01-21-2023 Away    W *  26.95  64  61 2  1 335 (  9- 20) Rider                  -3.98      6.98                      
 19 01-26-2023 Home    W *  22.25  54  53    1 307 ( 11- 18) Mt St Mary's           -8.68      9.68                      
 20 01-28-2023 Home    W *  30.51  65  55    1 322 (  9- 20) Canisius               -0.42     10.42                      
 21 02-02-2023 Away    L *  25.17  46  53    1 262 ( 13- 16) Manhattan              -5.76     -1.24                      
 22 02-04-2023 Home    W *  31.83  62  49    1 335 (  9- 20) Rider                   0.90     12.10                      
 23 02-09-2023 Away    L *  29.64  55  66    1 166 ( 23-  6) Ioan                   -1.30     -9.70                      
 24 02-11-2023 Home    L *  29.66  60  66 1  1 160 ( 21-  8) Qunnipiac              -1.27     -4.73                      
 25 02-17-2023 Away    L *  12.63  60  73    1 322 (  9- 20) Canisius              -18.30      5.30                      
 26 02-19-2023 Away    L *  25.29  56  65 1  1 244 ( 17- 11) Niagara                -5.64     -3.36                      
 27 02-23-2023 Home    W *  40.94  73  57    1 284 ( 12- 17) Marist                 10.00      6.00                      
 28 03-02-2023 Home    W *  21.47  65  53    1 359 (  0- 29) St Peter's             -9.46     21.46                      
 29 03-04-2023 Away    L *  27.78  39  52    1 160 ( 21-  8) Qunnipiac              -3.15     -9.85                      
      Averages              30.93  60.1 60.1

Best game:   55.81 = 7 point win over Fordham
Worst game:  12.63 = 13 point loss to Canisius
Team stdev:  10.18