BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1 Class Rank: 214 Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (6-11) Overall: (7-21) Overall Strength = 35.04
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Away L 36.56 60 69 1 117 ( 13- 19) Providence 1.53 -10.53
2 11-10-2022 Home L 41.22 70 74 1 1 91 ( 23- 7) Illinois St 6.18 -10.18
3 11-13-2022 Away L 23.68 69 85 1 185 ( 17- 12) Akron -11.36 -4.64
4 11-17-2022 Home L 32.79 78 82 2 1 150 ( 17- 13) N Kentucky -2.24 -1.76
5 11-21-2022 Neutral L 48.65 50 63 1 18 ( 23- 8) Mississippi 13.62 -26.62
6 11-23-2022 Neutral L 24.51 44 70 1 74 ( 12- 19) Kentucky -10.53 -15.47
7 11-29-2022 Home L 24.64 51 52 1 285 ( 6- 23) Ohio -10.40 9.40
8 12-04-2022 Home L 42.64 65 69 1 84 ( 16- 14) Florida 7.60 -11.60
9 12-07-2022 Home L 21.37 83 90 1 254 ( 15- 14) Fairfield -13.67 6.67
10 12-11-2022 Away L 40.48 45 57 1 75 ( 25- 4) Toledo 5.45 -17.45
11 12-29-2022 Home W 35.04 94 58 ZZ 93 ( 0- 1) Cedarville -0.00 * 36.00
12 01-01-2023 Away W * 45.25 71 66 1 181 ( 16- 15) George Mason 10.22 -5.22
13 01-05-2023 Away L * 41.83 69 70 1 141 ( 19- 12) Duquesne 6.79 -7.79
14 01-08-2023 Home L * 27.69 66 82 1 99 ( 18- 12) Fordham -7.35 -8.65
15 01-11-2023 Home W * 42.75 66 60 1 151 ( 14- 16) Davidson 7.71 -1.71
16 01-15-2023 Away L * 33.93 69 80 1 126 ( 17- 17) Saint Louis -1.11 -9.89
17 01-19-2023 Away L * 24.00 53 54 1 330 ( 6- 26) St Bonaventure -11.04 10.04
18 01-22-2023 Home L * 31.25 60 79 1 56 ( 26- 6) Massachusetts -3.79 -15.21
19 01-25-2023 Home L * 29.71 79 87 1 141 ( 19- 12) Duquesne -5.33 -2.67
20 01-28-2023 Away L * 27.22 57 71 1 154 ( 18- 13) G Washington -7.82 -6.18
21 02-01-2023 Away W * 46.29 81 68 1 253 ( 6- 24) Loyola-Chicago 11.26 1.74
22 02-08-2023 Home L * 30.81 65 74 1 126 ( 17- 17) Saint Louis -4.23 -4.77
23 02-11-2023 Home L * 30.77 62 74 1 104 ( 20- 10) St Joseph's PA -4.27 -7.73
24 02-15-2023 Away W * 41.92 70 65 1 219 ( 7- 22) VCU 6.88 -1.88
25 02-22-2023 Home W * 50.11 65 51 1 161 ( 17- 14) La Salle 15.08 -1.08
26 02-25-2023 Away L * 28.01 57 81 1 85 ( 24- 6) Rhode Island -7.03 -16.97
27 03-01-2023 Neutral W * 40.36 67 61 1 219 ( 7- 22) VCU 5.32 0.68
28 03-02-2023 Away L * 37.56 60 71 1 109 ( 20- 10) Richmond 2.53 -13.53
Averages 35.04 65.2 70.1
Best game: 50.11 = 14 point win over La Salle
Worst game: 21.37 = 7 point loss to Fairfield
Team stdev: 8.31