BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Providence

Class: 1 Class Rank: 117 Conference: Big East Record: (4-17) Overall: (13-19) Overall Strength =   43.23

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    41.48  69  60    1 214 (  7- 21) Dayton                 -1.53     10.53                      
  2 11-11-2022 Home    W    41.53  56  32    1 342 (  9- 20) Stonehill              -1.47     25.47                      
  3 11-14-2022 Away    L    50.01  72  74    1  85 ( 24-  6) Rhode Island            7.01     -9.01                      
  4 11-17-2022 Away    W    43.64  53  50    1 166 ( 23-  6) Ioan                    0.63      2.37                      
  5 11-20-2022 Away    L    43.05  64  73    1  81 ( 16- 17) Boston College          0.05     -9.05                      
  6 11-25-2022 Home    W    27.44  60  30    1 363 (  2- 26) Hartford              -15.56 *   45.56                      
  7 11-26-2022 Home    W    30.27  62  55    1 301 (  6- 25) Weber St              -12.73     19.73                      
  8 11-27-2022 Home    W    42.83  85  60    1 334 (  9- 21) Bryant                 -0.17     25.17                      
  9 12-02-2022 Away    L *  30.54  53  98    1   2 ( 28-  5) Connecticut           -12.46 *  -32.54                      
 10 12-04-2022 Home    L *  36.31  54  79    1  16 ( 28-  5) Villanova              -6.69    -18.31                      
 11 12-07-2022 Home    W    46.98  62  44    1 243 ( 11- 15) Brown                   3.98     14.02                      
 12 12-10-2022 Home    W    47.21  77  45    1 348 (  7- 21) Central Conn            4.20 *   27.80                      
 13 12-18-2022 Away    L *  48.01  55  63    1  58 ( 22-  8) St John's               5.01    -13.01                      
 14 12-20-2022 Away    W    42.15  64  52    1 290 ( 15- 13) Sacred Heart           -0.85     12.85                      
 15 12-28-2022 Away    L *  48.03  69  78    1  60 ( 16- 17) DePaul                  5.02    -14.02                      
 16 01-04-2023 Away    W *  69.45  79  75    1  20 ( 22-  8) Creighton              26.45    -22.45                      
 17 01-08-2023 Home    L *  33.34  60  76    1  66 ( 18- 14) Seton Hall             -9.66     -6.34                      
 18 01-11-2023 Home    W *  47.94  64  50    1 208 (  7- 23) Xavier                  4.94      9.06                      
 19 01-14-2023 Away    L *  37.42  57  80    1  42 ( 21- 10) Marquette              -5.58    -17.42                      
 20 01-18-2023 Away    W *  54.74  74  66    1 111 ( 11- 19) Butler                 11.73     -3.73                      
 21 01-21-2023 Home    L *  32.86  51  61    1 105 ( 14- 17) Georgetown            -10.14      0.14                      
 22 01-24-2023 Home    L *  42.33  46  64    1  20 ( 22-  8) Creighton              -0.67    -17.33                      
 23 01-28-2023 Away    W *  41.06  50  48    1 208 (  7- 23) Xavier                 -1.94      3.94                      
 24 02-01-2023 Home    L *  60.42  54  64    1   2 ( 28-  5) Connecticut            17.42 *  -27.42                      
 25 02-04-2023 Away    L *  29.46  52  77    1  66 ( 18- 14) Seton Hall            -13.54    -11.46                      
 26 02-11-2023 Home    L *  40.61  62  63    1 111 ( 11- 19) Butler                 -2.39      1.39                      
 27 02-15-2023 Home    L *  54.30  51  52    1  42 ( 21- 10) Marquette              11.30    -12.30                      
 28 02-18-2023 Home    L *  29.91  64  86    1  60 ( 16- 17) DePaul                -13.10     -8.90                      
 29 02-21-2023 Away    L *  43.98  69  73    1 105 ( 14- 17) Georgetown              0.98     -4.98                      
 30 02-24-2023 Away    L *  49.43  50  67    1  16 ( 28-  5) Villanova               6.43    -23.43                      
 31 02-27-2023 Home    L *  47.89  50  53    1  58 ( 22-  8) St John's               4.89     -7.89                      
 32 03-03-2023 Neutral L *  41.47  54  67    1  60 ( 16- 17) DePaul                 -1.54    -11.46                      
      Averages              43.00  60.7 63.0

Best game:   69.45 = 4 point win over Creighton
Worst game:  27.44 = 30 point win over Hartford
Team stdev:   9.33