BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Villanova

Class: 1 Class Rank: 16 Conference: Big East Record: (19-3) Overall: (28-5) Overall Strength =   64.05

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    W    52.06  60  38    1 284 ( 12- 17) Marist                -11.82 *   33.82                      
  2 11-11-2022 Away    W    67.88  69  59    1  47 ( 21-  5) Princeton               4.01      5.99                      
  3 11-17-2022 Away    W    71.72  67  41    1 118 ( 17- 10) Penn                    7.85     18.15                      
  4 11-20-2022 Away    W    48.87  74  71    1 116 ( 11- 17) Temple                -15.00     18.00                      
  5 11-25-2022 Neutral W    52.62  83  80    1  76 ( 21- 10) Belmont               -11.25     14.25                      
  6 11-26-2022 Neutral L    56.50  70  75    1  33 ( 19- 11) Baylor                 -7.37      2.37                      
  7 11-27-2022 Neutral W    80.87  72  50    1  34 ( 26-  5) South Florida          17.00      5.00                      
  8 12-02-2022 Home    L *  39.33  46  67    1  20 ( 22-  8) Creighton             -24.54      3.54                      
  9 12-04-2022 Away    W *  70.56  79  54    1 117 ( 13- 19) Providence              6.69     18.31                      
 10 12-06-2022 Home    W    64.21  83  42    1 303 (  9- 21) American Univ           0.34 *   40.66                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    W    65.77  82  59    1 104 ( 20- 10) St Joseph's PA          1.89     21.11                      
 12 12-18-2022 Neutral L    53.52  62  74    1  13 ( 19-  9) Iowa St               -10.36     -1.64                      
 13 12-21-2022 Home    W    62.11  81  55    1 161 ( 17- 14) La Salle               -1.76 *   27.76                      
 14 12-28-2022 Away    W *  62.42  54  52    1  42 ( 21- 10) Marquette              -1.45      3.45                      
 15 01-01-2023 Away    W *  67.06  77  49    1 208 (  7- 23) Xavier                  3.19     24.81                      
 16 01-04-2023 Home    W *  49.86  71  64    1 105 ( 14- 17) Georgetown            -14.01     21.01                      
 17 01-08-2023 Home    W *  51.61  68  58    1 111 ( 11- 19) Butler                -12.26     22.26                      
 18 01-11-2023 Away    W *  64.03  71  64    1  60 ( 16- 17) DePaul                  0.16      6.84                      
 19 01-14-2023 Home    W *  53.89  64  61    1  58 ( 22-  8) St John's              -9.98     12.98                      
 20 01-17-2023 Home    W *  71.94  76  38    1 208 (  7- 23) Xavier                  8.07 *   29.93                      
 21 01-20-2023 Away    W *  81.45  73  57    1  20 ( 22-  8) Creighton              17.58     -1.58                      
 22 01-29-2023 Away    L *  70.54  58  63    1   2 ( 28-  5) Connecticut             6.67    -11.67                      
 23 02-01-2023 Home    W *  74.30  73  54    1  42 ( 21- 10) Marquette              10.43      8.57                      
 24 02-04-2023 Away    W *  66.74  78  58    1 111 ( 11- 19) Butler                  2.86     17.14                      
 25 02-08-2023 Away    W *  76.98  82  53    1 105 ( 14- 17) Georgetown             13.11     15.89                      
 26 02-11-2023 Home    W *  83.34  99  65    1  66 ( 18- 14) Seton Hall             19.47     14.53                      
 27 02-15-2023 Away    W *  72.01  73  57    1  58 ( 22-  8) St John's               8.14      7.86                      
 28 02-18-2023 Home    L *  61.42  51  60    1   2 ( 28-  5) Connecticut            -2.45     -6.55                      
 29 02-21-2023 Home    W *  54.91  67  64    1  60 ( 16- 17) DePaul                 -8.97     11.97                      
 30 02-24-2023 Home    W *  57.44  67  50    1 117 ( 13- 19) Providence             -6.43     23.43                      
 31 02-27-2023 Away    W *  81.46  83  56    1  66 ( 18- 14) Seton Hall             17.59      9.41                      
 32 03-04-2023 Neutral W *  55.47  71  70    1  60 ( 16- 17) DePaul                 -8.41      9.41                      
 33 03-05-2023 Neutral W *  64.89  63  61    1  20 ( 22-  8) Creighton               1.02      0.98                      
      Averages              63.87  71.1 58.2

Best game:   83.34 = 34 point win over Seton Hall
Worst game:  39.33 = 21 point loss to Creighton
Team stdev:  10.89