BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Penn

Class: 1 Class Rank: 118 Conference: Ivy League Record: (9-5) Overall: (17-10) Overall Strength =   43.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-10-2022 Away    W    34.06  65  61    1 284 ( 12- 17) Marist                 -9.11     13.11                      
  2 11-13-2022 Away    L    38.93  55  63    1 108 (  9- 21) Northwestern           -4.23     -3.77                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    L    40.89  50  57    1 104 ( 20- 10) St Joseph's PA         -2.28     -4.72                      
  4 11-17-2022 Home    L    35.31  41  67    1  16 ( 28-  5) Villanova              -7.85    -18.15                      
  5 11-21-2022 Away    L    37.55  65  73    1 115 ( 19- 12) San Francisco          -5.61     -2.39                      
  6 11-23-2022 Away    L    57.41  60  66    1  31 ( 21-  9) Southern Cal           14.24    -20.24                      
  7 11-29-2022 Away    W    54.23  72  59    1 161 ( 17- 14) La Salle               11.07      1.93                      
  8 12-01-2022 Home    W    54.44  73  53    1 182 ( 17- 12) Stony Brook            11.28      8.72                      
  9 12-06-2022 Home    W    34.83  68  62 1  1 248 ( 13- 16) Bucknell               -8.33     14.33                      
 10 12-08-2022 Home    W    52.63  78  44    1 340 ( 10- 18) St Francis NY           9.47     24.53                      
 11 12-11-2022 Home    W    41.75  62  61    1 116 ( 11- 17) Temple                 -1.41      2.41                      
 12 12-30-2022 Home    W    43.16  95  38   ZZ 151 (  0-  1) Gwynedd-Mercy           0.00 *   57.00                      
 13 01-02-2023 Home    W *  49.98  74  53    1 243 ( 11- 15) Brown                   6.82     14.18                      
 14 01-06-2023 Home    W *  36.63  62  54    1 268 ( 10- 17) Cornell                -6.54     14.54                      
 15 01-07-2023 Home    W *  59.00  71  67    1  46 ( 23-  4) Columbia               15.84    -11.84                      
 16 01-10-2023 Home    W    43.44  76  30    1 363 (  2- 26) Hartford                0.28 *   45.72                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    W *  34.29  69  57    1 310 (  2- 26) Dartmouth              -8.88     20.88                      
 18 01-16-2023 Away    L *  42.88  40  55    1  47 ( 21-  5) Princeton              -0.28    -14.72                      
 19 01-21-2023 Home    W *  54.93  79  57    1 205 ( 13- 14) Yale                   11.77     10.23                      
 20 01-28-2023 Away    L *  26.99  60  84    1  83 ( 16- 10) Harvard               -16.18     -7.82                      
 21 02-03-2023 Away    L *  38.12  50  72    1  46 ( 23-  4) Columbia               -5.04    -16.96                      
 22 02-04-2023 Away    W *  46.75  67  54    1 268 ( 10- 17) Cornell                 3.58      9.42                      
 23 02-11-2023 Home    W *  51.86  70  64    1  83 ( 16- 10) Harvard                 8.70     -2.70                      
 24 02-17-2023 Away    W *  52.05  72  58    1 205 ( 13- 14) Yale                    8.89      5.11                      
 25 02-18-2023 Away    L *  25.10  59  68    1 243 ( 11- 15) Brown                 -18.06      9.06                      
 26 02-25-2023 Away    W *  44.41  54  37    1 310 (  2- 26) Dartmouth               1.24     15.76                      
 27 03-03-2023 Home    L *  33.76  52  71    1  47 ( 21-  5) Princeton              -9.40     -9.60                      
      Averages              43.16  64.4 58.7

Best game:   59.00 = 4 point win over Columbia
Worst game:  25.10 = 9 point loss to Brown
Team stdev:   9.28