BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Belmont

Class: 1 Class Rank: 76 Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (17-3) Overall: (21-10) Overall Strength =   49.62

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2022 Home    W    36.89  56  54    1 174 ( 20- 12) Chattanooga           -12.73     14.73                      
  2 11-13-2022 Home    L    55.68  70  75    1  25 ( 23- 11) Louisville              6.06    -11.06                      
  3 11-16-2022 Away    L    43.58  62  80    1  37 ( 25-  4) Middle Tennessee St    -6.04    -11.96                      
  4 11-20-2022 Away    L    62.52  62  73    1   6 ( 26-  6) Iowa                   12.89    -23.89                      
  5 11-25-2022 Neutral L    60.87  80  83    1  16 ( 28-  5) Villanova              11.25    -14.25                      
  6 11-26-2022 Neutral W    52.37  78  68    1 126 ( 17- 17) Saint Louis             2.75      7.25                      
  7 11-27-2022 Neutral L    45.34  52  58    1  72 ( 13- 17) Georgia Tech           -4.29     -1.71                      
  8 12-04-2022 Home    L    44.78  55  59    1  72 ( 13- 17) Georgia Tech           -4.85      0.85                      
  9 12-06-2022 Away    W    47.13  77  68    1 195 ( 20- 11) Lipscomb               -2.49     11.49                      
 10 12-17-2022 Away    L    51.34  55  66    1  29 ( 21- 11) Georgia                 1.72    -12.72                      
 11 12-20-2022 Home    W    50.14  98  87 1  1 133 ( 17- 13) Troy                    0.52     10.48                      
 12 12-30-2022 Home    W *  39.75  74  60    1 276 (  7- 22) Valparaiso             -9.87     23.87                      
 13 01-01-2023 Home    W *  47.05  72  59    1 190 ( 17- 14) IL Chicago             -2.57     15.57                      
 14 01-06-2023 Away    L *  26.29  63  94    1  53 ( 19-  9) Drake                 -23.33     -7.67                      
 15 01-08-2023 Away    W *  61.78  67  61    1  61 ( 21-  8) Northern Iowa          12.16     -6.16                      
 16 01-11-2023 Away    L *  24.77  46  64    1 146 ( 14- 15) Murray St             -24.85      6.85                      
 17 01-15-2023 Home    L *  31.22  56  70    1  91 ( 23-  7) Illinois St           -18.41      4.41                      
 18 01-20-2023 Home    W *  50.24  75  66    1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St             0.62      8.38                      
 19 01-22-2023 Home    W *  91.81 101  45    1 173 ( 11- 18) S Illinois             42.19     13.81                      
 20 01-27-2023 Away    W *  50.09  65  51    1 229 ( 11- 18) Indiana St              0.47     13.53                      
 21 01-29-2023 Away    W *  49.47  76  58    1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville             -0.15     18.15                      
 22 02-02-2023 Home    W *  47.65  64  54    1 146 ( 14- 15) Murray St              -1.97     11.97                      
 23 02-05-2023 Away    W *  39.03  68  54    1 327 (  4- 27) Bradley               -10.60     24.60                      
 24 02-10-2023 Home    W *  66.35  93  53    1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville             16.73     23.27                      
 25 02-12-2023 Home    W *  42.97  81  69    1 229 ( 11- 18) Indiana St             -6.65     18.65                      
 26 02-17-2023 Away    W *  50.93  80  70    1 173 ( 11- 18) S Illinois              1.31      8.69                      
 27 02-19-2023 Away    W *  56.37  68  58    1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St             6.74      3.26                      
 28 02-23-2023 Home    W *  55.66  82  77    1  61 ( 21-  8) Northern Iowa           6.04     -1.04                      
 29 02-25-2023 Home    W *  58.17  83  77    1  53 ( 19-  9) Drake                   8.55     -2.55                      
 30 03-02-2023 Away    W *  64.17  81  56    1 190 ( 17- 14) IL Chicago             14.55     10.45                      
 31 03-04-2023 Away    W *  33.87  70  67    1 276 (  7- 22) Valparaiso            -15.75     18.75                      
      Averages              49.62  71.3 65.6

Best game:   91.81 = 56 point win over S Illinois
Worst game:  24.77 = 18 point loss to Murray St
Team stdev:  13.14