BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Valparaiso
Class: 1 Class Rank: 276 Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (5-15) Overall: (7-22) Overall Strength = 28.59
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Away W 38.31 71 64 1 275 ( 6- 23) Central Michigan 9.99 -2.99
2 11-12-2022 Home W 41.21 72 65 1 175 ( 21- 10) Southern Miss 12.90 -5.90
3 11-16-2022 Home L 26.61 67 73 1 210 ( 21- 8) E Illinois -1.70 -4.30
4 11-21-2022 Home L 32.80 81 83 1 1 189 ( 13- 16) Alabama-Birmingham 4.48 -6.48
5 11-27-2022 Away L 12.93 47 81 1 108 ( 9- 21) Northwestern -15.38 -18.62
6 12-02-2022 Home L 16.31 61 92 1 78 ( 25- 5) Bowling Green -12.00 -19.00
7 12-07-2022 Home L 24.28 62 68 1 233 ( 12- 17) Western Michigan -4.03 -1.97
8 12-09-2022 Away L 12.13 67 83 1 305 ( 10- 20) W Illinois -16.18 0.18
9 12-30-2022 Away L * 38.18 60 74 1 76 ( 21- 10) Belmont 9.87 -23.87
10 01-01-2023 Away L * 23.77 48 67 1 146 ( 14- 15) Murray St -4.54 -14.46
11 01-05-2023 Home L * 14.35 45 57 1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville -13.96 1.96
12 01-07-2023 Home L * 22.97 58 66 1 229 ( 11- 18) Indiana St -5.34 -2.66
13 01-11-2023 Away L * 38.17 50 51 1 190 ( 17- 14) IL Chicago 9.86 -10.86
14 01-14-2023 Home W * 50.24 77 68 1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St 21.93 -12.93
15 01-19-2023 Away L * 24.78 58 89 1 61 ( 21- 8) Northern Iowa -3.53 * -27.47
16 01-21-2023 Away L * 24.29 51 84 1 53 ( 19- 9) Drake -4.02 * -28.98
17 01-25-2023 Away L 34.17 44 59 1 94 ( 11- 20) Wisconsin 5.85 -20.85
18 01-27-2023 Home L * 13.22 46 78 1 91 ( 23- 7) Illinois St -15.10 -16.90
19 01-29-2023 Home W * 26.91 78 71 1 327 ( 4- 27) Bradley -1.41 8.41
20 02-01-2023 Home L * 32.05 53 55 1 190 ( 17- 14) IL Chicago 3.74 -5.74
21 02-04-2023 Away L * 10.93 47 77 1 173 ( 11- 18) S Illinois -17.38 -12.62
22 02-10-2023 Home L * 35.17 54 71 1 53 ( 19- 9) Drake 6.86 -23.86
23 02-12-2023 Home L * 27.66 60 83 1 61 ( 21- 8) Northern Iowa -0.65 -22.35
24 02-17-2023 Away W * 43.09 54 47 1 229 ( 11- 18) Indiana St 14.78 -7.78
25 02-19-2023 Away W * 37.47 74 68 1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville 9.16 -3.16
26 02-23-2023 Away W * 29.03 76 72 1 327 ( 4- 27) Bradley 0.71 3.29
27 02-25-2023 Away L * 21.34 49 78 1 91 ( 23- 7) Illinois St -6.98 -22.02
28 03-02-2023 Home L * 24.65 64 77 1 146 ( 14- 15) Murray St -3.66 -9.34
29 03-04-2023 Home L * 44.06 67 70 1 76 ( 21- 10) Belmont 15.75 -18.75
Averages 28.31 60.0 71.4
Best game: 50.24 = 9 point win over Missouri St
Worst game: 10.93 = 30 point loss to S Illinois
Team stdev: 10.58