BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Troy

Class: 1 Class Rank: 133 Conference: Sunbelt Record: (12-7) Overall: (17-13) Overall Strength =   41.54

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    W    35.66  66  62    1 272 ( 13- 17) Samford                -6.04     10.04                      
  2 11-10-2022 Away    W    40.55  89  84    1 234 ( 13- 17) TN Martin              -1.15      6.15                      
  3 11-13-2022 Away    L    53.73  83  95    1  17 ( 25-  9) UCLA                   12.03    -24.03                      
  4 11-16-2022 Away    L    34.55  73  84    1 115 ( 19- 12) San Francisco          -7.15     -3.85                      
  5 11-19-2022 Neutral W    51.56  68  62    1 103 ( 16- 15) BYU                     9.86     -3.86                      
  6 11-21-2022 Neutral L    46.01  72  87    1  32 ( 23- 10) Washington St           4.31    -19.31                      
  7 12-01-2022 Away    L    43.81  70  87    1  36 ( 21- 12) Arkansas                2.11    -19.11                      
  8 12-07-2022 Home    L    41.98 100 103 2  1  92 ( 17- 12) Tulane                  0.28     -3.28                      
  9 12-10-2022 Home    W    39.42  79  73    1 198 ( 12- 16) Mercer                 -2.28      8.28                      
 10 12-14-2022 Home    W    46.20 114  49   ZZ 168 (  0-  2) LaGrange                4.50 *   60.50                      
 11 12-20-2022 Away    L    41.18  87  98 1  1  76 ( 21- 10) Belmont                -0.52    -10.48                      
 12 12-29-2022 Home    L *  32.21  75  77    1 175 ( 21- 10) Southern Miss          -9.49      7.49                      
 13 12-31-2022 Home    W *  52.66  79  63    1 148 ( 23-  8) Texas St               10.96      5.04                      
 14 01-05-2023 Away    W *  50.26  83  67    1 251 ( 13- 19) Arkansas St             8.56      7.44                      
 15 01-07-2023 Away    W *  57.26  81  58    1 250 ( 12- 21) Georgia St             15.56      7.44                      
 16 01-12-2023 Home    W *  37.79  92  74    1 323 (  7- 23) ULM                    -3.91     21.91                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    W *  39.40  85  78 1  1 202 ( 16- 15) Louisiana              -2.30      9.30                      
 18 01-19-2023 Away    W *  49.51  87  77    1 183 ( 17- 14) Marshall                7.81      2.19                      
 19 01-21-2023 Away    L *  44.20  79  80    1 130 ( 25-  7) James Madison           2.50     -3.50                      
 20 01-26-2023 Home    W *  38.17  81  62    1 341 (  7- 23) South Alabama          -3.53     22.53                      
 21 01-28-2023 Home    W *  57.28 100  77    1 186 ( 20-  8) Ga Southern            15.58      7.42                      
 22 02-02-2023 Away    W *  47.78  84  78    1 148 ( 23-  8) Texas St                6.08     -0.08                      
 23 02-04-2023 Away    W *  38.52  81  80 1  1 202 ( 16- 15) Louisiana              -3.18      4.18                      
 24 02-09-2023 Home    L *  23.14  92  98    1 251 ( 13- 19) Arkansas St           -18.56     12.56                      
 25 02-11-2023 Away    W *  50.91 108  82    1 323 (  7- 23) ULM                     9.21     16.79                      
 26 02-16-2023 Home    L *  30.41  97  99    1 218 ( 14- 16) Coastal Car           -11.29      9.29                      
 27 02-18-2023 Home    W *  37.54  73  66    1 239 ( 11- 20) Appalachian St         -4.16     11.16                      
 28 02-22-2023 Away    L *  30.33  79  88    1 175 ( 21- 10) Southern Miss         -11.37      2.37                      
 29 02-24-2023 Away    L *  23.29  59  60    1 341 (  7- 23) South Alabama         -18.41     17.41                      
 30 03-03-2023 Neutral L *  35.63  83  86    1 156 ( 22- 12) Old Dominion           -6.06      3.06                      
      Averages              41.70  83.3 77.8

Best game:   57.28 = 23 point win over Ga Southern
Worst game:  23.14 = 6 point loss to Arkansas St
Team stdev:   9.05