BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Louisville

Class: 1 Class Rank: 25 Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (14-7) Overall: (23-11) Overall Strength =   62.41

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    54.58  87  68    1 170 (  9- 20) Cincinnati             -8.66 *   27.66                      
  2 11-10-2022 Home    W    56.12  84  62    1 193 ( 17- 13) IUPUI                  -7.12 *   29.12                      
  3 11-13-2022 Away    W    57.18  75  70    1  76 ( 21- 10) Belmont                -6.06     11.06                      
  4 11-19-2022 Neutral L    44.78  67  79 1  1  43 ( 27-  3) Gonzaga               -18.46      6.46                      
  5 11-20-2022 Neutral W    76.45  71  63    1  10 ( 23-  8) Texas                  13.21     -5.21                      
  6 11-21-2022 Neutral L    48.38  55  65    1  50 ( 26-  5) S Dakota St           -14.86      4.86                      
  7 11-25-2022 Home    W    77.78 100  37    1 344 (  9- 21) Longwood               14.53 *   48.47                      
  8 11-30-2022 Home    L    43.88  77  96    1  15 ( 25-  7) Ohio St               -19.36      0.36                      
  9 12-04-2022 Away    L    43.58  49  67    1  37 ( 25-  4) Middle Tennessee St   -19.66      1.66                      
 10 12-06-2022 Home    W    92.46 105  32    1 316 (  9- 22) SIUE                   29.22 *   43.78                      
 11 12-11-2022 Away    W    67.07  86  72    1  74 ( 12- 19) Kentucky                3.82     10.18                      
 12 12-14-2022 Away    W    59.26  73  43    1 282 (  9- 22) Bellarmine             -3.98 *   33.98                      
 13 12-18-2022 Away    W *  72.89  77  53    1 100 ( 10- 20) Pittsburgh              9.65     14.35                      
 14 12-21-2022 Away    W    71.03  81  67    1  60 ( 16- 17) DePaul                  7.79      6.21                      
 15 12-29-2022 Home    W *  61.36  86  77    1  49 ( 18- 12) Syracuse               -1.88     10.88                      
 16 01-01-2023 Away    L *  62.23  56  63    1  12 ( 25-  6) Duke                   -1.01     -5.99                      
 17 01-05-2023 Home    W *  56.78  63  55    1  72 ( 13- 17) Georgia Tech           -6.47     14.47                      
 18 01-08-2023 Home    W *  50.77  76  69    1 100 ( 10- 20) Pittsburgh            -12.47     19.47                      
 19 01-12-2023 Away    L *  67.76  79  81    1   9 ( 27-  4) Virginia Tech           4.52     -6.52                      
 20 01-15-2023 Away    W *  73.68  82  75    1  21 ( 23-  9) Florida St             10.43     -3.43                      
 21 01-19-2023 Home    W *  54.93  73  65    1  81 ( 16- 17) Boston College         -8.31     16.31                      
 22 01-22-2023 Home    L *  49.16  51  63    1  26 ( 20- 11) NC State              -14.08      2.08                      
 23 01-26-2023 Away    L *  43.37  57  68    1  68 ( 16- 16) Wake Forest           -19.87      8.87                      
 24 01-29-2023 Away    W *  69.48  79  67    1  49 ( 18- 12) Syracuse                6.24      5.76                      
 25 02-05-2023 Home    W *  67.53  62  55    1  19 ( 21- 10) North Carolina          4.29      2.71                      
 26 02-09-2023 Away    W *  68.20  63  53    1  59 ( 15- 15) Virginia                4.96      5.04                      
 27 02-12-2023 Home    W *  63.87  81  69    1  62 ( 17- 15) Clemson                 0.63     11.37                      
 28 02-16-2023 Away    L *  69.34  76  78 1  1   7 ( 25-  5) Notre Dame              6.10     -8.10                      
 29 02-19-2023 Away    W *  62.05  62  52    1  81 ( 16- 17) Boston College         -1.19     11.19                      
 30 02-23-2023 Home    W *  69.21  71  57    1  41 ( 19- 12) Miami FL                5.97      8.03                      
 31 02-26-2023 Home    L *  63.22  65  68    1   7 ( 25-  5) Notre Dame             -0.02     -2.98                      
 32 03-03-2023 Neutral W *  77.81  74  48    1  68 ( 16- 16) Wake Forest            14.57     11.43                      
 33 03-04-2023 Neutral W *  94.78  64  38    1   7 ( 25-  5) Notre Dame             31.54     -5.54                      
 34 03-05-2023 Neutral L *  59.20  67  75    1   9 ( 27-  4) Virginia Tech          -4.04     -3.96                      
      Averages              63.24  72.8 63.2

Best game:   94.78 = 26 point win over Notre Dame
Worst game:  43.37 = 11 point loss to Wake Forest
Team stdev:  12.65