BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Virginia
Class: 1 Class Rank: 59 Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (4-15) Overall: (15-15) Overall Strength = 54.27
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 62.10 85 59 1 154 ( 18- 13) G Washington 6.46 19.54
2 11-10-2022 Home W 79.12 101 46 1 289 ( 14- 15) UMBC 23.48 * 31.52
3 11-13-2022 Home W * 69.25 72 52 1 68 ( 16- 16) Wake Forest 13.61 6.39
4 11-16-2022 Away W 39.29 68 62 1 253 ( 6- 24) Loyola-Chicago -16.35 22.35
5 11-20-2022 Away W 42.33 74 60 1 303 ( 9- 21) American Univ -13.31 * 27.31
6 11-23-2022 Home W 46.13 62 41 1 291 ( 16- 15) Campbell -9.51 * 30.51
7 11-26-2022 Home W 47.12 73 70 1 101 ( 11- 19) Minnesota -8.52 11.52
8 11-27-2022 Home W 66.30 72 50 1 95 ( 20- 9) East Carolina 10.66 11.34
9 11-30-2022 Away W 72.90 89 68 1 87 ( 14- 17) Penn St 17.26 3.74
10 12-04-2022 Home W 61.96 78 36 1 329 ( 5- 24) UNC Wilmington 6.32 * 35.68
11 12-07-2022 Away W 64.61 83 54 1 236 ( 17- 12) William & Mary 8.97 20.03
12 12-18-2022 Home W 82.94 84 28 1 252 ( 17- 10) Morgan St 27.30 * 28.70
13 12-21-2022 Away L * 55.23 56 70 1 12 ( 25- 6) Duke -0.41 -13.59
14 12-29-2022 Home W * 54.78 69 63 1 72 ( 13- 17) Georgia Tech -0.86 6.86
15 01-05-2023 Away L * 61.76 66 74 1 9 ( 27- 4) Virginia Tech 6.12 -14.12
16 01-08-2023 Away L * 41.28 62 87 1 26 ( 20- 11) NC State -14.36 -10.64
17 01-12-2023 Home L * 49.53 59 70 1 19 ( 21- 10) North Carolina -6.11 -4.89
18 01-15-2023 Home W * 62.93 66 50 1 81 ( 16- 17) Boston College 7.29 8.71
19 01-19-2023 Home L * 52.56 68 77 1 21 ( 23- 9) Florida St -3.08 -5.92
20 01-22-2023 Away L * 49.34 54 76 1 7 ( 25- 5) Notre Dame -6.30 -15.70
21 01-26-2023 Away L * 39.48 72 90 1 49 ( 18- 12) Syracuse -16.16 -1.84
22 01-29-2023 Home L * 52.64 60 72 1 9 ( 27- 4) Virginia Tech -3.00 -9.00
23 02-02-2023 Away L * 54.65 62 73 1 19 ( 21- 10) North Carolina -0.99 -10.01
24 02-05-2023 Away L * 39.89 51 60 1 100 ( 10- 20) Pittsburgh -15.75 6.75
25 02-09-2023 Home L * 50.68 53 63 1 25 ( 23- 11) Louisville -4.96 -5.04
26 02-12-2023 Home W * 73.16 71 59 1 26 ( 20- 11) NC State 17.52 -5.52
27 02-19-2023 Home L * 60.11 52 56 1 12 ( 25- 6) Duke 4.47 -8.47
28 02-23-2023 Away L * 46.99 69 79 1 62 ( 17- 15) Clemson -8.65 -1.35
29 02-26-2023 Away L * 49.33 74 85 1 41 ( 19- 12) Miami FL -6.31 -4.69
30 03-01-2023 Neutral L * 40.81 57 68 1 68 ( 16- 16) Wake Forest -14.83 3.83
Averages 55.64 68.7 63.3
Best game: 82.94 = 56 point win over Morgan St
Worst game: 39.29 = 6 point win over Loyola-Chicago
Team stdev: 12.11