BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Minnesota

Class: 1 Class Rank: 101 Conference: Big 10 Record: (4-15) Overall: (11-19) Overall Strength =   45.90

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    53.01  75  45    1 305 ( 10- 20) W Illinois              6.33     23.67                      
  2 11-13-2022 Home    W    35.47 101  99    1 201 ( 16- 13) Lehigh                -11.21     13.21                      
  3 11-17-2022 Away    L    34.04  65  71    1 172 ( 18- 11) N Dakota St           -12.64      6.64                      
  4 11-20-2022 Home    W    53.36  82  48    1 326 ( 13- 17) Presbyterian            6.67 *   27.33                      
  5 11-26-2022 Away    L    55.20  70  73    1  59 ( 15- 15) Virginia                8.52    -11.52                      
  6 11-27-2022 Neutral W    54.28  77  65    1 121 ( 23-  7) Liberty                 7.60      4.40                      
  7 11-30-2022 Home    L    45.25  59  63    1  68 ( 16- 16) Wake Forest            -1.44     -2.56                      
  8 12-03-2022 Home    W *  48.78  98  96 2  1  87 ( 14- 17) Penn St                 2.09     -0.09                      
  9 12-07-2022 Home    L    41.95  74  80    1  74 ( 12- 19) Kentucky               -4.74     -1.26                      
 10 12-10-2022 Away    L *  50.52  64  87    1   6 ( 26-  6) Iowa                    3.83 *  -26.83                      
 11 12-12-2022 Home    W    57.37 105  54    1 360 (  6- 21) Chicago St             10.69 *   40.31                      
 12 12-14-2022 Home    W    48.17  75  59    1 217 ( 11- 19) WI Milwaukee            1.49     14.51                      
 13 12-22-2022 Home    W    43.61  59  48    1 210 ( 21-  8) E Illinois             -3.07     14.07                      
 14 12-30-2022 Away    L *  46.83  85 107    1  11 ( 25-  6) Maryland                0.15    -22.15                      
 15 01-05-2023 Home    L *  50.88  71  83    1  15 ( 25-  7) Ohio St                 4.20    -16.20                      
 16 01-08-2023 Away    L *  45.17  77  81    1  94 ( 11- 20) Wisconsin              -1.52     -2.48                      
 17 01-12-2023 Home    L *  32.11  59  65    1 135 ( 12- 20) Rutgers               -14.57      8.57                      
 18 01-15-2023 Home    L *  43.08  57  70    1  44 ( 22-  9) Illinois               -3.60     -9.40                      
 19 01-18-2023 Away    W *  59.90  75  67    1  87 ( 14- 17) Penn St                13.21     -5.21                      
 20 01-21-2023 Away    L *  41.30  56  75    1  45 ( 19- 10) Purdue                 -5.38    -13.62                      
 21 01-29-2023 Home    L *  24.28  41  77    1  22 ( 22-  9) Michigan              -22.40    -13.60                      
 22 02-01-2023 Home    L *  46.94  54  77    1   3 ( 27-  3) Indiana                 0.25    -23.25                      
 23 02-05-2023 Away    L *  54.20  62  69    1  44 ( 22-  9) Illinois                7.52    -14.52                      
 24 02-08-2023 Away    L *  38.00  63  93    1  15 ( 25-  7) Ohio St                -8.68    -21.32                      
 25 02-11-2023 Home    L *  38.04  70  76 1  1  94 ( 11- 20) Wisconsin              -8.64      2.64                      
 26 02-15-2023 Home    W *  59.58  95  92    1  39 ( 16- 14) Nebraska               12.90     -9.90                      
 27 02-18-2023 Away    L *  32.93  62  76    1 108 (  9- 21) Northwestern          -13.75     -0.25                      
 28 02-22-2023 Away    L *  58.71  67  71    1  48 ( 16- 14) Michigan St            12.03    -16.03                      
 29 02-26-2023 Home    W *  63.18  77  69    1  45 ( 19- 10) Purdue                 16.50     -8.50                      
 30 03-01-2023 Neutral L *  44.34  67  72    1  87 ( 14- 17) Penn St                -2.35     -2.65                      
      Averages              46.68  71.4 73.6

Best game:   63.18 = 8 point win over Purdue
Worst game:  24.28 = 36 point loss to Michigan
Team stdev:   9.48