BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 44 Conference: Big 10 Record: (12-8) Overall: (22-9) Overall Strength =   58.04

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2022 Home    W    51.25  75  40    1 346 (  7- 21) LIU Brooklyn           -7.39 *   42.39                      
  2 11-13-2022 Home    W    53.92  90  59    1 306 ( 12- 17) Alcorn St              -4.73 *   35.73                      
  3 11-16-2022 Home    W    83.31 100  38    1 313 ( 11- 18) McNeese St             24.67 *   37.33                      
  4 11-19-2022 Home    W    65.35  93  54    1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville              6.71 *   32.29                      
  5 11-21-2022 Home    W    54.96  84  55    1 273 ( 13- 17) Oakland                -3.68 *   32.68                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral W    63.45  70  43    1 179 ( 11- 18) Charlotte               4.81     22.19                      
  7 11-26-2022 Neutral L    33.56  80  83    1 191 ( 16- 13) Delaware              -25.08     22.08                      
  8 11-30-2022 Away    W    69.89  92  71    1 100 ( 10- 20) Pittsburgh             11.25      9.75                      
  9 12-04-2022 Away    L *  71.06  61  65    1   3 ( 27-  3) Indiana                12.41    -16.41                      
 10 12-07-2022 Home    W *  56.11  80  62    1 135 ( 12- 20) Rutgers                -2.53     20.53                      
 11 12-11-2022 Away    W    48.74  65  63    1 111 ( 11- 19) Butler                 -9.91     11.91                      
 12 12-18-2022 Away    W    67.11  76  66    1  55 ( 17- 13) Missouri                8.47      1.53                      
 13 12-21-2022 Home    W    66.90  81  46    1 223 ( 12- 17) Florida Atlantic        8.26     26.74                      
 14 12-29-2022 Away    W *  65.17  79  63    1  94 ( 11- 20) Wisconsin               6.52      9.48                      
 15 01-01-2023 Home    W *  72.39  90  86    1   6 ( 26-  6) Iowa                   13.75     -9.75                      
 16 01-05-2023 Home    W *  47.81  85  79    1 108 (  9- 21) Northwestern          -10.83     16.83                      
 17 01-08-2023 Away    L *  62.00  81  87    1  15 ( 25-  7) Ohio St                 3.36     -9.36                      
 18 01-15-2023 Away    W *  62.24  70  57    1 101 ( 11- 19) Minnesota               3.60      9.40                      
 19 01-18-2023 Home    L *  58.94  72  83    1   3 ( 27-  3) Indiana                 0.29    -11.29                      
 20 01-22-2023 Away    W *  49.93  67  64    1 108 (  9- 21) Northwestern           -8.71     11.71                      
 21 01-26-2023 Home    L *  45.18  52  62    1  45 ( 19- 10) Purdue                -13.46      3.46                      
 22 01-29-2023 Home    W *  67.59  86  76    1  48 ( 16- 14) Michigan St             8.95      1.05                      
 23 02-02-2023 Away    L *  48.41  57  74    1  22 ( 22-  9) Michigan              -10.24     -6.76                      
 24 02-05-2023 Home    W *  51.12  69  62    1 101 ( 11- 19) Minnesota              -7.52     14.52                      
 25 02-09-2023 Away    W *  69.70  72  64    1  39 ( 16- 14) Nebraska               11.06     -3.06                      
 26 02-12-2023 Away    L *  57.83  71  82    1  11 ( 25-  6) Maryland               -0.81    -10.19                      
 27 02-19-2023 Home    W *  69.78  85  62    1  87 ( 14- 17) Penn St                11.13     11.87                      
 28 02-22-2023 Home    L *  23.58  57  90    1  39 ( 16- 14) Nebraska              -35.06      2.06                      
 29 02-26-2023 Away    W *  65.23  75  53    1 135 ( 12- 20) Rutgers                 6.59     15.41                      
 30 03-02-2023 Home    W *  64.11  81  55    1 135 ( 12- 20) Rutgers                 5.47     20.53                      
 31 03-03-2023 Neutral L *  51.27  58  73    1  11 ( 25-  6) Maryland               -7.37     -7.63                      
      Averages              58.64  75.9 65.1

Best game:   83.31 = 62 point win over McNeese St
Worst game:  23.58 = 33 point loss to Nebraska
Team stdev:  12.11