BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 12 Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (15-5) Overall: (25-6) Overall Strength = 66.70
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 51.39 77 57 1 235 ( 18- 11) NC A&T -15.27 * 35.27
2 11-10-2022 Home W 69.92 111 50 1 358 ( 5- 25) Charleston So 3.25 * 57.75
3 11-12-2022 Away W 64.87 60 37 1 151 ( 14- 16) Davidson -1.80 24.80
4 11-17-2022 Home W 63.03 71 52 1 90 ( 9- 20) Texas A&M -3.64 22.64
5 11-20-2022 Away W 69.48 58 41 1 75 ( 25- 4) Toledo 2.82 14.18
6 11-25-2022 Neutral L 44.98 50 78 1 2 ( 28- 5) Connecticut -21.69 -6.31
7 11-27-2022 Neutral W 68.98 54 41 1 57 ( 13- 18) Oregon St 2.31 10.69
8 12-01-2022 Home W 57.81 66 50 1 108 ( 9- 21) Northwestern -8.86 24.86
9 12-04-2022 Away W 99.56 100 49 1 109 ( 20- 10) Richmond 32.90 18.10
10 12-08-2022 Home W 77.67 74 31 1 171 ( 17- 11) Austin Peay 11.00 * 32.00
11 12-11-2022 Away W 82.16 71 48 1 51 ( 30- 3) Florida Gulf Coast 15.49 7.51
12 12-21-2022 Home W * 67.08 70 56 1 59 ( 15- 15) Virginia 0.41 13.59
13 12-29-2022 Away W * 80.28 72 58 1 26 ( 20- 11) NC State 13.61 0.39
14 01-01-2023 Home W * 67.68 63 56 1 25 ( 23- 11) Louisville 1.01 5.99
15 01-05-2023 Away W * 64.37 60 50 1 68 ( 16- 16) Wake Forest -2.30 12.30
16 01-12-2023 Home W * 61.87 66 56 1 62 ( 17- 15) Clemson -4.80 14.80
17 01-15-2023 Away W * 71.90 65 47 1 72 ( 13- 17) Georgia Tech 5.23 12.77
18 01-19-2023 Away L * 60.65 56 61 1 19 ( 21- 10) North Carolina -6.01 1.01
19 01-22-2023 Home W * 64.36 62 50 1 49 ( 18- 12) Syracuse -2.30 14.30
20 01-26-2023 Home W * 75.64 66 55 1 9 ( 27- 4) Virginia Tech 8.98 2.02
21 01-29-2023 Away L * 53.68 57 70 1 21 ( 23- 9) Florida St -12.99 -0.01
22 02-02-2023 Home W * 52.77 53 44 1 100 ( 10- 20) Pittsburgh -13.89 22.89
23 02-05-2023 Away W * 76.34 57 52 1 7 ( 25- 5) Notre Dame 9.68 -4.68
24 02-09-2023 Away W * 93.05 68 27 1 81 ( 16- 17) Boston College 26.39 14.61
25 02-12-2023 Home W * 65.21 50 40 1 41 ( 19- 12) Miami FL -1.46 11.46
26 02-16-2023 Away L * 53.76 45 61 1 9 ( 27- 4) Virginia Tech -12.90 -3.10
27 02-19-2023 Away W * 62.20 56 52 1 59 ( 15- 15) Virginia -4.47 8.47
28 02-23-2023 Home W * 76.16 77 62 1 26 ( 20- 11) NC State 9.49 5.51
29 02-26-2023 Home L * 56.53 41 45 1 19 ( 21- 10) North Carolina -10.14 6.14
30 03-03-2023 Neutral W * 67.09 44 40 1 19 ( 21- 10) North Carolina 0.43 3.57
31 03-04-2023 Neutral L * 46.20 37 58 1 9 ( 27- 4) Virginia Tech -20.46 -0.54
Averages 66.67 63.1 50.8
Best game: 99.56 = 51 point win over Richmond
Worst game: 44.98 = 28 point loss to Connecticut
Team stdev: 12.36