BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1 Class Rank: 75 Conference: Mid-American Record: (16-2) Overall: (25-4) Overall Strength = 49.83
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 55.01 88 56 1 293 ( 8- 24) Wright St 5.09 * 26.91
2 11-11-2022 Home W 47.51 93 66 1 322 ( 9- 20) Canisius -2.42 * 29.42
3 11-16-2022 Away W 43.70 74 71 1 1 170 ( 9- 20) Cincinnati -6.22 9.22
4 11-20-2022 Home L 47.11 41 58 1 12 ( 25- 6) Duke -2.82 -14.18
5 11-25-2022 Neutral L 48.34 59 60 1 87 ( 14- 17) Penn St -1.59 0.59
6 11-26-2022 Neutral W 48.57 80 70 1 158 ( 14- 16) UT Arlington -1.35 11.35
7 11-30-2022 Away W 47.91 62 40 1 320 ( 10- 20) Loyola MD -2.01 24.01
8 12-04-2022 Home W 69.24 91 63 1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St 19.32 8.68
9 12-08-2022 Away W 68.41 71 68 1 22 ( 22- 9) Michigan 18.48 -15.48
10 12-11-2022 Home W 44.48 57 45 1 214 ( 7- 21) Dayton -5.45 17.45
11 12-21-2022 Home W 55.96 74 44 1 273 ( 13- 17) Oakland 6.04 23.96
12 01-04-2023 Home W * 48.28 71 53 1 233 ( 12- 17) Western Michigan -1.64 19.64
13 01-07-2023 Away L * 38.45 66 67 1 180 ( 16- 13) Northern Illinois -11.47 10.47
14 01-11-2023 Home W * 53.42 83 76 1 88 ( 24- 7) Ball St 3.49 3.51
15 01-14-2023 Away W * 56.67 77 68 1 107 ( 20- 9) Kent 6.75 2.25
16 01-18-2023 Away L * 40.43 76 88 1 78 ( 25- 5) Bowling Green -9.49 -2.51
17 01-21-2023 Home W * 47.56 76 63 1 185 ( 17- 12) Akron -2.37 15.37
18 01-25-2023 Home W * 48.93 82 63 1 238 ( 12- 19) Miami OH -0.99 19.99
19 01-28-2023 Away W * 42.26 79 73 1 1 226 ( 15- 14) Eastern Michigan -7.67 13.67
20 02-01-2023 Away W * 45.31 74 60 1 275 ( 6- 23) Central Michigan -4.62 18.62
21 02-04-2023 Home W * 36.64 66 55 1 285 ( 6- 23) Ohio -13.29 24.29
22 02-08-2023 Home W * 50.94 91 73 1 204 ( 12- 15) Buffalo 1.01 16.99
23 02-11-2023 Away W * 48.05 71 58 1 238 ( 12- 19) Miami OH -1.87 14.87
24 02-15-2023 Away W * 66.41 75 44 1 233 ( 12- 17) Western Michigan 16.48 14.52
25 02-18-2023 Home W * 51.14 84 64 1 226 ( 15- 14) Eastern Michigan 1.21 18.79
26 02-22-2023 Away W * 43.68 80 76 1 185 ( 17- 12) Akron -6.25 10.25
27 02-25-2023 Away W * 53.54 72 70 1 88 ( 24- 7) Ball St 3.61 -1.61
28 03-01-2023 Home W * 46.55 64 60 1 107 ( 20- 9) Kent -3.37 7.37
29 03-04-2023 Home W * 53.31 62 56 1 78 ( 25- 5) Bowling Green 3.39 2.61
Averages 49.92 73.8 62.3
Best game: 69.24 = 28 point win over Missouri St
Worst game: 36.64 = 11 point win over Ohio
Team stdev: 7.94