BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Massachusetts

Class: 1 Class Rank: 56 Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (16-3) Overall: (26-6) Overall Strength =   54.66

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    30.21  72  57    1 348 (  7- 21) Central Conn          -22.60 *   37.60                      
  2 11-10-2022 Away    L    58.98  65  74    1  14 ( 23- 11) Tennessee               6.17    -15.17                      
  3 11-14-2022 Home    W    44.13  67  54    1 227 ( 16- 14) Maine                  -8.68     21.68                      
  4 11-18-2022 Away    W    60.99  77  67    1  83 ( 16- 10) Harvard                 8.18      1.82                      
  5 11-22-2022 Away    W    43.09  71  53    1 332 (  5- 22) MA Lowell              -9.71 *   27.71                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral W    71.73 100  83 1  1  53 ( 19-  9) Drake                  18.93     -1.93                      
  7 11-27-2022 Away    W    54.97  95  78    1 206 ( 12- 17) Florida Intl            2.16     14.84                      
  8 11-30-2022 Home    W    47.93  72  57    1 205 ( 13- 14) Yale                   -4.88     19.88                      
  9 12-02-2022 Away    W    72.20  88  64    1 102 (  8- 20) Arizona St             19.40      4.60                      
 10 12-03-2022 Neutral L    49.55  66  71    1  55 ( 17- 13) Missouri               -3.26     -1.74                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    L    46.00  74  83    1  46 ( 23-  4) Columbia               -6.81     -2.19                      
 12 12-21-2022 Home    W    56.47  81  34    1 359 (  0- 29) St Peter's              3.66 *   43.34                      
 13 12-28-2022 Home    W    41.29  77  58    1 310 (  2- 26) Dartmouth             -11.52 *   30.52                      
 14 12-31-2022 Home    W *  42.88  74  51    1 330 (  6- 26) St Bonaventure         -9.93 *   32.93                      
 15 01-04-2023 Home    L *  39.89  68  75    1  85 ( 24-  6) Rhode Island          -12.92      5.92                      
 16 01-07-2023 Away    W *  50.29  76  59    1 253 (  6- 24) Loyola-Chicago         -2.51     19.51                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    W *  44.77  58  56    1 104 ( 20- 10) St Joseph's PA         -8.04     10.04                      
 18 01-18-2023 Away    W *  57.81  66  57    1  99 ( 18- 12) Fordham                 5.00      4.00                      
 19 01-22-2023 Away    W *  56.60  79  60    1 214 (  7- 21) Dayton                  3.79     15.21                      
 20 01-26-2023 Home    W *  57.80  83  57    1 219 (  7- 22) VCU                     4.99     21.01                      
 21 01-29-2023 Away    W *  64.83  83  61    1 141 ( 19- 12) Duquesne               12.02      9.98                      
 22 02-01-2023 Home    W *  47.44  73  69    1 109 ( 20- 10) Richmond               -5.36      9.36                      
 23 02-04-2023 Away    W *  65.23  66  42    1 161 ( 17- 14) La Salle               12.43     11.57                      
 24 02-08-2023 Home    W *  44.69  80  79    1  99 ( 18- 12) Fordham                -8.12      9.12                      
 25 02-12-2023 Away    W *  61.25  78  57    1 181 ( 16- 15) George Mason            8.45     12.55                      
 26 02-16-2023 Away    W *  73.01  78  57    1  85 ( 24-  6) Rhode Island           20.20      0.80                      
 27 02-19-2023 Home    W *  50.75  78  64    1 151 ( 14- 16) Davidson               -2.06     16.06                      
 28 02-22-2023 Away    L *  42.93  75  77    1 126 ( 17- 17) Saint Louis            -9.88      7.88                      
 29 02-25-2023 Home    W *  59.10  84  61    1 154 ( 18- 13) G Washington            6.29     16.71                      
 30 03-03-2023 Neutral W *  50.69  63  50    1 181 ( 16- 15) George Mason           -2.11     15.11                      
 31 03-04-2023 Neutral W *  66.00  80  60    1 109 ( 20- 10) Richmond               13.20      6.80                      
 32 03-05-2023 Neutral L *  36.37  85  91 1  1 126 ( 17- 17) Saint Louis           -16.44     10.44                      
      Averages              52.81  76.0 63.0

Best game:   73.01 = 21 point win over Rhode Island
Worst game:  30.21 = 15 point win over Central Conn
Team stdev:  10.80