BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 5 Overall: (23-7) Overall Strength =   52.20
Conference: Big 10 Record: (14-5) | District: 1-01 Record: (17-6)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W      63.83 113  55    1 344 (10-20) Jackson St             11.67 *   46.33                      
 2 11-07-2025 Home    W      60.32 113  70    1 250 (14-17) Florida Gulf Coast      8.17 *   34.83                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    W   *  48.91  81  77    1  15 (22- 8) Texas Tech             -3.25      7.25                      
 4 11-14-2025 Home    W      37.74  84  65    1 261 (17-14) Colgate               -14.41 *   33.41                      
 5 11-19-2025 Neutral L   *  43.98  86  90    1  13 (22- 8) Alabama                -8.18      4.18                      
 6 11-22-2025 Home    W      60.34  98  58    1 207 (21-10) LIU Brooklyn            8.19 *   31.81                      
 7 11-24-2025 Home    W      39.04  87  73    1 144 (18-13) UTRGV                 -13.11 *   27.11                      
 8 11-28-2025 Neutral L      35.87  61  74    1  10 (27- 3) Connecticut           -16.28      3.28                      
 9 12-06-2025 Neutral W   *  60.37  75  62    1  17 (21- 9) Tennessee               8.22      4.78                      
10 12-09-2025 Away    W * *  53.44  88  80    1  33 (18-11) Ohio St                 1.29      6.71                      
11 12-13-2025 Home    L * *  40.97  80  83    1  11 (25- 5) Nebraska              -11.18      8.18                      
12 12-22-2025 Neutral W   *  81.52  91  48    1  47 (20-10) Missouri               29.37     13.63                      
13 12-29-2025 Home    W      50.74  90  55    1 293 (14-16) Southern Univ          -1.42 *   36.42                      
14 01-03-2026 Away    W * *  40.99  73  65    1 120 (12-17) Penn St               -11.16     19.16                      
15 01-08-2026 Home    W * *  52.01  81  55    1 124 (12-17) Rutgers                -0.15 *   26.15                      
16 01-11-2026 Away    W * *  52.70  75  69    1  27 (20- 9) Iowa                    0.54      5.46                      
17 01-14-2026 Away    W * *  50.65  79  68    1  66 (13-16) Northwestern           -1.50     12.50                      
18 01-17-2026 Home    W * *  43.94  77  67    1  62 (14-15) Minnesota              -8.22     18.22                      
19 01-21-2026 Home    W * *  45.66  89  70    1 126 (12-18) Maryland               -6.49     25.49                      
20 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  58.89  88  82    1   9 (22- 7) Purdue                  6.74     -0.74                      
21 01-29-2026 Home    W * *  45.42  75  66    1  53 (14-15) Washington             -6.73     15.73                      
22 02-01-2026 Away    W * *  58.40  78  69    1  11 (25- 5) Nebraska                6.24      2.76                      
23 02-04-2026 Home    W * *  74.22  84  44    1  66 (13-16) Northwestern           22.07     17.93                      
24 02-07-2026 Away    L * *  48.79  82  85 1  1   7 (24- 5) Michigan St            -3.37      0.37                      
25 02-10-2026 Home    L * *  38.13  90  92 1  1  29 (20- 9) Wisconsin             -14.02     12.02                      
26 02-15-2026 Home    W * *  59.16  71  51    1  36 (17-12) Indiana                 7.01     12.99                      
27 02-18-2026 Away    W * *  75.15 101  65    1  68 (18-11) Southern Cal           22.99     13.01                      
28 02-21-2026 Away    L * *  44.04  94  95 1  1  34 (20-10) UCLA                   -8.11      7.11                      
29 02-27-2026 Home    L * *  42.21  70  84    1   2 (27- 2) Michigan               -9.95     -4.05                      
30 03-03-2026 Home    W * *  57.18  80  54    1  84 (11-19) Oregon                  5.02     20.98                      
31 03/08/2026 Away      * *                   1 126 (12-18) Maryland                         20.17            
      Averages              52.15  84.5 69.0

Best game:   81.52 = 43 point win over Missouri
Worst game:  35.87 = 13 point loss to Connecticut
Team stdev:  11.57