BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 19 Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength =   48.83
Conference: Big 10 Record: (1-1) | District: 1-01 Record: (3-2)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W      63.54 113  55    1 332 ( 1- 9) Jackson St             11.86 *   46.14                      
 2 11-07-2025 Home    W      64.64 113  70    1 181 ( 5- 6) Florida Gulf Coast     12.96 *   30.04                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    W   *  48.98  81  77    1  25 ( 7- 3) Texas Tech             -2.70      6.70                      
 4 11-14-2025 Home    W      45.05  84  65    1 193 ( 6- 5) Colgate                -6.63 *   25.63                      
 5 11-19-2025 Neutral L   *  47.98  86  90    1  12 ( 7- 3) Alabama                -3.70     -0.30                      
 6 11-22-2025 Home    W      61.14  98  58    1 209 ( 6- 4) LIU Brooklyn            9.46 *   30.54                      
 7 11-24-2025 Home    W      41.10  87  73    1 171 ( 3- 6) UTRGV                 -10.58 *   24.58                      
 8 11-28-2025 Neutral L      40.10  61  74    1   8 (10- 1) Connecticut           -11.58     -1.42                      
 9 12-06-2025 Neutral W   *  59.77  75  62    1  26 ( 7- 3) Tennessee               8.09      4.91                      
10 12-09-2025 Away    W * *  53.87  88  80    1  60 ( 8- 2) Ohio St                 2.20      5.80                      
11 12-13-2025 Home    L * *  42.29  80  83    1  16 (11- 0) Nebraska               -9.39      6.39                      
12 12/22/2025 Neutral     *                   1  72 (10- 2) Missouri                         10.11            
13 12/29/2025 Home                            1 256 ( 4- 6) Southern Univ                    29.82            
14 01/03/2026 Neutral   * *                   1 119 ( 8- 3) Penn St                          16.29            
15 01/08/2026 Home      * *                   1 176 ( 5- 6) Rutgers                          23.96            
16 01/11/2026 Away      * *                   1  23 ( 9- 2) Iowa                             -1.51            
17 01/14/2026 Away      * *                   1  82 ( 6- 4) Northwestern                      9.43            
18 01/17/2026 Home      * *                   1 130 ( 6- 5) Minnesota                        20.28            
19 01/21/2026 Home      * *                   1 156 ( 6- 5) Maryland                         22.68            
20 01/24/2026 Away      * *                   1  10 (10- 1) Purdue                           -6.88            
21 01/29/2026 Home      * *                   1  68 ( 7- 3) Washington                       12.46            
22 02/01/2026 Away      * *                   1  16 (11- 0) Nebraska                         -3.41            
23 02/04/2026 Home      * *                   1  82 ( 6- 4) Northwestern                     15.11            
24 02/07/2026 Away      * *                   1   7 ( 9- 1) Michigan St                      -9.42            
25 02/10/2026 Home      * *                   1  55 ( 7- 3) Wisconsin                        10.18            
26 02/15/2026 Home      * *                   1  17 ( 8- 3) Indiana                           2.53            
27 02/18/2026 Away      * *                   1  48 (10- 1) Southern Cal                      3.46            
28 02/21/2026 Away      * *                   1  38 ( 7- 3) UCLA                              2.48            
29 02/27/2026 Home      * *                   1   1 (10- 0) Michigan                        -16.15            
30 03/03/2026 Home      * *                   1  94 ( 5- 5) Oregon                           16.12            
31 03/08/2026 Away      * *                   1 156 ( 6- 5) Maryland                         16.99            
      Averages              51.68  87.8 71.5

Best game:   64.64 = 43 point win over Florida Gulf Coast
Worst game:  40.10 = 13 point loss to Connecticut
Team stdev:   9.31