BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois
Class: 1 Class Rank: 7 Overall: (28-9) Overall Strength = 52.05
Conference: Big 10 Record: (16-6) | District: 1-01 Record: (21-7)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 64.20 113 55 1 344 (12-21) Jackson St 11.84 * 46.16
2 11-07-2025 Home W 61.36 113 70 1 236 (16-18) Florida Gulf Coast 9.00 * 34.00
3 11-11-2025 Home W * 47.86 81 77 1 20 (23-11) Texas Tech -4.49 8.49
4 11-14-2025 Home W 37.90 84 65 1 255 (18-15) Colgate -14.45 * 33.45
5 11-19-2025 Neutral L * 44.58 86 90 1 12 (25-10) Alabama -7.78 3.78
6 11-22-2025 Home W 60.27 98 58 1 213 (24-11) LIU Brooklyn 7.91 * 32.09
7 11-24-2025 Home W 39.67 87 73 1 140 (19-14) UTRGV -12.69 * 26.69
8 11-28-2025 Neutral L 36.03 61 74 1 10 (34- 6) Connecticut -16.32 3.32
9 12-06-2025 Neutral W * 60.61 75 62 1 15 (25-12) Tennessee 8.25 4.75
10 12-09-2025 Away W * * 54.94 88 80 1 25 (21-13) Ohio St 2.59 5.41
11 12-13-2025 Home L * * 41.23 80 83 1 11 (28- 7) Nebraska -11.12 8.12
12 12-22-2025 Neutral W * 81.37 91 48 1 53 (20-13) Missouri 29.02 13.98
13 12-29-2025 Home W 50.73 90 55 1 293 (17-17) Southern Univ -1.63 * 36.63
14 01-03-2026 Away W * * 40.22 73 65 1 129 (12-20) Penn St -12.13 20.13
15 01-08-2026 Home W * * 53.38 81 55 1 109 (14-20) Rutgers 1.02 24.98
16 01-11-2026 Away W * * 53.56 75 69 1 24 (24-13) Iowa 1.21 4.79
17 01-14-2026 Away W * * 51.65 79 68 1 58 (15-19) Northwestern -0.71 11.71
18 01-17-2026 Home W * * 42.75 77 67 1 84 (15-18) Minnesota -9.60 19.60
19 01-21-2026 Home W * * 46.66 89 70 1 112 (12-21) Maryland -5.69 24.69
20 01-24-2026 Away W * * 59.29 88 82 1 8 (30- 9) Purdue 6.94 -0.94
21 01-29-2026 Home W * * 45.92 75 66 1 51 (16-17) Washington -6.44 15.44
22 02-01-2026 Away W * * 58.64 78 69 1 11 (28- 7) Nebraska 6.28 2.72
23 02-04-2026 Home W * * 75.24 84 44 1 58 (15-19) Northwestern 22.89 17.11
24 02-07-2026 Away L * * 48.51 82 85 1 1 9 (27- 8) Michigan St -3.84 0.84
25 02-10-2026 Home L * * 39.71 90 92 1 1 23 (24-11) Wisconsin -12.65 10.65
26 02-15-2026 Home W * * 59.27 71 51 1 36 (18-14) Indiana 6.92 13.08
27 02-18-2026 Away W * * 74.41 101 65 1 72 (18-14) Southern Cal 22.06 13.94
28 02-21-2026 Away L * * 44.73 94 95 1 1 29 (24-12) UCLA -7.62 6.62
29 02-27-2026 Home L * * 41.81 70 84 1 1 (37- 3) Michigan -10.54 -3.46
30 03-03-2026 Home W * * 57.25 80 54 1 87 (12-20) Oregon 4.89 21.11
31 03-08-2026 Away W * * 39.07 78 72 1 112 (12-21) Maryland -13.29 19.29
32 03-13-2026 Neutral L * * 41.41 88 91 1 1 23 (24-11) Wisconsin -10.94 7.94
33 03-19-2026 Neutral W * 61.51 105 70 1 157 (18-12) Penn 9.16 * 25.84
34 03-21-2026 Neutral W 60.07 76 55 1 49 (28- 8) VCU 7.72 13.28
35 03-26-2026 Away W * 64.40 65 55 1 5 (30- 7) Houston 12.04 -2.04
36 03-28-2026 Neutral W * * 56.86 71 59 1 24 (24-13) Iowa 4.51 7.49
37 04-04-2026 Neutral L 40.03 62 71 1 10 (34- 6) Connecticut -12.32 3.32
Averages 52.35 83.2 68.8
Best game: 81.37 = 43 point win over Missouri
Worst game: 36.03 = 13 point loss to Connecticut
Team stdev: 11.34