BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Virginia

Class: 1 Class Rank: 46 Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (15-5) Overall: (23-6) Overall Strength =   33.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    29.92  73  61    1 190 ( 17- 11) NC Central             -3.97     15.97                      
  2 11-11-2022 Home    W    51.66  89  42    1 349 (  7- 26) Monmouth NJ            17.78 *   29.22                      
  3 11-18-2022 Neutral W    45.90  86  79    1  15 ( 22-  9) Baylor                 12.01     -5.01                      
  4 11-20-2022 Neutral W    44.90  70  61    1  31 ( 20- 10) Illinois               11.02     -2.02                      
  5 11-25-2022 Home    W    39.93  72  45    1 254 ( 17- 12) MD E Shore              6.04     20.96                      
  6 11-29-2022 Away    W    38.83  70  68    1  47 ( 17- 13) Michigan                4.94     -2.94                      
  7 12-03-2022 Home    W *  21.90  62  57    1 211 (  9- 22) Florida St            -11.99     16.99                      
  8 12-06-2022 Home    W    30.88  55  50    1  91 ( 22- 10) James Madison          -3.00      8.00                      
  9 12-17-2022 Home    L    33.42  61  69    1   3 ( 28-  2) Houston                -0.46     -7.54                      
 10 12-20-2022 Away    L *  34.87  64  66    1  36 ( 24-  6) Miami FL                0.98     -2.98                      
 11 12-28-2022 Home    W    26.23  66  46    1 341 (  8- 23) SUNY Albany            -7.66 *   27.66                      
 12 12-31-2022 Away    W *  44.59  74  56    1 158 ( 14- 17) Georgia Tech           10.70      7.30                      
 13 01-03-2023 Away    L *  31.97  65  68    1  66 ( 21- 10) Pittsburgh             -1.92     -1.08                      
 14 01-07-2023 Home    W *  29.80  73  66    1 116 ( 17- 14) Syracuse               -4.09     11.09                      
 15 01-10-2023 Home    W *  37.36  65  58    1  43 ( 19- 12) North Carolina          3.47      3.53                      
 16 01-14-2023 Away    W *  32.65  67  58    1 211 (  9- 22) Florida St             -1.24     10.24                      
 17 01-18-2023 Home    W *  37.73  78  68    1  76 ( 18- 13) Virginia Tech           3.84      6.16                      
 18 01-21-2023 Away    W *  41.41  76  67    1  88 ( 18- 13) Wake Forest             7.53      1.47                      
 19 01-28-2023 Home    W *  37.72  76  57    1 170 ( 15- 16) Boston College          3.83     15.17                      
 20 01-30-2023 Away    W *  34.55  67  62    1 116 ( 17- 14) Syracuse                0.66      4.34                      
 21 02-04-2023 Away    L *  28.48  68  74    1  76 ( 18- 13) Virginia Tech          -5.41     -0.59                      
 22 02-07-2023 Home    W *  43.34  63  50    1  44 ( 22-  9) NC State                9.45      3.55                      
 23 02-11-2023 Home    W *  38.89  69  62 1  1  29 ( 23-  8) Duke                    5.00      2.00                      
 24 02-15-2023 Away    W *  22.12  61  58    1 277 (  4- 27) Louisville            -11.77     14.77                      
 25 02-18-2023 Home    W *  21.30  57  55    1 163 ( 11- 20) Notre Dame            -12.58     14.58                      
 26 02-22-2023 Away    L *  10.47  48  63    1 170 ( 15- 16) Boston College        -23.42      8.42                      
 27 02-25-2023 Away    L *  29.11  63  71    1  43 ( 19- 12) North Carolina         -4.78     -3.22                      
 28 02-28-2023 Home    W *  35.41  64  57    1  67 ( 22-  9) Clemson                 1.53      5.47                      
 29 03-04-2023 Home    W *  27.37  75  60    1 277 (  4- 27) Louisville             -6.52     21.52                      
      Averages              33.89  68.2 60.5

Best game:   51.66 = 47 point win over Monmouth NJ
Worst game:  10.47 = 15 point loss to Boston College
Team stdev:   8.79