BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois
Class: 1 Class Rank: 31 Conference: Big 10 Record: (11-8) Overall: (20-10) Overall Strength = 35.01
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 37.16 87 57 1 342 ( 9- 22) E Illinois 1.25 * 28.75
2 11-11-2022 Home W 48.35 86 48 1 305 ( 11- 21) Missouri KC 12.45 * 25.55
3 11-14-2022 Home W 42.66 103 65 1 349 ( 7- 26) Monmouth NJ 6.76 * 31.24
4 11-18-2022 Neutral W 52.13 79 70 1 2 ( 27- 4) UCLA 16.23 -7.23
5 11-20-2022 Neutral L 24.89 61 70 1 46 ( 23- 6) Virginia -11.02 2.02
6 11-25-2022 Home W 39.82 92 59 1 339 ( 11- 21) Lindenwood 3.92 * 29.08
7 11-29-2022 Home W 51.80 73 44 1 116 ( 17- 14) Syracuse 15.90 13.10
8 12-02-2022 Away L * 34.41 66 71 1 22 ( 20- 10) Maryland -1.50 -3.50
9 12-06-2022 Neutral W 48.11 85 78 1 1 9 ( 23- 8) Texas 12.21 -5.21
10 12-10-2022 Home L * 14.66 59 74 1 45 ( 18- 12) Penn St -21.24 6.24
11 12-17-2022 Home W 30.98 68 47 1 314 ( 14- 17) Alabama A&M -4.92 * 25.92
12 12-22-2022 Neutral L 10.21 71 93 1 62 ( 23- 8) Missouri -25.69 3.69
13 12-29-2022 Home W 37.82 85 52 1 350 ( 12- 19) Bethune-Cookman 1.92 * 31.08
14 01-04-2023 Away L * 24.17 60 73 1 41 ( 20- 10) Northwestern -11.73 -1.27
15 01-07-2023 Home W * 38.10 79 69 1 60 ( 16- 13) Wisconsin 2.20 7.80
16 01-10-2023 Away W * 57.35 76 50 1 93 ( 15- 15) Nebraska 21.45 4.55
17 01-13-2023 Home W * 40.78 75 66 1 30 ( 19- 11) Michigan St 4.88 4.12
18 01-16-2023 Away W * 41.53 78 60 1 213 ( 8- 20) Minnesota 5.63 12.37
19 01-19-2023 Home L * 18.13 65 80 1 25 ( 20- 10) Indiana -17.77 2.77
20 01-24-2023 Home W * 39.16 69 60 1 48 ( 13- 18) Ohio St 3.26 5.74
21 01-28-2023 Away W * 44.85 61 51 1 60 ( 16- 13) Wisconsin 8.95 1.05
22 01-31-2023 Home W * 40.60 72 56 1 93 ( 15- 15) Nebraska 4.70 11.30
23 02-04-2023 Away L * 37.21 79 81 1 32 ( 19- 11) Iowa 1.30 -3.30
24 02-11-2023 Home W * 41.70 69 60 1 34 ( 18- 12) Rutgers 5.80 3.20
25 02-14-2023 Away L * 24.41 81 93 1 45 ( 18- 12) Penn St -11.49 -0.51
26 02-18-2023 Away L * 36.88 68 71 1 25 ( 20- 10) Indiana 0.98 -3.98
27 02-20-2023 Home W * 25.78 78 69 1 213 ( 8- 20) Minnesota -10.12 19.12
28 02-23-2023 Home W * 34.42 66 62 1 41 ( 20- 10) Northwestern -1.48 5.48
29 02-26-2023 Away L * 24.91 60 72 1 48 ( 13- 18) Ohio St -10.99 -1.01
30 03-02-2023 Home W * 34.08 91 87 2 1 47 ( 17- 13) Michigan -1.82 5.82
31 03/05/2023 Away * 1 5 ( 25- 5) Purdue -9.25
Averages 35.90 74.7 66.3
Best game: 57.35 = 26 point win over Nebraska
Worst game: 10.21 = 22 point loss to Missouri
Team stdev: 11.19