BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 29 Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (14-6) Overall: (23-8) Overall Strength = 35.26
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 41.11 71 44 1 239 ( 13- 16) Jacksonville 5.85 21.15
2 11-11-2022 Home W 59.20 84 38 1 263 ( 16- 15) SC Upstate 23.94 22.06
3 11-15-2022 Neutral L 35.35 64 69 1 8 ( 25- 6) Kansas 0.09 -5.09
4 11-18-2022 Home W 49.05 92 58 1 230 ( 17- 15) Delaware 13.79 20.21
5 11-21-2022 Home W 30.80 74 57 1 270 ( 15- 18) Bellarmine -4.46 21.46
6 11-24-2022 Neutral W 24.07 54 51 1 197 ( 11- 20) Oregon St -11.20 14.20
7 11-25-2022 Neutral W 44.24 71 64 1 18 ( 23- 8) Xavier 8.97 -1.97
8 11-27-2022 Neutral L 20.75 56 75 1 5 ( 25- 5) Purdue -14.51 -4.49
9 11-30-2022 Home W 39.16 81 72 1 48 ( 13- 18) Ohio St 3.89 5.11
10 12-03-2022 Home W * 34.72 75 59 1 170 ( 15- 16) Boston College -0.54 16.54
11 12-06-2022 Neutral W 47.83 74 62 1 32 ( 19- 11) Iowa 12.57 -0.57
12 12-10-2022 Home W 39.93 82 55 1 254 ( 17- 12) MD E Shore 4.66 22.34
13 12-20-2022 Away L * 21.41 70 81 1 88 ( 18- 13) Wake Forest -13.85 2.85
14 12-31-2022 Home W * 35.90 86 67 1 211 ( 9- 22) Florida St 0.63 18.37
15 01-04-2023 Away L * 13.09 60 84 1 44 ( 22- 9) NC State -22.17 -1.83
16 01-07-2023 Away W * 26.47 65 64 1 170 ( 15- 16) Boston College -8.79 9.79
17 01-11-2023 Home W * 36.22 77 69 1 66 ( 21- 10) Pittsburgh 0.95 7.05
18 01-14-2023 Away L * 27.16 64 72 1 67 ( 22- 9) Clemson -8.10 0.10
19 01-21-2023 Home W * 32.12 68 66 1 36 ( 24- 6) Miami FL -3.15 5.15
20 01-23-2023 Away L * 31.48 75 78 1 76 ( 18- 13) Virginia Tech -3.79 0.79
21 01-28-2023 Away W * 69.59 86 43 1 158 ( 14- 17) Georgia Tech 34.32 8.68
22 01-31-2023 Home W * 27.66 75 73 1 88 ( 18- 13) Wake Forest -7.60 9.60
23 02-04-2023 Home W * 36.36 63 57 1 43 ( 19- 12) North Carolina 1.09 4.91
24 02-06-2023 Away L * 14.87 59 81 1 36 ( 24- 6) Miami FL -20.40 -1.60
25 02-11-2023 Away L * 30.26 62 69 1 1 46 ( 23- 6) Virginia -5.00 -2.00
26 02-14-2023 Home W * 23.30 68 64 1 163 ( 11- 20) Notre Dame -11.96 15.96
27 02-18-2023 Away W * 51.55 77 55 1 116 ( 17- 14) Syracuse 16.29 5.71
28 02-20-2023 Home W * 29.37 79 62 1 277 ( 4- 27) Louisville -5.90 22.90
29 02-25-2023 Home W * 43.73 81 65 1 76 ( 18- 13) Virginia Tech 8.46 7.54
30 02-28-2023 Home W * 34.34 71 67 1 44 ( 22- 9) NC State -0.92 4.92
31 03-04-2023 Away W * 42.11 62 57 1 43 ( 19- 12) North Carolina 6.84 -1.84
Averages 35.26 71.8 63.8
Best game: 69.59 = 43 point win over Georgia Tech
Worst game: 13.09 = 24 point loss to NC State
Team stdev: 12.28