BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Louisville

Class: 1 Class Rank: 277 Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (2-18) Overall: (4-27) Overall Strength =   15.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2022 Home    L    12.80  66  67    1 270 ( 15- 18) Bellarmine             -2.94      1.94                      
  2 11-12-2022 Home    L    16.47  72  73    1 189 ( 18- 15) Wright St               0.73     -1.73                      
  3 11-15-2022 Home    L    17.99  60  61    1 175 ( 16- 16) Appalachian St          2.25     -3.25                      
  4 11-21-2022 Neutral L    11.43  54  80    1  17 ( 19- 12) Arkansas               -4.31    -21.69                      
  5 11-22-2022 Neutral L     2.58  38  70    1  42 ( 16- 14) Texas Tech            -13.16    -18.84                      
  6 11-23-2022 Neutral L    12.92  62  81    1  65 ( 19- 11) Cincinnati             -2.82    -16.18                      
  7 11-29-2022 Home    L     7.65  54  79    1  22 ( 20- 10) Maryland               -8.09    -16.91                      
  8 12-04-2022 Home    L *   3.12  53  80    1  36 ( 24-  6) Miami FL              -12.63    -14.37                      
  9 12-10-2022 Away    L *   1.65  53  75    1 211 (  9- 22) Florida St            -14.09     -7.91                      
 10 12-14-2022 Home    W    29.37  94  83    1 173 ( 16- 15) Western Kentucky       13.63     -2.63                      
 11 12-17-2022 Home    W     9.18  61  55    1 358 (  7- 22) Florida A&M            -6.57     12.57                      
 12 12-20-2022 Home    L    10.72  67  75    1 168 ( 20- 13) Lipscomb               -5.02     -2.98                      
 13 12-22-2022 Away    L *  25.09  64  76    1  44 ( 22-  9) NC State                9.35    -21.35                      
 14 12-31-2022 Away    L    16.62  63  86    1  23 ( 21- 10) Kentucky                0.88    -23.88                      
 15 01-03-2023 Home    L *  21.80  69  70    1 116 ( 17- 14) Syracuse                6.06     -7.06                      
 16 01-07-2023 Home    L *  17.66  72  80    1  88 ( 18- 13) Wake Forest             1.92     -9.92                      
 17 01-11-2023 Away    L *  22.16  70  83    1  67 ( 22-  9) Clemson                 6.42    -19.42                      
 18 01-14-2023 Home    L *   9.36  59  80    1  43 ( 19- 12) North Carolina         -6.39    -14.61                      
 19 01-18-2023 Home    L *   7.22  54  75    1  66 ( 21- 10) Pittsburgh             -8.53    -12.47                      
 20 01-25-2023 Away    L *  15.47  65  75    1 170 ( 15- 16) Boston College         -0.27     -9.73                      
 21 01-28-2023 Away    L *  12.05  62  76    1 163 ( 11- 20) Notre Dame             -3.69    -10.31                      
 22 02-01-2023 Home    W *  29.84  68  58    1 158 ( 14- 17) Georgia Tech           14.10     -4.10                      
 23 02-04-2023 Home    L *  13.90  78  81    1 211 (  9- 22) Florida St             -1.85     -1.15                      
 24 02-07-2023 Away    L *   0.97  57  91    1  66 ( 21- 10) Pittsburgh            -14.78    -19.22                      
 25 02-11-2023 Away    L *  28.87  85  93    1  36 ( 24-  6) Miami FL               13.13    -21.13                      
 26 02-15-2023 Home    L *  27.51  58  61    1  46 ( 23-  6) Virginia               11.77    -14.77                      
 27 02-18-2023 Home    W *  38.41  83  73    1  67 ( 22-  9) Clemson                22.67    -12.67                      
 28 02-20-2023 Away    L *  21.64  62  79    1  29 ( 23-  8) Duke                    5.90    -22.90                      
 29 02-25-2023 Away    L *  10.59  67  83    1 158 ( 14- 17) Georgia Tech           -5.15    -10.85                      
 30 02-28-2023 Home    L *  10.73  54  71    1  76 ( 18- 13) Virginia Tech          -5.02    -11.98                      
 31 03-04-2023 Away    L *  22.26  60  75    1  46 ( 23-  6) Virginia                6.52    -21.52                      
      Averages              15.74  64.0 75.6

Best game:   38.41 = 10 point win over Clemson
Worst game:   0.97 = 34 point loss to Pittsburgh
Team stdev:   9.24