BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Virginia
Class: 1A Class Rank: 32 Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength = 165.70
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (7-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (10-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W * 175.55 48 7 1A 122 ( 6- 7) Coastal Carolina 9.23 * 5.30 31.77
2 09/06/2025 Away L * * 161.48 31 35 1A 37 ( 8- 5) North Carolina St -4.84 10.55 0.84
3 09/13/2025 Home W 164.55 55 16 1B 45 ( 7- 5) William & Mary -1.77 * 26.02 40.77
4 09/20/2025 Home W * * 177.56 48 20 1A 81 ( 4- 8) Stanford 11.24 8.98 16.76
5 09/26/2025 Home W * * 174.43 46 38 1A 36 ( 5- 7) Florida St 8.10 -21.99 -0.10
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 170.79 30 27 1A 29 ( 9- 4) Louisville 4.47 7.04 -1.47
7 10/18/2025 Home W * 158.70 22 20 1A 58 ( 7- 6) Washington St -7.62 22.65 9.62
8 10/25/2025 Away W * * 150.46 17 16 1A 92 ( 4- 8) North Carolina -15.86 27.01 16.86
9 11/01/2025 Away W * * 162.46 31 21 1A 82 ( 7- 6) California -3.86 14.88 13.86
10 11/08/2025 Home L * * 151.25 9 16 1A 50 ( 9- 4) Wake Forest -15.07 11.49 8.07
11 11/15/2025 Away W * * 180.81 34 17 1A 44 ( 9- 5) Duke 14.49 -0.67 2.51
12 11/29/2025 Home W * * 170.98 27 7 1A 76 ( 3- 9) Virginia Tech 4.66 14.71 15.34
13 12/06/2025 Neutral L * * 154.86 20 27 1A 44 ( 9- 5) Duke -11.46 4.36 4.46
14 12/27/2025 Neutral W * 174.61 13 7 1A 21 ( 8- 5) Missouri 8.29 -4.69 -2.29
Averages 166.32 30.8 19.6
Best game: 180.81 = 17 point win over Duke
Worst game: 150.46 = 1 point win over North Carolina
Team stdev: 10.03