BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Virginia

Class: 1A Class Rank: 34 Overall: (10-3) Overall Strength =  165.62
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (7-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (9-3)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W   * 175.32  48   7   1A 126 ( 6- 6) Coastal Carolina        9.76      5.30   31.24                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    L * * 159.83  31  35   1A  49 ( 7- 5) North Carolina St      -5.73     10.55    1.73                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W     164.92  55  16   1B  46 ( 7- 5) William & Mary         -0.65 *   26.02   39.65                      
 4 09/20/2025 Home    W * * 177.91  48  20   1A  85 ( 4- 8) Stanford               12.34      8.98   15.66                      
 5 09/26/2025 Home    W * * 174.55  46  38   1A  36 ( 5- 7) Florida St              8.99    -21.98   -0.99                      
 6 10/04/2025 Away    W * * 171.05  30  27   1A  31 ( 8- 4) Louisville              5.48      7.05   -2.48                      
 7 10/18/2025 Home    W   * 158.49  22  20   1A  62 ( 6- 6) Washington St          -7.08     22.63    9.08                      
 8 10/25/2025 Away    W * * 150.55  17  16   1A  93 ( 4- 8) North Carolina        -15.01     27.02   16.01                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    W * * 162.99  31  21   1A  83 ( 7- 5) California             -2.57     14.90   12.57                      
10 11/08/2025 Home    L * * 150.37   9  16   1A  59 ( 8- 4) Wake Forest           -15.20     11.47    8.20                      
11 11/15/2025 Away    W * * 180.74  34  17   1A  46 ( 8- 5) Duke                   15.17     -0.64    1.83                      
12 11/29/2025 Home    W * * 170.81  27   7   1A  79 ( 3- 9) Virginia Tech           5.25     14.67   14.75                      
13 12/06/2025 Neutral L * * 154.80  20  27   1A  46 ( 8- 5) Duke                  -10.76      4.36    3.76                      
14 12/27/2025 Neutral     *                  1A  21 ( 8- 4) Missouri                                 -6.12            
      Averages             165.56  32.2 20.5

Best game:  180.74 = 17 point win over Duke
Worst game: 150.37 = 7 point loss to Wake Forest
Team stdev:  10.32