BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Virginia

Class: 1A Class Rank: 33 Overall: (9-2) Overall Strength =  165.15
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (6-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (8-2)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Home    W   * 178.26  48   7   1A 115 ( 6- 4) Coastal Carolina       13.09      5.30   27.91                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    L * * 156.67  31  35   1A  57 ( 5- 5) North Carolina St      -8.50     10.55    4.50                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W     165.37  55  16   1B  42 ( 7- 4) William & Mary          0.20 *   26.02   38.80                      
 4 09/20/2025 Home    W * * 175.07  48  20   1A  88 ( 3- 7) Stanford                9.90      8.98   18.10                      
 5 09/26/2025 Home    W * * 177.18  46  38   1A  28 ( 5- 5) Florida St             12.01    -21.98   -4.01                      
 6 10/04/2025 Away    W * * 169.14  30  27   1A  36 ( 7- 3) Louisville              3.96      7.05   -0.96                      
 7 10/18/2025 Home    W   * 156.71  22  20   1A  62 ( 5- 5) Washington St          -8.47     22.66   10.47                      
 8 10/25/2025 Away    W * * 149.71  17  16   1A  95 ( 4- 6) North Carolina        -15.46     26.97   16.46                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    W * * 161.71  31  21   1A  85 ( 6- 4) California             -3.47     14.87   13.47                      
10 11/08/2025 Home    L * * 148.85   9  16   1A  58 ( 7- 3) Wake Forest           -16.32     11.50    9.32                      
11 11/15/2025 Away    W * * 178.23  34  17   1A  54 ( 5- 5) Duke                   13.06     -0.68    3.94                      
12 11/29/2025 Home      * *                  1A  81 ( 3- 7) Virginia Tech                            15.80            
      Averages             165.17  33.7 21.2

Best game:  178.26 = 41 point win over Coastal Carolina
Worst game: 148.85 = 7 point loss to Wake Forest
Team stdev:  11.23