BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 44 Overall: (9-5) Overall Strength = 162.46
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (7-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (8-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Home W 154.08 45 17 1B 47 ( 6- 6) Elon -7.78 * 15.11 35.78
2 09/06/2025 Home L * 140.93 19 45 1A 23 ( 9- 4) Illinois -20.93 -7.17 -5.07
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 154.23 27 34 1A 54 (11- 3) Tulane -7.63 -11.93 0.63
4 09/20/2025 Home W * * 173.59 45 33 1A 37 ( 8- 5) North Carolina St 11.73 -7.31 0.27
5 09/27/2025 Away W * * 182.38 38 3 1A 96 ( 3- 9) Syracuse 20.52 -10.12 14.48
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 176.46 45 21 1A 82 ( 7- 6) California 14.60 9.62 9.40
7 10/18/2025 Home L * * 152.57 18 27 1A 41 ( 9- 4) Georgia Tech -9.29 3.99 0.29
8 11/01/2025 Away W * * 165.75 46 45 1A 38 ( 7- 6) Clemson 3.89 2.37 -2.89
9 11/08/2025 Away L * 149.12 34 37 1A 86 ( 9- 4) Connecticut -12.74 12.23 9.74
10 11/15/2025 Home L * * 147.37 17 34 1A 32 (11- 3) Virginia -14.49 0.67 -2.51
11 11/22/2025 Away W * * 156.46 32 25 1A 92 ( 4- 8) North Carolina -5.40 11.18 12.40
12 11/29/2025 Home W * * 175.25 49 32 1A 50 ( 9- 4) Wake Forest 13.39 1.10 3.61
13 12/06/2025 Neutral W * * 173.32 27 20 1A 32 (11- 3) Virginia 11.46 -4.36 -4.46
14 12/31/2025 Neutral W * 164.52 42 39 1A 48 ( 8- 5) Arizona St 2.66 -0.30 0.34
Averages 161.86 34.6 29.4
Best game: 182.38 = 35 point win over Syracuse
Worst game: 140.93 = 26 point loss to Illinois
Team stdev: 12.86