BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 64 Overall: (2-2) Overall Strength = 178.42
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (1-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Home W 180.34 45 17 1B 49 (2-2) Elon 1.44 * 15.10 26.56
2 09/06/2025 Home L * 166.81 19 45 1A 5 (3-1) Illinois -12.09 -7.17 -13.91
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 172.13 27 34 1A 61 (3-1) Tulane -6.77 -11.93 -0.23
4 09/20/2025 Home W * * 196.31 45 33 1A 41 (3-1) North Carolina St 17.41 -7.31 -5.41
5 09/27/2025 Away * * 1A 43 (3-1) Syracuse -10.03
6 10/04/2025 Away * * 1A 85 (3-1) California 4.87
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 1A 40 (4-0) Georgia Tech -6.34
8 11/01/2025 Away * * 1A 56 (1-3) Clemson -5.23
9 11/08/2025 Away * 1A 78 (2-2) Connecticut 3.31
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1A 35 (3-1) Virginia -9.17
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 100 (2-2) North Carolina 10.38
12 11/29/2025 Home * * 1A 81 (2-1) Wake Forest 8.72
Averages 178.90 34.0 32.2
Best game: 196.31 = 12 point win over North Carolina St
Worst game: 166.81 = 26 point loss to Illinois
Team stdev: 12.87