BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 36 Overall: (4-3) Overall Strength = 172.27
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Home W 161.62 45 17 1B 60 (4-5) Elon -9.13 * 15.10 37.13
2 09/06/2025 Home L * 149.62 19 45 1A 22 (5-3) Illinois -21.13 -7.17 -4.87
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 162.70 27 34 1A 55 (6-1) Tulane -8.05 -11.93 1.05
4 09/20/2025 Home W * * 177.36 45 33 1A 56 (4-4) North Carolina St 6.61 -7.31 5.39
5 09/27/2025 Away W * * 197.44 38 3 1A 78 (3-5) Syracuse 26.69 -10.12 8.31
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 181.50 45 21 1A 91 (5-3) California 10.76 9.64 13.24
7 10/18/2025 Home L * * 165.00 18 27 1A 28 (8-0) Georgia Tech -5.75 4.01 -3.25
8 11/01/2025 Away * * 1A 54 (3-4) Clemson 2.36
9 11/08/2025 Away * 1A 89 (5-3) Connecticut 13.53
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1A 34 (7-1) Virginia 1.65
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 101 (2-5) North Carolina 18.45
12 11/29/2025 Home * * 1A 59 (5-2) Wake Forest 7.72
Averages 170.75 33.9 25.7
Best game: 197.44 = 35 point win over Syracuse
Worst game: 149.62 = 26 point loss to Illinois
Team stdev: 15.81