BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 33 Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength = 184.56
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Home W 176.50 45 17 1B 29 (4-2) Elon -6.71 * 15.10 34.71
2 09/06/2025 Home L * 163.05 19 45 1A 15 (5-1) Illinois -20.16 -7.17 -5.84
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 170.17 27 34 1A 57 (4-1) Tulane -13.05 -11.93 6.05
4 09/20/2025 Home W * * 190.89 45 33 1A 43 (4-2) North Carolina St 7.68 -7.31 4.32
5 09/27/2025 Away W * * 208.15 38 3 1A 75 (3-3) Syracuse 24.93 -10.03 10.07
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 190.53 45 21 1A 85 (4-2) California 7.31 9.79 16.69
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 1A 42 (5-0) Georgia Tech 5.58
8 11/01/2025 Away * * 1A 54 (2-3) Clemson 6.57
9 11/08/2025 Away * 1A 77 (4-2) Connecticut 15.44
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1A 20 (5-1) Virginia -5.56
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 118 (2-3) North Carolina 27.61
12 11/29/2025 Home * * 1A 69 (3-2) Wake Forest 14.86
Averages 183.22 36.5 25.5
Best game: 208.15 = 35 point win over Syracuse
Worst game: 163.05 = 26 point loss to Illinois
Team stdev: 16.47