BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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California

Class: 1A Class Rank: 82 Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength =  151.24
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-6)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Away    W   * 162.92  34  15   1A 115 ( 2-10) Oregon St              12.40      5.83    6.60                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    W     141.85  35   3   1B 103 ( 6- 5) Texas Southern         -8.67 *   40.00   40.67                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W   * 167.80  27  14   1A  68 ( 8- 5) Minnesota              17.28     -4.99   -4.28                      
 4 09/20/2025 Away    L   * 126.54   0  34   1A  62 ( 9- 4) San Diego St          -23.98     28.94  -10.02                      
 5 09/27/2025 Away    W * * 154.53  28  24   1A  97 ( 2-10) Boston College          4.01     -8.01   -0.01                      
 6 10/04/2025 Home    L * * 135.91  21  45   1A  44 ( 9- 5) Duke                  -14.60     -9.62   -9.40                      
 7 10/17/2025 Home    W * * 148.57  21  18   1A  92 ( 4- 8) North Carolina         -1.95     12.20    4.95                      
 8 10/24/2025 Away    L * * 146.87  34  42   1A  76 ( 3- 9) Virginia Tech          -3.64     -5.84   -4.36                      
 9 11/01/2025 Home    L * * 154.37  21  31   1A  32 (11- 3) Virginia                3.86    -14.88  -13.86                      
10 11/08/2025 Away    W * * 170.79  29  26   1A  29 ( 9- 4) Louisville             20.27    -22.32  -17.27                      
11 11/22/2025 Away    L * * 132.46  10  31   1A  81 ( 4- 8) Stanford              -18.06     -0.56   -2.94                      
12 11/29/2025 Home    W * * 167.62  38  35   1A  24 ( 9- 4) SMU                    17.10    -18.16  -14.10                      
13 12/24/2025 Neutral L   * 146.51  31  35   1A  79 ( 9- 4) Hawaii                 -4.01     -0.48    0.01                      
      Averages             150.52  25.3 27.2

Best game:  170.79 = 3 point win over Louisville
Worst game: 126.54 = 34 point loss to San Diego St
Team stdev:  14.17