BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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California

Class: 1A Class Rank: 83 Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  151.81
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-5)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Away    W   * 163.58  34  15   1A 115 ( 2-10) Oregon St              12.52      5.83    6.48                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    W     142.76  35   3   1B 101 ( 6- 5) Texas Southern         -8.29 *   40.00   40.29                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W   * 168.47  27  14   1A  66 ( 7- 5) Minnesota              17.42     -4.99   -4.42                      
 4 09/20/2025 Away    L   * 126.61   0  34   1A  63 ( 9- 3) San Diego St          -24.45     28.94   -9.55                      
 5 09/27/2025 Away    W * * 155.11  28  24   1A  98 ( 2-10) Boston College          4.05     -8.02   -0.05                      
 6 10/04/2025 Home    L * * 135.87  21  45   1A  46 ( 8- 5) Duke                  -15.19     -9.64   -8.81                      
 7 10/17/2025 Home    W * * 148.68  21  18   1A  93 ( 4- 8) North Carolina         -2.37     12.17    5.37                      
 8 10/24/2025 Away    L * * 146.68  34  42   1A  79 ( 3- 9) Virginia Tech          -4.38     -5.84   -3.62                      
 9 11/01/2025 Home    L * * 153.63  21  31   1A  34 (10- 3) Virginia                2.57    -14.90  -12.57                      
10 11/08/2025 Away    W * * 171.05  29  26   1A  31 ( 8- 4) Louisville             19.99    -22.30  -16.99                      
11 11/22/2025 Away    L * * 132.77  10  31   1A  85 ( 4- 8) Stanford              -18.28     -0.54   -2.72                      
12 11/29/2025 Home    W * * 167.47  38  35   1A  27 ( 8- 4) SMU                    16.41    -18.19  -13.41                      
13 12/24/2025 Neutral     *                  1A  80 ( 8- 4) Hawaii                                   -0.80            
      Averages             151.06  24.8 26.5

Best game:  171.05 = 3 point win over Louisville
Worst game: 126.61 = 34 point loss to San Diego St
Team stdev:  14.80