BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Louisville
Class: 1A Class Rank: 30 Overall: (4-1) Overall Strength = 185.60
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 176.85 51 17 1B 50 (2-3) Eastern Kentucky -6.99 * 22.46 40.99
2 09/05/2025 Home W * 183.70 28 14 1A 67 (4-1) James Madison -0.14 4.57 14.14
3 09/20/2025 Home W * 184.17 40 17 1A 91 (2-3) Bowling Green 0.32 9.48 22.68
4 09/27/2025 Away W * * 188.89 34 27 1A 46 (3-2) Pittsburgh 5.04 17.73 1.96
5 10/04/2025 Home L * * 185.62 27 30 1A 20 (5-1) Virginia 1.77 -7.08 -4.77
6 10/17/2025 Away * * 1A 4 (4-0) Miami FL -24.08
7 10/25/2025 Home * * 1A 105 (1-4) Boston College 29.21
8 11/01/2025 Away * * 1A 71 (2-4) Virginia Tech 13.55
9 11/08/2025 Home * * 1A 85 (4-2) California 22.74
10 11/14/2025 Home * * 1A 54 (2-3) Clemson 11.80
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 63 (3-2) SMU 10.03
12 11/29/2025 Home * 1A 51 (2-3) Kentucky 10.63
Averages 183.85 36.0 21.0
Best game: 188.89 = 7 point win over Pittsburgh
Worst game: 176.85 = 34 point win over Eastern Kentucky
Team stdev: 4.40