BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Louisville
Class: 1A Class Rank: 26 Overall: (6-1) Overall Strength = 176.90
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (5-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 166.93 51 17 1B 58 (3-5) Eastern Kentucky -8.54 * 22.46 42.54
2 09/05/2025 Home W * 178.14 28 14 1A 58 (6-1) James Madison 2.67 4.57 11.33
3 09/20/2025 Home W * 171.44 40 17 1A 105 (3-5) Bowling Green -4.03 9.47 27.03
4 09/27/2025 Away W * * 186.18 34 27 1A 27 (6-2) Pittsburgh 10.70 17.51 -3.70
5 10/04/2025 Home L * * 168.74 27 30 1A 34 (7-1) Virginia -6.73 -7.05 3.73
6 10/17/2025 Away W * * 193.55 24 21 1A 6 (6-1) Miami FL 18.08 -25.12 -15.08
7 10/25/2025 Home W * * 163.33 38 24 1A 110 (1-7) Boston College -12.14 35.26 26.14
8 11/01/2025 Away * * 1A 77 (3-5) Virginia Tech 15.50
9 11/08/2025 Home * * 1A 91 (5-3) California 23.36
10 11/14/2025 Home * * 1A 54 (3-4) Clemson 11.42
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 46 (5-3) SMU 4.90
12 11/29/2025 Home * 1A 63 (2-5) Kentucky 14.29
Averages 175.47 34.6 21.4
Best game: 193.55 = 3 point win over Miami FL
Worst game: 163.33 = 14 point win over Boston College
Team stdev: 11.03