BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Louisville
Class: 1A Class Rank: 29 Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength = 166.18
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (8-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 161.79 51 17 1B 38 ( 5- 7) Eastern Kentucky -4.05 * 22.47 38.05
2 09/05/2025 Home W * 178.58 28 14 1A 22 (12- 2) James Madison 12.74 4.57 1.26
3 09/20/2025 Home W * 159.58 40 17 1A 117 ( 4- 8) Bowling Green -6.26 9.47 29.26
4 09/27/2025 Away W * * 175.10 34 27 1A 31 ( 8- 5) Pittsburgh 9.26 17.51 -2.26
5 10/04/2025 Home L * * 161.37 27 30 1A 32 (11- 3) Virginia -4.47 -7.04 1.47
6 10/17/2025 Away W * * 185.43 24 21 1A 6 (13- 2) Miami FL 19.58 -25.12 -16.58
7 10/25/2025 Home W * * 160.63 38 24 1A 97 ( 2-10) Boston College -5.21 35.24 19.21
8 11/01/2025 Away W * * 166.87 28 16 1A 76 ( 3- 9) Virginia Tech 1.03 15.51 10.97
9 11/08/2025 Home L * * 145.57 26 29 1A 82 ( 7- 6) California -20.27 22.32 17.27
10 11/14/2025 Home L * * 159.86 19 20 1A 38 ( 7- 6) Clemson -5.98 4.17 4.98
11 11/22/2025 Away L * * 136.51 6 38 1A 24 ( 9- 4) SMU -29.33 -3.50 -2.67
12 11/29/2025 Home W * 198.89 41 0 1A 52 ( 5- 7) Kentucky 33.05 -0.06 7.95
13 12/23/2025 Neutral W * 165.76 27 22 1A 51 ( 8- 5) Toledo -0.08 5.50 5.08
Averages 165.84 29.9 21.2
Best game: 198.89 = 41 point win over Kentucky
Worst game: 136.51 = 32 point loss to SMU
Team stdev: 16.16