BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 53 Overall: (6-4) Overall Strength = 160.05
Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (4-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (5-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L * 159.14 16 24 1A 34 ( 5- 5) Kentucky -1.84 -7.16 -6.16
2 09/06/2025 Home W * 168.96 45 21 1A 94 ( 8- 2) Western Kentucky 7.98 -3.09 16.02
3 09/13/2025 Home W 169.36 60 0 1B 96 ( 4- 7) Morgan St 8.38 * 28.54 51.62
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 152.27 13 14 1A 76 ( 6- 4) Western Michigan -8.71 12.64 7.71
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 174.23 45 3 1A 124 ( 4- 7) Akron 13.25 29.03 28.75
6 10/11/2025 Away L * * 135.95 23 28 1A 118 ( 3- 7) Bowling Green -25.03 10.79 20.03
7 10/18/2025 Home W * * 166.28 45 10 1A 129 ( 4- 6) Kent St 5.30 20.12 29.70
8 10/25/2025 Away L * 137.83 7 28 1A 62 ( 5- 5) Washington St -23.15 -2.61 2.15
9 11/05/2025 Home W * * 175.29 42 3 1A 121 ( 3- 7) Northern Illinois 14.31 19.22 24.69
10 11/12/2025 Away W * * 170.50 24 3 1A 93 ( 5- 5) Miami OH 9.52 7.87 11.48
11 11/22/2025 Home * * 1A 130 ( 4- 6) Ball St 28.46
12 11/29/2025 Away * * 1A 104 ( 6- 4) Central Michigan 15.42
Averages 160.98 32.0 13.4
Best game: 175.29 = 39 point win over Northern Illinois
Worst game: 135.95 = 5 point loss to Bowling Green
Team stdev: 14.43