BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 52 Overall: (3-2) Overall Strength = 176.15
Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (1-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L * 169.51 16 24 1A 51 (2-3) Kentucky -11.98 -7.16 3.98
2 09/06/2025 Home W * 187.18 45 21 1A 95 (5-1) Western Kentucky 5.69 -3.12 18.31
3 09/13/2025 Home W 188.70 60 0 1B 85 (2-4) Morgan St 7.20 * 28.54 52.80
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 171.76 13 14 1A 70 (3-3) Western Michigan -9.74 12.64 8.74
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 190.33 45 3 1A 106 (2-4) Akron 8.84 * 29.23 33.16
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1A 91 (2-3) Bowling Green 10.79
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 1A 133 (1-4) Kent St 34.01
8 10/25/2025 Away * 1A 87 (3-2) Washington St 9.80
9 11/05/2025 Home * * 1A 110 (1-4) Northern Illinois 21.64
10 11/12/2025 Away * * 1A 92 (2-3) Miami OH 10.92
11 11/22/2025 Home * * 1A 107 (2-3) Ball St 20.20
12 11/29/2025 Away * * 1A 111 (3-3) Central Michigan 18.23
Averages 181.50 35.8 12.4
Best game: 190.33 = 42 point win over Akron
Worst game: 169.51 = 8 point loss to Kentucky
Team stdev: 10.01