BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 51 Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 160.15
Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (6-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L * 153.79 16 24 1A 52 ( 5- 7) Kentucky -6.98 -7.17 -1.02
2 09/06/2025 Home W * 170.60 45 21 1A 89 ( 9- 4) Western Kentucky 9.84 -3.09 14.16
3 09/13/2025 Home W 168.09 60 0 1B 105 ( 4- 8) Morgan St 7.33 * 28.54 52.67
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 154.68 13 14 1A 71 (10- 4) Western Michigan -6.08 12.64 5.08
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 174.38 45 3 1A 128 ( 5- 7) Akron 13.62 29.03 28.38
6 10/11/2025 Away L * * 135.47 23 28 1A 117 ( 4- 8) Bowling Green -25.29 10.79 20.29
7 10/18/2025 Home W * * 166.16 45 10 1A 127 ( 5- 7) Kent St 5.39 20.10 29.61
8 10/25/2025 Away L * 139.60 7 28 1A 58 ( 7- 6) Washington St -21.16 -2.60 0.16
9 11/05/2025 Home W * * 173.76 42 3 1A 124 ( 3- 9) Northern Illinois 13.00 19.21 26.00
10 11/12/2025 Away W * * 170.68 24 3 1A 91 ( 7- 7) Miami OH 9.91 7.97 11.09
11 11/22/2025 Home W * * 159.54 38 9 1A 131 ( 4- 8) Ball St -1.22 28.42 30.22
12 11/29/2025 Away W * * 162.31 21 3 1A 106 ( 7- 6) Central Michigan 1.55 11.95 16.45
13 12/23/2025 Neutral L * 160.84 22 27 1A 29 ( 9- 4) Louisville 0.08 -5.50 -5.08
Averages 160.76 30.8 13.3
Best game: 174.38 = 42 point win over Akron
Worst game: 135.47 = 5 point loss to Bowling Green
Team stdev: 12.28