BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 22 Overall: (5-3) Overall Strength = 178.99
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (2-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (4-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2025 Home W 169.74 52 3 1B 96 (2-7) Western Illinois -8.10 * 22.35 57.10
2 09/06/2025 Away W * 198.96 45 19 1A 36 (4-3) Duke 21.13 7.17 4.87
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 195.77 38 0 1A 75 (4-4) Western Michigan 17.94 29.96 20.06
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 148.85 10 63 1A 1 (8-0) Indiana -28.98 0.67 -24.02
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 186.82 34 32 1A 12 (5-2) Southern Cal 8.99 9.09 -6.99
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 180.58 43 27 1A 72 (2-6) Purdue 2.75 12.84 13.25
7 10/11/2025 Home L * * 173.66 16 34 1A 2 (7-0) Ohio State -4.18 -4.76 -13.82
8 10/25/2025 Away L * * 168.28 25 42 1A 15 (6-2) Washington -9.55 0.55 -7.45
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1A 66 (4-4) Rutgers 17.60
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1A 45 (4-3) Maryland 10.83
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 73 (2-6) Wisconsin 15.96
12 11/29/2025 Home * * 1A 53 (5-3) Northwestern 12.80
Averages 177.83 32.9 27.5
Best game: 198.96 = 26 point win over Duke
Worst game: 148.85 = 53 point loss to Indiana
Team stdev: 16.35