BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 25 Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength = 169.27
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2025 Home W 164.57 52 3 1B 94 ( 4- 8) Western Illinois -4.30 * 22.36 53.30
2 09/06/2025 Away W * 189.74 45 19 1A 46 ( 8- 5) Duke 20.87 7.17 5.13
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 188.30 38 0 1A 76 ( 9- 4) Western Michigan 19.42 29.96 18.58
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 141.95 10 63 1A 1 (13- 0) Indiana -26.92 0.67 -26.08
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 177.76 34 32 1A 14 ( 9- 3) Southern Cal 8.88 9.09 -6.88
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 172.56 43 27 1A 74 ( 2-10) Purdue 3.69 12.84 12.31
7 10/11/2025 Home L * * 168.32 16 34 1A 2 (12- 1) Ohio State -0.56 -4.76 -17.44
8 10/25/2025 Away L * * 160.93 25 42 1A 13 ( 8- 4) Washington -7.94 0.59 -9.06
9 11/01/2025 Home W * * 178.35 35 13 1A 60 ( 5- 7) Rutgers 9.48 17.57 12.52
10 11/15/2025 Home W * * 171.94 24 6 1A 64 ( 4- 8) Maryland 3.06 13.93 14.94
11 11/22/2025 Away L * * 145.49 10 27 1A 58 ( 4- 8) Wisconsin -23.39 12.26 6.39
12 11/29/2025 Home W * * 166.58 20 13 1A 45 ( 6- 6) Northwestern -2.30 9.10 9.30
Averages 168.88 29.3 23.2
Best game: 189.74 = 26 point win over Duke
Worst game: 141.95 = 53 point loss to Indiana
Team stdev: 14.66