BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 5 Overall: (3-1) Overall Strength =  210.45
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-1)
                                                                                       pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/29/2025 Home    W     186.01  52   3   1B  98 (1-3) Western Illinois       -9.03 *   22.35   58.03                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    W   * 207.13  45  19   1A  64 (2-2) Duke                   12.09      7.17   13.91                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    W   * 213.76  38   0   1A  80 (1-3) Western Michigan       18.72     29.96   19.28                      
 4 09/20/2025 Away    L * * 173.26  10  63   1A   1 (4-0) Indiana               -21.78 *    0.66  -31.22                      
 5 09/27/2025 Home      * *                  1A   9 (4-0) Southern Cal                              8.21            
 6 10/04/2025 Away      * *                  1A  47 (2-2) Purdue                                   23.54            
 7 10/11/2025 Home      * *                  1A  27 (3-0) Ohio State                               19.87            
 8 10/25/2025 Away      * *                  1A  10 (3-0) Washington                                4.50            
 9 11/01/2025 Home      * *                  1A  94 (3-1) Rutgers                                  44.67            
10 11/15/2025 Home      * *                  1A  46 (4-0) Maryland                                 27.31            
11 11/22/2025 Away      * *                  1A  89 (2-2) Wisconsin                                37.68            
12 11/29/2025 Home      * *                  1A 105 (1-2) Northwestern                             47.95            
      Averages             195.04  36.2 21.2

Best game:  213.76 = 38 point win over Western Michigan
Worst game: 173.26 = 53 point loss to Indiana
Team stdev:  18.73