BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 23 Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength = 169.28
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (8-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2025 Home W 164.02 52 3 1B 93 ( 4- 8) Western Illinois -4.86 * 22.36 53.86
2 09/06/2025 Away W * 189.81 45 19 1A 44 ( 9- 5) Duke 20.93 7.17 5.07
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 189.79 38 0 1A 71 (10- 4) Western Michigan 20.91 29.96 17.09
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 144.46 10 63 1A 1 (15- 0) Indiana -24.42 0.67 -28.58
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 175.89 34 32 1A 16 ( 9- 4) Southern Cal 7.01 9.08 -5.01
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 172.10 43 27 1A 72 ( 2-10) Purdue 3.22 12.84 12.78
7 10/11/2025 Home L * * 166.76 16 34 1A 2 (12- 2) Ohio State -2.12 -4.76 -15.88
8 10/25/2025 Away L * * 161.05 25 42 1A 10 ( 9- 4) Washington -7.83 0.58 -9.17
9 11/01/2025 Home W * * 177.79 35 13 1A 59 ( 5- 7) Rutgers 8.91 17.59 13.09
10 11/15/2025 Home W * * 171.47 24 6 1A 69 ( 4- 8) Maryland 2.59 13.96 15.41
11 11/22/2025 Away L * * 144.88 10 27 1A 56 ( 4- 8) Wisconsin -24.00 12.24 7.00
12 11/29/2025 Home W * * 166.31 20 13 1A 46 ( 7- 6) Northwestern -2.57 9.12 9.57
13 12/30/2025 Neutral W * 171.11 30 28 1A 27 ( 8- 5) Tennessee 2.23 0.62 -0.23
Averages 168.88 29.4 23.6
Best game: 189.81 = 26 point win over Duke
Worst game: 144.46 = 53 point loss to Indiana
Team stdev: 13.83