BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 15 Overall: (5-1) Overall Strength = 194.07
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (2-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (4-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2025 Home W 176.52 52 3 1B 110 (1-5) Western Illinois -14.62 * 22.35 63.62
2 09/06/2025 Away W * 211.31 45 19 1A 33 (4-2) Duke 20.16 7.17 5.84
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 206.57 38 0 1A 70 (3-3) Western Michigan 15.42 29.96 22.58
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 158.43 10 63 1A 1 (5-0) Indiana -32.71 0.66 -20.29
5 09/27/2025 Home W * * 196.77 34 32 1A 18 (4-1) Southern Cal 5.63 8.21 -3.63
6 10/04/2025 Away W * * 197.27 43 27 1A 48 (2-3) Purdue 6.12 12.68 9.88
7 10/11/2025 Home * * 1A 6 (5-0) Ohio State -4.99
8 10/25/2025 Away * * 1A 26 (4-1) Washington 3.37
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1A 65 (3-2) Rutgers 23.23
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1A 39 (4-1) Maryland 14.76
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 62 (2-3) Wisconsin 18.35
12 11/29/2025 Home * * 1A 76 (3-2) Northwestern 28.50
Averages 191.15 37.0 24.0
Best game: 211.31 = 26 point win over Duke
Worst game: 158.43 = 53 point loss to Indiana
Team stdev: 19.99