BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern
Class: 1A Class Rank: 105 Overall: (1-2) Overall Strength = 164.73
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (0-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L * 159.13 3 23 1A 61 (3-1) Tulane -11.20 -7.64 -8.80
2 09/05/2025 Home W 172.01 42 7 1B 98 (1-3) Western Illinois 1.68 * 20.19 33.32
3 09/13/2025 Home L * * 179.84 14 34 1A 14 (4-0) Oregon 9.51 * -35.75 -29.51
4 09/27/2025 Home * * 1A 125 (0-3) UCLA 12.32
5 10/04/2025 Home * 1A 116 (2-1) Louisiana-Monroe 8.35
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1A 36 (3-0) Penn State -27.02
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 1A 47 (2-2) Purdue -17.71
8 10/25/2025 Away * * 1A 23 (3-1) Nebraska -32.76
9 11/07/2025 Away * * 1A 9 (4-0) Southern Cal -41.97
10 11/15/2025 Neutral * * 1A 17 (3-1) Michigan -33.99
11 11/22/2025 Neutral * * 1A 104 (2-1) Minnesota -0.10
12 11/29/2025 Away * * 1A 5 (3-1) Illinois -47.95
Averages 170.32 19.7 21.3
Best game: 179.84 = 20 point loss to Oregon
Worst game: 159.13 = 20 point loss to Tulane
Team stdev: 10.46