BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern
Class: 1A Class Rank: 45 Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength = 162.49
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (5-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L * 142.49 3 23 1A 55 (11- 2) Tulane -19.02 -7.64 -0.98
2 09/05/2025 Home W 150.57 42 7 1B 94 ( 4- 8) Western Illinois -10.94 * 20.19 45.94
3 09/13/2025 Home L * * 165.70 14 34 1A 5 (11- 1) Oregon 4.19 -35.74 -24.19
4 09/27/2025 Home W * * 155.89 17 14 1A 69 ( 3- 9) UCLA -5.62 12.24 8.62
5 10/04/2025 Home W * 162.61 42 7 1A 132 ( 3- 9) Louisiana-Monroe 1.10 * -6.22 33.90
6 10/11/2025 Away W * * 176.79 22 21 1A 20 ( 6- 6) Penn State 15.28 -10.59 -14.28
7 10/18/2025 Home W * * 171.70 19 0 1A 74 ( 2-10) Purdue 10.19 1.28 8.81
8 10/25/2025 Away L * * 158.47 21 28 1A 40 ( 7- 5) Nebraska -3.04 -2.42 -3.96
9 11/07/2025 Away L * * 158.62 17 38 1A 14 ( 9- 3) Southern Cal -2.89 -16.06 -18.11
10 11/15/2025 Neutral L * * 171.04 22 24 1A 19 ( 9- 3) Michigan 9.53 -8.22 -11.53
11 11/22/2025 Neutral W * * 160.42 38 35 1A 66 ( 7- 5) Minnesota -1.09 7.21 4.09
12 11/29/2025 Away L * * 163.81 13 20 1A 25 ( 8- 4) Illinois 2.30 -9.10 -9.30
Averages 161.51 22.5 20.9
Best game: 176.79 = 1 point win over Penn State
Worst game: 142.49 = 20 point loss to Tulane
Team stdev: 9.46