BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern
Class: 1A Class Rank: 46 Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 162.20
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L * 141.23 3 23 1A 54 (11- 3) Tulane -20.03 -7.64 0.03
2 09/05/2025 Home W 150.02 42 7 1B 93 ( 4- 8) Western Illinois -11.24 * 20.19 46.24
3 09/13/2025 Home L * * 164.43 14 34 1A 5 (13- 2) Oregon 3.17 -35.74 -23.17
4 09/27/2025 Home W * * 155.19 17 14 1A 70 ( 3- 9) UCLA -6.06 12.24 9.06
5 10/04/2025 Home W * 162.13 42 7 1A 132 ( 3- 9) Louisiana-Monroe 0.88 * -6.22 34.12
6 10/11/2025 Away W * * 176.29 22 21 1A 19 ( 7- 6) Penn State 15.03 -10.60 -14.03
7 10/18/2025 Home W * * 171.20 19 0 1A 72 ( 2-10) Purdue 9.95 1.30 9.05
8 10/25/2025 Away L * * 157.14 21 28 1A 42 ( 7- 6) Nebraska -4.11 -2.43 -2.89
9 11/07/2025 Away L * * 156.78 17 38 1A 16 ( 9- 4) Southern Cal -4.47 -16.09 -16.53
10 11/15/2025 Neutral L * * 168.99 22 24 1A 20 ( 9- 4) Michigan 7.73 -8.22 -9.73
11 11/22/2025 Neutral W * * 159.74 38 35 1A 68 ( 8- 5) Minnesota -1.51 7.22 4.51
12 11/29/2025 Away L * * 163.83 13 20 1A 23 ( 9- 4) Illinois 2.57 -9.12 -9.57
13 12/26/2025 Neutral W * 169.36 34 7 1A 106 ( 7- 6) Central Michigan 8.10 18.70 18.90
Averages 161.26 23.4 19.8
Best game: 176.29 = 1 point win over Penn State
Worst game: 141.23 = 20 point loss to Tulane
Team stdev: 9.45