BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan
Class: 1A Class Rank: 24 Overall: (6-2) Overall Strength = 178.50
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W * 176.57 34 17 1A 69 (5-3) New Mexico -5.66 13.90 22.66
2 09/06/2025 Away L * 172.54 13 24 1A 13 (6-2) Oklahoma -9.69 -3.80 -1.31
3 09/13/2025 Home W * 208.33 63 3 1A 96 (5-3) Central Michigan 26.10 * 8.56 33.90
4 09/20/2025 Away W * * 179.44 30 27 1A 47 (6-2) Nebraska -2.79 -5.85 5.79
5 10/04/2025 Home W * * 175.10 24 10 1A 73 (2-6) Wisconsin -7.13 29.40 21.13
6 10/11/2025 Away L * * 171.25 13 31 1A 12 (5-2) Southern Cal -10.98 -4.73 -7.02
7 10/18/2025 Home W * * 197.86 24 7 1A 15 (6-2) Washington 15.62 -5.35 1.38
8 10/25/2025 Away W * * 176.76 31 20 1A 70 (3-5) Michigan St -5.47 14.93 16.47
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1A 72 (2-6) Purdue 19.35
10 11/15/2025 Neutral * * 1A 53 (5-3) Northwestern 10.10
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 45 (4-3) Maryland 5.91
12 11/29/2025 Home * * 1A 2 (7-0) Ohio State -15.63
Averages 182.23 29.0 17.4
Best game: 208.33 = 60 point win over Central Michigan
Worst game: 171.25 = 18 point loss to Southern Cal
Team stdev: 13.42