BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Virginia

Class: 1A Class Rank: 51 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength =   88.75

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Home    W   111.26  43   0   1B  41 (  6-  5) William & Mary         23.31     19.69                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    W   108.83  42  14   1A  64 (  5-  7) Illinois               20.88      7.12                      
  3 09/18/2021 Away    L *  71.68  39  59   1A  48 (  6-  6) North Carolina        -16.27     -3.73                      
  4 09/24/2021 Home    L *  73.10  17  37   1A   9 ( 10-  2) Wake Forest           -14.85     -5.15                      
  5 09/30/2021 Away    W *  94.88  30  28   1A  52 (  7-  5) Miami FL                6.93     -4.93                      
  6 10/09/2021 Away    W *  93.57  34  33   1A  40 (  6-  6) Louisville              5.62     -4.62                      
  7 10/16/2021 Home    W * 110.36  48   0   1A 121 (  3-  9) Duke                   22.40     25.60                      
  8 10/23/2021 Home    W *  83.58  48  40   1A  84 (  3-  9) Georgia Tech           -4.37     12.37                      
  9 10/30/2021 Away    L    76.29  49  66   1A  46 ( 10-  2) Brigham Young         -11.66     -5.34                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    L    73.53   3  28   1A   6 ( 11-  1) Notre Dame            -14.42    -10.58                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L *  90.37  38  48   1A  15 ( 10-  2) Pittsburgh              2.41    -12.41                      
 12 11/27/2021 Home    L *  77.50  24  29   1A  60 (  6-  6) Virginia Tech         -10.45      5.45                      
      Averages              88.75  34.6 31.8

Best game:  111.26 = 43 point win over William & Mary
Worst game:  71.68 = 20 point loss to North Carolina
Team stdev:  15.13