BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 121 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (0-8) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 64.98
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2021 Away L 67.49 28 31 1A 115 ( 5- 7) UNC-Charlotte 2.45 -5.45
2 09/10/2021 Home W 87.39 45 17 1B 74 ( 5- 6) North Carolina A&T 22.35 5.65
3 09/18/2021 Home W 77.63 30 23 1A 107 ( 3- 9) Northwestern 12.59 -5.59
4 09/25/2021 Home W 82.80 52 33 1A 111 ( 2- 10) Kansas 17.76 1.24
5 10/02/2021 Away L * 60.68 7 38 1A 48 ( 6- 6) North Carolina -4.37 -26.63
6 10/09/2021 Home L * 71.58 27 31 1A 84 ( 3- 9) Georgia Tech 6.54 -10.54
7 10/16/2021 Away L * 42.64 0 48 1A 51 ( 6- 6) Virginia -22.40 -25.60
8 10/30/2021 Away L * 60.47 7 45 1A 9 ( 10- 2) Wake Forest -4.57 * -33.43
9 11/06/2021 Home L * 69.99 29 54 1A 15 ( 10- 2) Pittsburgh 4.95 -29.95
10 11/13/2021 Away L * 56.88 17 48 1A 60 ( 6- 6) Virginia Tech -8.17 -22.83
11 11/18/2021 Home L * 47.20 22 62 1A 40 ( 6- 6) Louisville -17.85 -22.15
12 11/27/2021 Home L * 50.51 10 47 1A 52 ( 7- 5) Miami FL -14.54 -22.46
Averages 64.60 22.8 39.8
Best game: 87.39 = 28 point win over North Carolina A&T
Worst game: 42.64 = 48 point loss to Virginia
Team stdev: 14.09