BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Louisville

Class: 1A Class Rank: 40 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength =   90.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/06/2021 Neutral L    77.70  24  43   1A   8 ( 10-  2) Mississippi           -12.18     -6.82                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    W    98.25  30   3   1B  31 (  7-  4) Eastern Kentucky        8.37     18.63                      
  3 09/17/2021 Home    W    88.25  42  35   1A  65 (  8-  4) Central Florida        -1.63      8.63                      
  4 09/25/2021 Away    W *  96.37  31  23   1A  62 (  5-  7) Florida St              6.48      1.52                      
  5 10/02/2021 Away    L *  95.47  34  37   1A   9 ( 10-  2) Wake Forest             5.59     -8.59                      
  6 10/09/2021 Home    L *  84.26  33  34   1A  51 (  6-  6) Virginia               -5.62      4.62                      
  7 10/23/2021 Home    W *  92.94  28  14   1A  73 (  6-  6) Boston College          3.05     10.95                      
  8 10/30/2021 Away    L *  83.97  13  28   1A  13 (  9-  3) North Carolina St      -5.91     -9.09                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    L *  87.60  24  30   1A  16 (  9-  3) Clemson                -2.28     -3.72                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    W * 117.95  41   3   1A  69 (  5-  7) Syracuse               28.06      9.94                      
 11 11/18/2021 Away    W * 107.73  62  22   1A 121 (  3-  9) Duke                   17.85     22.15                      
 12 11/27/2021 Home    L    59.51  21  52   1A  25 (  9-  3) Kentucky              -30.37     -0.63                      
      Averages              90.83  31.9 27.0

Best game:  117.95 = 38 point win over Syracuse
Worst game:  59.51 = 31 point loss to Kentucky
Team stdev:  14.75