BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 64 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength = 84.57
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/28/2021 Home W * 97.75 30 22 1A 28 ( 3- 9) Nebraska 14.23 -6.23
2 09/04/2021 Home L 78.47 30 37 1A 53 ( 11- 1) Texas-San Antonio -5.05 -1.95
3 09/11/2021 Away L 62.64 14 42 1A 51 ( 6- 6) Virginia -20.88 -7.12
4 09/17/2021 Home L * 74.51 17 20 1A 85 ( 6- 6) Maryland -9.01 6.01
5 09/25/2021 Away L * 91.99 9 13 1A 20 ( 8- 4) Purdue 8.47 -12.47
6 10/02/2021 Home W 75.11 24 14 1A 115 ( 5- 7) UNC-Charlotte -8.41 18.41
7 10/09/2021 Home L * 70.17 0 24 1A 11 ( 8- 4) Wisconsin -13.35 -10.65
8 10/23/2021 Away W * 101.32 20 18 1A 10 ( 7- 5) Penn State 17.80 -15.80
9 10/30/2021 Home L * 71.54 14 20 1A 77 ( 5- 7) Rutgers -11.98 5.98
10 11/06/2021 Away W * 101.71 14 6 1A 32 ( 8- 4) Minnesota 18.19 -10.19
11 11/20/2021 Away L * 85.98 23 33 1A 27 ( 10- 2) Iowa 2.46 -12.46
12 11/27/2021 Home W * 103.63 47 14 1A 107 ( 3- 9) Northwestern 20.11 12.89
Averages 84.57 20.2 21.9
Best game: 103.63 = 33 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 62.64 = 28 point loss to Virginia
Team stdev: 14.32