BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Troy

Class: 1 Class Rank: 69 Overall: (25-8) Overall Strength =   45.79
Conference: Sunbelt Record: (16-4) | District: 1-02 Record: (23-5)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W   *  69.89  88  51    1 154 (17-15) Toledo                 24.16     12.84                      
 2 11-06-2025 Home    W   *  48.75  95  50    1 352 ( 9-23) MS Valley St            3.01 *   41.99                      
 3 11-12-2025 Home    W   *  43.72  73  56    1 214 (20-11) Chattanooga            -2.02     19.02                      
 4 11-18-2025 Away    L      31.35  59  81    1  54 (19-18) Kansas St             -14.39     -7.61                      
 5 11-20-2025 Away    W      65.82 100  82    1  72 (17-17) Missouri               20.08     -2.08                      
 6 11-24-2025 Home    W   *  56.85  74  60    1  75 (27- 8) Montana St             11.11      2.89                      
 7 11-27-2025 Neutral W   *  42.62 103  74    1 345 (10-21) TX Southern            -3.11 *   32.11                      
 8 11-29-2025 Neutral W   *  37.54  74  70    1 185 (16-16) Florida Gulf Coast     -8.20     12.20                      
 9 12-03-2025 Away    W   *  35.23  86  83    1 207 (21-10) Longwood              -10.51     13.51                      
10 12-10-2025 Home    W      58.46 132  62   ZZ 134 ( 0- 2) Oakwood                12.72 *   57.28                      
11 12-17-2025 Away    W * *  59.97  81  59    1 155 (18-14) Old Dominion           14.23      7.77                      
12 12-21-2025 Away    L      43.92  59  77    1  21 (24-11) Alabama                -1.82    -16.18                      
13 01-01-2026 Away    W * *  46.92  80  54    1 314 ( 5-26) Louisiana               1.18     24.82                      
14 01-03-2026 Away    L * *  32.07  95  98    1 178 (15-16) Southern Miss         -13.66     10.66                      
15 01-07-2026 Home    W * *  59.03  84  49    1 253 (11-19) Texas St               13.30     21.70                      
16 01-10-2026 Home    W * *  62.98  86  64    1  86 (27-10) Arkansas St            17.25      4.75                      
17 01-14-2026 Away    W * *  44.11  86  80    1 153 (16-16) ULM                    -1.63      7.63                      
18 01-17-2026 Away    W * *  33.41  67  63    1 253 (11-19) Texas St              -12.33     16.33                      
19 01-22-2026 Home    L * *  29.85  69  80    1  82 (23- 8) Ga Southern           -15.89      4.89                      
20 01-24-2026 Home    W * *  52.15  96  69    1 237 (10-21) Georgia St              6.41     20.59                      
21 01-28-2026 Away    W * *  47.50  85  82    1  93 (28- 9) Marshall                1.76      1.24                      
22 01-30-2026 Away    W * *  50.62  88  77    1 136 (14-18) Coastal Car             4.88      6.12                      
23 02-04-2026 Home    W * *  39.39  69  59    1 184 (11-19) Appalachian St         -6.35     16.35                      
24 02-07-2026 Away    L   *  46.48  86  87    1  78 (26- 7) Ball St                 0.74     -1.74                      
25 02-12-2026 Home    W * *  31.54  71  55    1 314 ( 5-26) Louisiana             -14.19 *   30.19                      
26 02-14-2026 Home    W * *  34.74  82  80    1 153 (16-16) ULM                   -11.00     13.00                      
27 02-18-2026 Home    W * *  41.78  84  73    1 176 (17-19) South Alabama          -3.95     14.95                      
28 02-21-2026 Home    W * *  46.70  97  80    1 178 (15-16) Southern Miss           0.96     16.04                      
29 02-24-2026 Away    W * *  53.36  61  54    1  86 (27-10) Arkansas St             7.62     -0.62                      
30 02-27-2026 Away    L * *  29.16  69  76    1 176 (17-19) South Alabama         -16.58      9.58                      
31 03-08-2026 Neutral W * *  53.67  83  73    1  86 (27-10) Arkansas St             7.93      2.07                      
32 03-09-2026 Neutral L * *  35.00  52  69    1  48 (26- 9) James Madison         -10.74     -6.26                      
33 03-19-2026 Away    L      44.78  70  79    1  46 (22-14) Kansas                 -0.96     -8.04                      
      Averages              45.74  81.3 69.9

Best game:   69.89 = 37 point win over Toledo
Worst game:  29.16 = 7 point loss to South Alabama
Team stdev:  11.06