BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1 Class Rank: 165 Overall: (15-14) Overall Strength = 34.20
Conference: Mid-American Record: (8-9) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-13)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Away L * 11.00 51 88 1 71 (25- 7) Troy -23.52 -13.48
2 11-09-2025 Home L * 41.78 69 72 1 60 (23- 9) Gonzaga 7.26 -10.26
3 11-16-2025 Home W * 32.46 66 52 1 298 ( 7-24) Detroit -2.06 16.06
4 11-19-2025 Away L * 26.04 61 70 1 189 (15-17) N Kentucky -8.48 -0.52
5 11-25-2025 Away W * 42.45 69 65 1 141 (24- 8) Youngstown St 7.93 -3.93
6 12-02-2025 Home W * 23.71 79 66 1 342 ( 5-25) Morgan St -10.81 23.81
7 12-06-2025 Home L * 19.66 52 68 1 121 (17-13) Northern Iowa -14.86 -1.14
8 12-14-2025 Away L 43.49 60 85 1 9 (26- 7) Ohio St 8.97 * -33.97
9 12-17-2025 Home W 34.52 75 63 ZZ 15 ( 0- 1) Wayne St MI -0.00 12.00
10 12-22-2025 Away W * 40.81 64 43 1 324 ( 5-25) Long Beach St 6.29 14.71
11 12-31-2025 Home W * * 50.27 79 46 1 308 ( 3-27) Buffalo 15.75 17.25
12 01-03-2026 Away L * * 37.59 55 63 1 80 (25- 6) Miami OH 3.07 -11.07
13 01-07-2026 Away L * * 43.65 68 72 1 77 (25- 6) Ball St 9.13 -13.13
14 01-10-2026 Home W * * 35.34 59 46 1 264 ( 9-20) Western Michigan 0.82 12.18
15 01-14-2026 Home W * * 39.06 70 49 1 293 ( 7-23) Northern Illinois 4.54 16.46
16 01-20-2026 Away L * * 29.03 71 76 1 194 (13-16) Eastern Michigan -5.49 0.49
17 01-24-2026 Away W * * 46.09 75 66 1 147 (17-12) Ohio 11.57 -2.57
18 01-28-2026 Home W * * 37.70 59 53 1 176 (15-15) Kent 3.18 2.82
19 01-31-2026 Home W * * 39.70 59 49 1 187 (17-13) Bowling Green 5.18 4.82
20 02-04-2026 Away L * * 22.22 74 77 1 300 ( 7-24) Akron -12.30 9.30
21 02-07-2026 Home W * 38.26 76 67 1 183 (15-16) Southern Miss 3.74 5.26
22 02-10-2026 Home L * * 27.80 67 71 1 147 (17-12) Ohio -6.72 2.72
23 02-14-2026 Home W * * 39.73 62 51 1 194 (13-16) Eastern Michigan 5.21 5.79
24 02-18-2026 Away W * 51.33 60 52 1 103 (23- 6) Massachusetts 16.81 -8.81
25 02-21-2026 Away L * * 26.00 52 61 1 187 (17-13) Bowling Green -8.53 -0.47
26 02-25-2026 Home L * * 31.83 64 68 1 125 (18-11) Central Michigan -2.69 -1.31
27 02-28-2026 Away L * * 19.57 66 69 1 308 ( 3-27) Buffalo -14.96 11.96
28 03-04-2026 Away W * * 34.64 56 49 1 264 ( 9-20) Western Michigan 0.12 6.88
29 03-07-2026 Home L * * 35.36 71 78 1 77 (25- 6) Ball St 0.84 -7.84
30 03/11/2026 Away * 1 103 (23- 6) Massachusetts -8.79
Averages 34.52 65.1 63.3
Best game: 51.33 = 8 point win over Massachusetts
Worst game: 11.00 = 37 point loss to Troy
Team stdev: 9.62