BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1 Class Rank: 154 Overall: (17-15) Overall Strength = 35.35
Conference: Mid-American Record: (9-10) | District: 1-02 Record: (16-14)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Away L * 11.42 51 88 1 69 (25- 8) Troy -24.16 -12.84
2 11-09-2025 Home L * 42.00 69 72 1 60 (24-10) Gonzaga 6.42 -9.42
3 11-16-2025 Home W * 32.64 66 52 1 303 ( 7-24) Detroit -2.94 16.94
4 11-19-2025 Away L * 26.26 61 70 1 189 (15-17) N Kentucky -9.32 0.32
5 11-25-2025 Away W * 42.20 69 65 1 145 (25-10) Youngstown St 6.62 -2.62
6 12-02-2025 Home W * 23.93 79 66 1 342 ( 5-26) Morgan St -11.65 24.65
7 12-06-2025 Home L * 19.30 52 68 1 130 (18-14) Northern Iowa -16.28 0.28
8 12-14-2025 Away L 42.73 60 85 1 10 (27- 8) Ohio St 7.15 * -32.15
9 12-17-2025 Home W 35.58 75 63 ZZ 14 ( 0- 1) Wayne St MI 0.00 12.00
10 12-22-2025 Away W * 40.94 64 43 1 324 ( 5-25) Long Beach St 5.36 15.64
11 12-31-2025 Home W * * 50.56 79 46 1 310 ( 3-27) Buffalo 14.97 18.03
12 01-03-2026 Away L * * 38.28 55 63 1 80 (28- 7) Miami OH 2.70 -10.70
13 01-07-2026 Away L * * 43.48 68 72 1 78 (26- 7) Ball St 7.89 -11.89
14 01-10-2026 Home W * * 35.49 59 46 1 265 ( 9-20) Western Michigan -0.10 13.10
15 01-14-2026 Home W * * 39.23 70 49 1 300 ( 7-23) Northern Illinois 3.65 17.35
16 01-20-2026 Away L * * 29.28 71 76 1 192 (13-16) Eastern Michigan -6.30 1.30
17 01-24-2026 Away W * * 45.75 75 66 1 161 (18-14) Ohio 10.17 -1.17
18 01-28-2026 Home W * * 38.03 59 53 1 173 (15-16) Kent 2.45 3.55
19 01-31-2026 Home W * * 39.93 59 49 1 188 (17-14) Bowling Green 4.35 5.65
20 02-04-2026 Away L * * 22.49 74 77 1 301 ( 7-24) Akron -13.09 10.09
21 02-07-2026 Home W * 38.70 76 67 1 178 (15-16) Southern Miss 3.12 5.88
22 02-10-2026 Home L * * 27.38 67 71 1 161 (18-14) Ohio -8.20 4.20
23 02-14-2026 Home W * * 39.91 62 51 1 192 (13-16) Eastern Michigan 4.32 6.68
24 02-18-2026 Away W * 51.18 60 52 1 106 (23- 7) Massachusetts 15.60 -7.60
25 02-21-2026 Away L * * 26.30 52 61 1 188 (17-14) Bowling Green -9.28 0.28
26 02-25-2026 Home L * * 31.87 64 68 1 126 (18-12) Central Michigan -3.71 -0.29
27 02-28-2026 Away L * * 19.93 66 69 1 310 ( 3-27) Buffalo -15.65 12.65
28 03-04-2026 Away W * * 34.86 56 49 1 265 ( 9-20) Western Michigan -0.72 7.72
29 03-07-2026 Home L * * 35.10 71 78 1 78 (26- 7) Ball St -0.48 -6.52
30 03-11-2026 Neutral W * 51.49 67 56 1 106 (23- 7) Massachusetts 15.91 -4.91
31 03-13-2026 Neutral W * * 48.79 69 65 1 78 (26- 7) Ball St 13.21 -9.21
32 03-14-2026 Neutral L * * 33.59 58 68 1 80 (28- 7) Miami OH -1.99 -8.01
Averages 35.58 65.1 63.2
Best game: 51.49 = 11 point win over Massachusetts
Worst game: 11.42 = 37 point loss to Troy
Team stdev: 9.85