BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1 Class Rank: 87 Conference: Mid-American Record: (16-2) Overall: (25-6) Overall Strength = 29.28
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 26.69 85 70 1 287 ( 11- 21) Valparaiso -2.59 17.59
2 11-11-2022 Neutral W 40.21 93 85 1 71 ( 23- 8) Alabama-Birmingham 10.94 -2.94
3 11-16-2022 Home W 34.36 112 90 1 282 ( 13- 19) Oakland 5.08 16.92
4 11-21-2022 Neutral L 1.72 71 83 1 305 ( 11- 21) Missouri KC -27.55 15.55
5 11-22-2022 Neutral L 10.07 75 86 1 196 ( 15- 15) East Carolina -19.21 8.21
6 11-23-2022 Neutral W 34.09 82 69 1 187 ( 20- 12) N Kentucky 4.81 8.19
7 11-30-2022 Home W 42.07 90 67 1 166 ( 14- 17) Richmond 12.79 10.21
8 12-03-2022 Away L 20.53 73 80 1 141 ( 19- 12) George Mason -8.75 1.75
9 12-06-2022 Away W 31.63 83 75 1 212 ( 14- 18) Northern Iowa 2.35 5.65
10 12-10-2022 Home W 14.36 69 68 1 256 ( 10- 19) Canisius -14.92 15.92
11 12-17-2022 Away L 18.91 85 100 1 79 ( 24- 8) Marshall -10.37 -4.63
12 12-20-2022 Away W 39.92 84 72 1 128 ( 21- 10) Vermont 10.65 1.35
13 12-29-2022 Home W 29.28 103 88 ZZ 12 ( 0- 1) Lourdes -0.00 15.00
14 01-03-2023 Home L * 12.64 83 90 1 160 ( 20- 11) Ball St -16.63 9.63
15 01-06-2023 Home W * 37.74 102 74 1 319 ( 8- 23) Western Michigan 8.46 19.54
16 01-10-2023 Away L * 22.29 63 75 1 78 ( 25- 6) Kent -6.99 -5.01
17 01-14-2023 Away W * 38.30 84 67 1 245 ( 13- 18) Northern Illinois 9.02 7.98
18 01-17-2023 Home W * 36.39 90 75 1 136 ( 18- 13) Ohio 7.11 7.89
19 01-20-2023 Away W * 32.92 86 77 1 204 ( 15- 16) Buffalo 3.64 5.36
20 01-24-2023 Home W * 14.19 84 79 1 321 ( 8- 23) Eastern Michigan -15.08 20.08
21 01-28-2023 Home W * 25.80 91 77 1 285 ( 11- 20) Bowling Green -3.48 17.48
22 01-31-2023 Away W * 21.57 81 78 1 278 ( 12- 19) Miami OH -7.70 10.70
23 02-04-2023 Home W * 33.05 84 59 1 330 ( 10- 21) Central Michigan 3.78 21.22
24 02-07-2023 Away W * 39.95 84 74 1 107 ( 21- 10) Akron 10.68 -0.68
25 02-11-2023 Away W * 22.94 70 63 1 321 ( 8- 23) Eastern Michigan -6.33 13.33
26 02-14-2023 Home W * 29.82 89 71 1 278 ( 12- 19) Miami OH 0.55 17.45
27 02-18-2023 Away W * 23.55 91 86 1 285 ( 11- 20) Bowling Green -5.73 10.73
28 02-21-2023 Home W * 44.20 84 63 1 107 ( 21- 10) Akron 14.93 6.07
29 02-25-2023 Home W * 47.17 101 71 1 204 ( 15- 16) Buffalo 17.89 12.11
30 02-28-2023 Away W * 48.80 99 65 1 330 ( 10- 21) Central Michigan 19.53 14.47
31 03-03-2023 Away W * 32.39 87 81 1 160 ( 20- 11) Ball St 3.12 2.88
Averages 29.28 85.7 76.1
Best game: 48.80 = 34 point win over C Michigan
Worst game: 1.72 = 12 point loss to Missouri KC
Team stdev: 11.50