BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Buffalo

Class: 1 Class Rank: 204 Conference: Mid-American Record: (9-9) Overall: (15-16) Overall Strength =   20.54

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    23.43  88  87    1 120 ( 24-  8) Colgate                 2.88     -1.88                      
  2 11-12-2022 Home    L    -9.12  62  97    1  91 ( 22- 10) James Madison         -29.66     -5.34                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    L    25.39  64  84    1   4 ( 24-  7) Connecticut             4.85    -24.85                      
  4 11-18-2022 Neutral L    22.76  72  80    1  81 ( 26-  7) Drake                   2.21    -10.21                      
  5 11-19-2022 Neutral L    13.98  59  63    1 238 ( 19- 12) Howard                 -6.56      2.56                      
  6 11-21-2022 Neutral W    32.15  82  74    1 141 ( 19- 12) George Mason           11.61     -3.61                      
  7 11-27-2022 Home    W    33.36  86  66    1 256 ( 10- 19) Canisius               12.81      7.19                      
  8 12-03-2022 Home    W    34.77  83  66    1 194 ( 14- 17) St Bonaventure         14.22      2.78                      
  9 12-06-2022 Home    W    20.54  91  53   ZZ 174 (  0-  1) St John Fisher         -0.00 *   38.00                      
 10 12-10-2022 Neutral L     2.77  63  88    1  97 ( 18- 10) Tulane                -17.78     -7.22                      
 11 12-18-2022 Away    L    22.72  78  96    1  14 ( 18- 13) West Virginia           2.18    -20.18                      
 12 12-21-2022 Home    W    20.54 129  62   ZZ 321 (  0-  1) SUNY Canton            -0.00 *   67.00                      
 13 12-30-2022 Away    L    17.53  68  89    1  30 ( 19- 11) Michigan St            -3.01    -17.99                      
 14 01-03-2023 Home    W *  24.39  75  72    1 136 ( 18- 13) Ohio                    3.84     -0.84                      
 15 01-07-2023 Home    W *  32.55  80  62    1 245 ( 13- 18) Northern Illinois      12.00      6.00                      
 16 01-10-2023 Away    L *   7.57  80  91    1 278 ( 12- 19) Miami OH              -12.97      1.97                      
 17 01-14-2023 Away    L *   5.80  78  87 1  1 330 ( 10- 21) Central Michigan      -14.74      5.74                      
 18 01-17-2023 Home    W *  40.80 100  71    1 285 ( 11- 20) Bowling Green          20.26      8.74                      
 19 01-20-2023 Home    L *  16.90  77  86    1  87 ( 25-  6) Toledo                 -3.64     -5.36                      
 20 01-24-2023 Away    W *  52.39  91  65    1 160 ( 20- 11) Ball St                31.85     -5.85                      
 21 01-27-2023 Away    L *  28.29  68  74    1  78 ( 25-  6) Kent                    7.75    -13.75                      
 22 01-31-2023 Home    L *   6.20  64  81    1 107 ( 21- 10) Akron                 -14.34     -2.66                      
 23 02-04-2023 Away    W *  25.49  85  76    1 319 (  8- 23) Western Michigan        4.95      4.05                      
 24 02-07-2023 Home    W *  14.19 102  97    1 321 (  8- 23) Eastern Michigan       -6.35     11.35                      
 25 02-10-2023 Home    L *  20.54  65  72    1  78 ( 25-  6) Kent                   -0.00     -7.00                      
 26 02-14-2023 Away    L *   4.14  61  85    1 136 ( 18- 13) Ohio                  -16.41     -7.59                      
 27 02-18-2023 Away    L *   9.95  66  86    1 107 ( 21- 10) Akron                 -10.59     -9.41                      
 28 02-21-2023 Home    W *  36.05  63  35    1 330 ( 10- 21) Central Michigan       15.51     12.49                      
 29 02-25-2023 Away    L *   2.65  71 101    1  87 ( 25-  6) Toledo                -17.89    -12.11                      
 30 02-28-2023 Away    W *  31.30  85  75    1 245 ( 13- 18) Northern Illinois      10.75     -0.75                      
 31 03-03-2023 Home    W *  16.82  68  63    1 278 ( 12- 19) Miami OH               -3.72      8.72                      
      Averages              20.54  77.5 76.9

Best game:   52.39 = 26 point win over Ball St
Worst game:  -9.12 = 35 point loss to James Madison
Team stdev:  13.13