BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Valparaiso

Class: 1 Class Rank: 287 Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (5-16) Overall: (11-21) Overall Strength =   14.91

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    17.65  70  85    1  87 ( 25-  6) Toledo                  2.59    -17.59                      
  2 11-13-2022 Home    W    25.74  81  65    1 319 (  8- 23) Western Michigan       10.68      5.32                      
  3 11-16-2022 Away    L     4.60  74  87    1 297 ( 11- 20) Chicago St            -10.46     -2.54                      
  4 11-19-2022 Home    W     9.88  68  64    1 345 ( 12- 19) Incarnate Word         -5.18      9.18                      
  5 11-23-2022 Away    L    -2.42  49  79    1 144 ( 21- 11) Samford               -17.49    -12.51                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral L    11.44  50  61    1 162 ( 19- 12) S Dakota St            -3.62     -7.38                      
  7 11-27-2022 Neutral W    31.26  81  79 1  1  91 ( 22- 10) James Madison          16.20    -14.20                      
  8 12-01-2022 Away    L *  16.68  64  76    1 122 ( 21- 11) Belmont                 1.62    -13.62                      
  9 12-04-2022 Home    L *   8.83  70  77 1  1 226 ( 17- 15) Murray St              -6.23     -0.77                      
 10 12-06-2022 Home    W    19.74  96  60   ZZ 159 (  0-  3) Trinity Chr             4.68 *   31.32                      
 11 12-10-2022 Away    L    -6.57  61  98    1 106 ( 11- 20) Mississippi           -21.64    -15.36                      
 12 12-18-2022 Home    W    12.93  71  66    1 337 (  8- 24) Elon                   -2.13      7.13                      
 13 12-21-2022 Home    W    18.14  77  67    1 329 ( 14- 17) Stonehill               3.08      6.92                      
 14 12-29-2022 Away    L *  29.13  63  68    1  81 ( 26-  7) Drake                  14.07    -19.07                      
 15 01-01-2023 Home    L *   7.10  50  68    1  92 ( 22- 12) Indiana St             -7.97    -10.03                      
 16 01-04-2023 Home    L *  14.88  67  69    1 212 ( 14- 18) Northern Iowa          -0.19     -1.81                      
 17 01-07-2023 Away    L *  12.15  66  88    1  82 ( 25-  8) Bradley                -2.91    -19.09                      
 18 01-10-2023 Home    L *   6.93  59  74    1 122 ( 21- 11) Belmont                -8.13     -6.87                      
 19 01-14-2023 Away    W *  18.80  76  69    1 348 (  5- 27) Evansville              3.74      3.26                      
 20 01-17-2023 Home    W *  21.31  76  66    1 294 ( 12- 20) IL Chicago              6.25      3.75                      
 21 01-21-2023 Away    W *  39.28  71  51    1 274 ( 11- 21) Illinois St            24.22     -4.22                      
 22 01-25-2023 Away    L *  12.63  66  77    1 212 ( 14- 18) Northern Iowa          -2.44     -8.56                      
 23 01-28-2023 Home    W *  17.05  81  69    1 348 (  5- 27) Evansville              1.99     10.01                      
 24 02-01-2023 Away    L *  18.15  67  76 1  1 149 ( 17- 15) Missouri St             3.08    -12.08                      
 25 02-04-2023 Home    L *  24.38  82  85 2  1  81 ( 26-  7) Drake                   9.32    -12.32                      
 26 02-08-2023 Away    L *   9.85  62  84    1  92 ( 22- 12) Indiana St             -5.22    -16.78                      
 27 02-11-2023 Home    W *  17.53  81  76    1 274 ( 11- 21) Illinois St             2.46      2.54                      
 28 02-14-2023 Home    L *  17.72  62  66    1 127 ( 23- 10) S Illinois              2.65     -6.65                      
 29 02-19-2023 Away    L *  17.06  73  74    1 294 ( 12- 20) IL Chicago              2.00     -3.00                      
 30 02-22-2023 Home    L *  17.40  66  76    1  82 ( 25-  8) Bradley                 2.34    -12.34                      
 31 02-26-2023 Away    L *  21.58  76  77 1  1 226 ( 17- 15) Murray St               6.52     -7.52                      
 32 03-02-2023 Neutral L *  -8.79  50  78    1 226 ( 17- 15) Murray St             -23.86     -4.14                      
      Averages              15.06  68.9 73.6

Best game:   39.28 = 20 point win over Illinois St
Worst game:  -8.79 = 28 point loss to Murray St
Team stdev:  10.04