BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 57 Overall: (3-3) Overall Strength = 154.11
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (1-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-03-2026 Home W * 155.58 42 23 1A 105 (4-3) Alabama-Birmingham -0.28 16.37 19.28
2 09-12-2026 Home L * 150.50 27 31 1A 46 (4-2) Duke -5.36 0.02 1.36
3 09-19-2026 Home W 164.58 48 10 1B 15 (3-5) Southern Illinois 8.73 * 5.24 29.27
4 09-26-2026 Away L * * 159.02 19 42 1A 4 (6-1) Ohio State 3.16 -23.52 -26.16
5 10-03-2026 Home L * * 146.76 17 24 1A 45 (3-4) Purdue -9.10 8.63 2.10
6 10-10-2026 Away W * * 158.70 38 37 1A 59 (2-5) Michigan St 2.85 -2.35 -1.85
7 10/24/2026 Home * * 1A 21 (4-2) Oregon -13.20
8 10/31/2026 Away * * 1A 92 (2-5) Maryland 8.59
9 11/06/2026 Home * * 1A 15 (5-2) Nebraska -14.90
10 11/13/2026 Away * * 1A 9 (6-0) UCLA -25.64
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1A 34 (5-1) Iowa -6.81
12 11/28/2026 Away * * 1A 18 (5-1) Northwestern -19.30
Averages 155.86 31.8 27.8
Best game: 164.58 = 38 point win over Southern Illinois
Worst game: 146.76 = 7 point loss to Purdue
Team stdev: 6.42