BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 55 Overall: (2-1) Overall Strength = 158.15
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (1-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-03-2026 Home W * 154.98 42 23 1A 107 (1-2) Alabama-Birmingham -5.11 * 16.37 24.11
2 09-12-2026 Home L * 156.21 27 31 1A 29 (3-0) Duke -3.88 0.02 -0.12
3 09-19-2026 Home W 169.07 48 10 1B 11 (2-2) Southern Illinois 8.99 * 5.24 29.01
4 09/26/2026 Away * * 1A 3 (2-1) Ohio State -27.77
5 10/03/2026 Home * * 1A 64 (1-2) Purdue 7.86
6 10/10/2026 Away * * 1A 37 (2-1) Michigan St -7.85
7 10/24/2026 Home * * 1A 43 (2-1) Oregon 0.29
8 10/31/2026 Away * * 1A 23 (2-1) Maryland -11.51
9 11/06/2026 Home * * 1A 40 (3-0) Nebraska -0.66
10 11/13/2026 Away * * 1A 21 (3-0) UCLA -11.86
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1A 30 (3-0) Iowa -3.34
12 11/28/2026 Away * * 1A 26 (2-0) Northwestern -10.95
Averages 160.09 39.0 21.3
Best game: 169.07 = 38 point win over Southern Illinois
Worst game: 154.98 = 19 point win over Alabama-Birmingham
Team stdev: 7.81