BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern
Class: 1A Class Rank: 18 Overall: (5-1) Overall Strength = 170.90
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (2-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (4-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Home W 161.40 34 18 1B 1 (5-2) South Dakota St -7.43 -0.43 23.43
2 09-19-2026 Home W * 182.83 41 7 1A 67 (2-4) Colorado 14.00 6.82 20.00
3 09-25-2026 Away L * * 170.85 23 29 1A 7 (6-1) Indiana 2.01 -7.27 -8.01
4 10-02-2026 Home W * * 178.72 34 13 1A 52 (3-4) Penn State 9.88 7.60 11.12
5 10-10-2026 Home W * 158.50 45 14 1A 132 (2-5) Ball St -10.33 * 44.72 41.33
6 10-17-2026 Away W * * 160.70 24 21 1A 59 (2-5) Michigan St -8.13 19.52 11.13
7 10/24/2026 Home * * 1A 101 (2-4) Rutgers 33.34
8 10/31/2026 Away * * 1A 21 (4-2) Oregon -1.42
9 11/07/2026 Home * * 1A 34 (5-1) Iowa 9.98
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 4 (6-1) Ohio State -12.15
11 11/21/2026 Away * * 1A 73 (4-2) Minnesota 19.28
12 11/28/2026 Home * * 1A 57 (3-3) Illinois 19.30
Averages 168.83 33.5 17.0
Best game: 182.83 = 34 point win over Colorado
Worst game: 158.50 = 31 point win over Ball St
Team stdev: 10.25